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Economic development and revolutions. A cross-national investigation
Conflict Management and Peace Science. 2026. P. 1–23.
In the field of civil war studies, there is a consensus that the risk of war decreases as income increases. Nevertheless, such consensus has not been reached in the field of civil resistance and unarmed revolutions. This paper proposes a curvilinear framework positing two opposite trends in economic development. On the one hand, it increases the state resources for preventing illegal displacement and makes revolt costly for rebels. Conversely, it boosts resources needed for civil resistance. Utilizing independent sources on revolutions and employing parametric and non-parametric methods, we have identified robust support for the inverted “U-shape” relationship between income level and the risk of unarmed revolutions. This finding reconciles the discrepancies observed in previous studies and provides a different perspective on the “middle-income trap.”
Language:
English
Publication based on the results of:
Tkachuk A., Кудинова И. В., Экономические науки 2026 № 3 С. 256
The article examines the process of economic decoupling between the United States of America and the People’s Republic of China in the context of the ongoing transformation of the global economy. The aim of the study is to assess the actual depth of decoupling based on an analysis of key trade, value-added, and investment indicators. ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Izotov V., Кардаш Н., Современная Европа 2026 № 2 С. 108–119
The article examines the issue of hybrid wars in the context of the confrontation between Turkey and the Republic of Cyprus within the geopolitical subsystem of the Eastern Mediterrane an. The authors, relying in part on sources little known outside the Greek-Cypriot research dis course, describe and classify the methods of Turkey’s hybrid warfare against ...
Added: May 25, 2026
Routledge, 2026.
This book is a comprehensive study on how the national security sectors of China, India, Japan, Russia, and the United States have engaged the idea of climate change as an existential threat. Climate Change, National Security and Geopolitics examines the respective ways in which the five states have framed the issue of climate change in ...
Added: May 25, 2026
Долгина О. Е., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2025 № 1 С. 44–55
The Izborsky Club positions itself as a "synthesis of Russian statists <...> from socialists and Soviet pa-triots to monarchists and Orthodox conservatives" and aims to unite representatives from diverse statist nationalist movements. The internal heterogeneity of Russian nationalism presents a challenge to the Izborsky Club's goal of developing a "new tradition", which involves constructing a ...
Added: May 23, 2026
Repina E., Соколова Е. Н., Рудаков А. Б., Вестник Томского государственного университета 2026 № 522 С. 119–129
На основе анализа более двух миллионов сообщений в социальных сетях, практики патриотического активизма в социальных сетях, а также данных интервью с представителями «служащих» профессий, выявлены факторы развития деятельностной компоненты патриотической идентичности. Сделаны выводы о ключевых мотивациях, роли личностных факторов и социализации в формировании социального капитала, а также о связи служения со значимыми ценностями – семьей, ...
Added: May 23, 2026
Ignatyev G., Тетради по консерватизму 2025 № 4 С. 72–83
Political polarization is the phenomenon inseparably linked to Donald Trump's political activities since 2015. According to some researchers that polarization was the reason for Trump's victory in the elections. Others argue that polarization has grown because of Trump, and that the US population was much more united before his emergence on the political scene. In ...
Added: May 22, 2026
Будапешт всегда против: стратегия Венгрии в рамках китайского направления внешней политики Евросоюза
Shein S., Международная аналитика 2026 Т. 17 № 1 С. 161–174
Amidst the overarching imperative for a common foreign policy within the European Union, the long-term challenge to its implementation regarding the People’s Republic of China is the level of intra-Union unity. Special attention in this context is drawn to the case of Hungary, which not only contests the fundamental parameters of the EU foreign policy but also actively develops multifaceted relations with ...
Added: May 22, 2026
Krasnyak O., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Международные отношения 2025 Т. 18 № 4 С. 493–498
Понимание российского внешнеполитического поведения вновь обретает осо-бую значимость не только в рамках конфликта на Украине и взаимоотношений со странами мирового большинства и меньшинства, но и в контексте изменяющегося мироустройства. Прежняя глобалистская модель стремительно сходит с авансце-ны международных отношений, возвращая, по сути, мир к структурным базовым настройкам соперничества между несколькими крупными державами. Россия яв-ляется одной из ...
Added: May 21, 2026
Шмитт К., М.: Праксис, 2026.
Классическая работа известного немецкого правоведа и политического теоретика Карла Шмитта, посвященная рассмотрению партизана как «фигуры мирового духа», начиная с его зарождения в ходе борьбы испанского народа против наполеоновских войск в 1808—1813 годах и вплоть до судьбы партизана в ходе «всемирной гражданской войны» ХХ века.
Перевод с немецкого Ю. Ю. Коринца. Новая редакция перевода Т. А. Дмитриева ...
Added: May 20, 2026
Девятников В. Ю., Социология власти 2025 Т. 37 № 4 С. 163–185
Redistricting is an important tool of political struggle, distinguished
by several features that set it apart from other methods of creating a non-competitive electoral advantage: secrecy and non-provocativeness. These characteristics have led to significant scholarly attention, primarily focused on the
political consequences of redistricting. However, the administrative and legal
aspects of redistricting remain less studied, which may limit ...
Added: May 18, 2026
Паникар М. М., Polar Journal 2026
The article attempts to explore the process of formation of a new sphere of relations between the USSR and the countries of the Arctic region in the period from 1986 to 1990. The April Plenum of the Communist Party Central Committee in 1985 laid the groundwork for a profound transformation in both the domestic and ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Sizov A., Rodionova M., Sedashov E. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2026. No. 1.
Rapid development of surveillance technologies is one of the most socially important consequences of the digital age. This paper investigates the factors determining consent to surveillance of various types of personal data and contributes to rapidly growing research on citizens perceptions of surveillance practices. Relying on a comprehensive survey experiment, we study the effects of ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Кровицкая А. В., Попов Д. И., Кравченко А. А. et al., Judaic-Slavic Journal 2024 № 11-12 С. 133–186
The collective research deals with the representation of the Holocaust memory in the media of Central-Eastern and Northern Europe in the second decade of the XXI century on the example of Germany, Austria, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Sweden, Denmark, and Norway. Each of these states, the article argues, is characterized by its own distinct memory ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Попов Д. И., Балтийский регион 2025 Т. 17 № 4 С. 68–83
The study examines the image of Russia in Finland’s historical policy in the context of the country’s accession to NATO. The aim is to identify shifts in the interpretation of Russia’s role in the Finnish political elite’s understanding of its own past, shared Russian–Finnish and global history. To this end, the analysis focuses on President ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Вадим Устюжанин, Дмитрий Семичев, Леонид Гринин et al., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 1 С. 9–61
The revolutionary process in the 21st century has undergone significant changes, and with the destabilization of democracy and the transformation of the world order, the number of revolutionary episodes has only increased, acquiring new goals and forms. In the countries of the Global South, as the population grew, millions of people began to come out ...
Added: March 25, 2026
Korotayev A., Andrey Zhdanov, Julia Zinkina et al., Comparative Sociology 2025 Vol. 24 No. 6 P. 801–842
Revolutionary events are increasingly likely to take unarmed forms. This trend has been observed over the past 120 years as a result of the World System transformation, wherein most societies increased their GDP per capita, experienced the spread of modern formal education, and moved from predominantly rural and very young populations to mostly urban and ...
Added: December 27, 2025
Andrey Korotayev, Andrey Zhdanov, Julia Zinkina et al., Comparative Sociology 2025 Vol. 24 No. 6 P. 801–842
Revolutionary events are increasingly likely to take unarmed forms. This trend has been observed over the past 120 years as a result of the World System transformation, wherein most societies increased their GDP per capita, experienced the spread of modern formal education, and moved from predominantly rural and very young populations to mostly urban and older ...
Added: November 21, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Медведев И. А., Ufimtsev A. et al., Социологическое обозрение 2025 Т. 24 № 1 С. 71–105
One of the most important trends noted by researchers in the revolutionary events of recent decades is the rapid increase in the share of unarmed revolutionary uprisings and, accordingly, a decrease in the share of armed revolutionary insurgencies. The study of this trend is of great importance. This work continues previous research on unarmed revolutionary ...
Added: November 13, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Fain E., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2025. No. 1.
This article aims to shed light on the economic consequences of the nonviolent campaigns (NVCs) across the world. The current era is shaped with various political transformations that are often driven by political movements that engage in NVCs. Some of them are successful and result in regime change while others fail and are unable to ...
Added: September 12, 2025
Fain, Egor, Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution UC Riverside 2024 Vol. 15 P. 106–120
A Review Essay on Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century. The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change edited by Jack A. Goldstone, Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev (Springer International Publishing, 2022)& New Wave of Revolutions in the MENA Region: A Comparative Perspective edited by Leonid Issaev and ...
Added: January 31, 2025
Korotayev A., Egor Fain, Ustyuzhanin V. et al., Critical Sociology 2025 Vol. 51 No. 4-5 P. 659–677
This article is the final part of our systematic review of the substantive findings of fifth-generation revolution studies, building on the examination of the emergence and characteristics of this generation contained in the first article in the series. Our systematic review is divided into two parts. In this second and final part, the following areas ...
Added: January 30, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Fain E., Korotayev A., Экономическая социология 2025 Т. 26 № 1 С. 52–89
The article tests several hypotheses about the impact of wealth and income inequality, as well as inequality in human capital, on the risks of armed and unarmed revolutions. Using the revolutionary destabilization database from the Center for Stability and Risk Analysis (CSRA) at HSE University, along with data collected by Mark Beissinger, the study analyzes ...
Added: January 29, 2025
Издательство "Учитель", 2021.
Revolutions have always played a significant role in the life of societies, but this role has become especially important since the XVI century. In other words, since the early Modern period, the role of revolutions as a driving force of progress has increased dramatically. However, in the following centuries, their role in the transformation of ...
Added: October 8, 2024
Korotayev A., Ustyuzhanin V., Grinin L. E. et al., / Series " ". 2024.
There are grounds for stating that in the 21st century a new ("fifth") generation of revolution studies has emerged. It can be noted that the characteristics of this generation are: a tendency towards a macro approach (both in the historical and geographical sense) together with a systemic approach; the research of separate important types of ...
Added: September 15, 2024