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Неопределенность, вероятность, этика: Дж.М.Кейнс, Л.Мизес, Ф.Найт
Вопросы экономики. 2013. № 10. С. 47-65.
The paper aims at tracing the connection between the ideas of Keynes, Knight and Mises on uncertainty and probability. It also highlights the links between economic ideas, ethical presuppositions and practical implications these scholars drew. Both similarities and differences are found, influenced for the large part by the context of dealing with the problems under consideration.
Makasheva N. A., Общественные науки и современность 2011 № 6 С. 143-154
The controversial question of how J.M. Keyness early philosophical ideas influenced the essence and the method of his economic works, first and foremost The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money is under consideration in a broad historical context. Intellectual sources, basic ideas and concepts of Keyness logic of probability are presented in brief as well as ...
Added: November 13, 2012
Naidenova I., Journal of Economic Studies 2022 Vol. 49 No. 5 P. 902-919
Purpose: The research aims to examine the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on a company's behaviour concerning its human capital. Additionally, the difference in effect for companies with specific human capital is analysed.
Design/methodology/approach: The hypotheses are tested on a multi-industry sample of large public companies from five European countries, using panel data modelling. The index of ...
Added: July 2, 2021
Rozmainsky I. V., Economic Herald of the Donbas 2015 No. 4 (42) P. 12-17
The paper offers the following hypothesis: the Big Band (Shock Therapy) strategy of the 1990s in Russia has led to more non-rational behavior of the ordinary Russian people. The point is that in order to make completely rational decisions a person needs avoid both lack of information and information overload. Radical “transition to the market ...
Added: October 20, 2016
Madera A. G., Искусственный интеллект и принятие решений 2014 № 3 С. 105-115
The paper proposes a method of multicriteria optimization under interval stochastic uncertainty of estimates given by the subject for the relative importance of one criterion over the other and the different alternatives to each other for each criterion. The method is an extension of the deterministic Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) for multicriteria optimization. It is ...
Added: September 3, 2014
Karminsky A. M., Kostrov A., Murzenkov T., Финансовая аналитика: проблемы и решения 2012 № 41(131) С. 2-13
В соответствии с Базельскими соглашениями одной из перспективных задач риск-менеджмента является совершенствование моделей вероятности дефолта. Авторы исследуют влияние на вероятность дефолта российских банков финансовых факторов, уделяя особое внимание расширению горизонта исследования и нелинейностям по объясняющим переменным. Проведен анализ адекватности модели. Отмечено, что учет нелинейностей по относительным финансовым переменным существенно улучшает качество модели. Выделены объясняющие переменные, ...
Added: December 7, 2012
Shastitko A., Kurdin A., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2020 № 2 С. 36-50
Статья посвящена особенностям поведения экономических агентов в ситуациях выбора с разными информационными характеристиками. Ситуации принятия решений могут быть систематизированы по признакам наличия информации о составе возможных случайных событий и вероятности их наступления. Можно выделить ситуации определенности, риска, параметрической и структурной неопределенности. В ряде случаев попадание экономических агентов в наиболее сложную ситуацию структурной неопределенности способствует выработке ...
Added: August 20, 2020
Nazarova V., Ильина М. Е., Науковедение 2014 № 3(22) С. 118EVN314
The relevance of the topic is supported by high growth of IT-industry and the tendency of commercializing of innovated products. High demand on IT-services and software was a base of its diversification both for corporate and private clients. Nowadays business valuation of IT-companies plays a supported role for managers in performing operational and strategic goals. ...
Added: January 3, 2015
Guseva A., Экономическая социология 2011 Т. 12 № 5 С. 30-53
The book «Into the Red: The Birth of the Credit Card Market in Postcommunist Russia» by Alya Guseva explores the emergence of credit card market in Russia and discusses how the demand for absolutely new product is created. The research is based on interviews and archival data collected in two series in Moscow (Russia): from ...
Added: April 13, 2013
Ivanova A., Mishchenko A. V., Экономический анализ: теория и практика 2013 Т. 16 № 319 С. 52-68
Current article considers the financial management models of the output expansion and switching to the renowned production program in the conditions of uncertainty and risks. It is assumed that limited amount of capital, intermediate credit as well as long-term loan, are used for the sourcing of production program computed. Posed models can be used in ...
Added: April 29, 2013
Kuznetsova O., Merzlyakov S., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2015 № 3 С. 93-101
This paper analyzes macroeconomic policy under uncertain fiscal policy preferences. We show that uncertain preferences of the government lead to more expansionary monetary policy and more contractionary fiscal policy. As a result, inflation bias is aggravated: expected inflation increases, while expected output drops. Nevertheless, if fiscal multiplier is certain, preference uncertainty does not matter anymore. ...
Added: September 23, 2015
Rozmainsky I. V., Пашенцева Ю. И., Экономическая наука современной России 2019 № 4 (87) С. 21-38
The paper is devoted to the economic analysis of rationality in the tradition of Harvey Leibenstein: the authors perceive rationality as “calculatedness” when making decisions, while the degree of this “calculatedness” is interpreted as a variable. Thus, this approach does not correspond to the generally accepted neoclassical interpretation of rationality, according to which rationality is ...
Added: January 10, 2020
Madera A. G., Менеджмент в России и за рубежом 2013 № 6 С. 21-29
A new method to predict the probabilities of future events that are consequences of the subject, are presented. The method is based on combining the two types of forecasts – forecasted events using statistical data predictions for previous periods, as well as subjective, using expert estimates, using new information. Shows that an objective forecast is ...
Added: September 2, 2013
Krivda S., Варсегов А. Г., Управленческий учет 2015 № 9 С. 19-29
The article offers the author's method of analysis and evaluation of legal risks in a commercial organization. Contains the definition of legal risk, offers their classification. This paper proposes a mechanism for calculating the valuation of legal risks, as well as the interrelation of legal risks and financial condition of the commercial organization. ...
Added: October 1, 2015
Rozmainsky I. V., Terra Economicus 2012 Т. 10 № 1 С. 46-52
The paper considers some important elements of Keynes’s theoretical approach which are rejected by the most adherents of the modern mainstream economics. Such elements are the idea that (immeasurable) uncertainty is different from (measurable) risk, and also derivation of some key macroeconomic functions (of consumption, investment, money demand) not from optimizing human behavior. Furthermore, the ...
Added: December 13, 2012
Kotliarov I. D., Вестник НГУЭУ 2015 № 4 С. 347-356
В настоящее время, благодаря работам нобелевского лауреата Оливера Уильямсона, наряду с такими формами организации хозяйственной деятельности, как рынок и иерархия (т. е. фирма), выделяются также гибриды – специфическая форма организации трансакций, представляющая собой компромисс между рынком и иерархией. Однако несмотря на важную роль гибридов в экономической жизни, на сегодняшний день отсутствуют практические методики, основанные на ...
Added: March 15, 2016
Grigorieva S., Панькова И. Д., Финансы и бизнес 2020 Т. 16 № 3 С. 61-78
One of the main considerations in any M&A transaction is the method of payment. The right choice of method of payment contributes to the reduction of the company's cost of capital, risk diversification, and shareholders' wealth creation. The article presents the analysis of earnout contracts, which have been increasing in popularity in the last decades. ...
Added: April 16, 2021
Shastitko A., Общественные науки и современность 2018 № 4 С. 178-191
Определены варианты интеграции концепции структурной неопределенности в экономические исследования. Раскрыты различные аспекты понимания структурной неопределенности в свете ти- пов ситуаций индивидуального выбора с учетом выбранной точки отсчета – неоклассическая ис- следовательская программа, единицей анализа в которой является индивидуальный выбор. С по- мощью концепции лапласовского наблюдателя показано отличие ситуации структурной неопреде- ленности от фундаментальной, или параметрической, ...
Added: October 30, 2018
Aistov A., Kuzmicheva E. E., Финансы и кредит 2012 № 18 С. 25-35
The article discovers results of empirical estimators of uncertainty, rational and behavioral factors influence on investment policy (capital investment) of Russian companies. On the base of theoretical models of Sandmo, Bo & Sterken it was made an assessment using Ordinary Least Squares method, models considering data panel structure, Generalized Method of Moments on a sample ...
Added: June 15, 2012
Korneychuk B. V., Иванова Н. Г., Научно-технические ведомости Санкт-Петербургского государственного политехнического университета. Экономические науки 2012 № 6(161) С. 226-233
Изложен и обоснован метод количественной оценки человеческого капитала страны, региона, отрасли, предприятия. Выявлены недостатки существующей системы статистического учета и анализа человеческих ресурсов. Получены количественные оценки человеческого капитала ряда регионов и отраслей. ...
Added: March 14, 2013
Frolova E. V., Фролов С. Н., Экономика. Управление. Право 2013 № 3(39) С. 66-70
The model presented in this paper illustrates a possibility of use of fuzzy sets' approach for analysis of labor surplus on a firm. Uncertainty is implemented in optimization equation in order to forecast necessary amount of labor resources, as well as presence or absence of labor surplus on an enterprise.
Moreover, the comparison of presented approach ...
Added: April 24, 2013
Vinogradov D., / Heidelberg University. Series DP600 "AWI Discussion Paper Series". 2007. No. 442.
The paper examines the effects of ambiguity in regulation on the equilibrium allocation. Under ambiguous bailout policy, agents’ suffer from a lack of information with regards to the insolvency resolution method, which would be chosen by the regulator if a financial institution fails. In this case, beliefs of bankers regarding whether an insolvent bank is ...
Added: June 27, 2018
Parshakov P., Байдина К. О., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Economics/EC". 2017. No. WP BRP 163/EC/2017.
This study estimates an attendance demand model in a reduced form, with uncertainty as one of the determinants of demand, to test the Uncertainty of Outcome Hypothesis (UOH), using data from the Russian Football Premier League (RFPL). These data fit our requirements for two reasons. First, there are few sellout matches, so demand for tickets ...
Added: June 15, 2017
Mishchenko A. V., Перцева М. А., Логистика сегодня 2012 № 6 С. 368-384
Рассмотрены модели управления ппроизводственной программой предприятия в условиях дефицита оборотного капитала.
Предложен аналитический аппарат для оценки эффективности закупок материальных ресурсов производства. ...
Added: March 1, 2013
Khasyanova S. Y., Едронова В. Н., Финансы и кредит 2002 № 14 С. 2-9
В работе предложена разработанная автором комплексная методика оценки кредитоспособности заемщика банка, основанная на методе вербального анализа данных. Особое внимание уделено проблеме расчета интегрального показателя оценки кредитоспособности, обусловленной структурной неоднородностью количественных и качественных показателей деятельности заемщика. Сделан вывод о принадлежности задачи определения кредитоспособности к классу слабоструктурированных задач, способом решения которой могла бы стать многокритериальная классификация субъектов ...
Added: November 23, 2012