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Статья

Foresight and roadmapping as innovative tools for identifying the future of new materials

Maintenance problems. 2014. Vol. 91. No. 4. P. 5-14.
Vishnevskiy K., Karasev O.

Rapid growth of the new materials sector represents one of the most promising scientific and technological trends on which depends the growth of key sectors of the national economy. This paper focuses on Foresight for the field of new materials and gives special consideration to the case study of prospects of carbon fibres, which is one of the most promising areas of new materials. We suggest using roadmapping as a final stage of Foresight. Integrated roadmapping represents a combination of desk research, expert procedures, and scenario development. It provides a comprehensive approach to the strategic development of the subject area within the unique time scale, containing indicators of the quantifying economic effectiveness of the potentially prospective technologies and products that possess high demand potential and attractive consumer properties.