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Искусство макропрогнозирования: модели, эксперты и "большие данные"
M. :
Higher School of Economics Publishing House, 2024.
Avdeeva D., Akindinova N., Kondrashov N. V., Кузнецов А. О., Mironov V., Сафонов И. Н., Smirnov S. V., Chepel A. A., Chernyavskiy A.
Leading author: Akindinova N., Smirnov S. V.
Churakova I., Кумар В., Dianli Xitong Baohu yu Kongzhi/Power System Protection and Control 2026 No. 54 (3) P. 428–454
Purpose
This study examines the impact of Predictive Intelligence (PI) and Real-Time Data Insights (RDI) on Corporate Financial Sustainability (CFS), while controlling for organizational factors, industry factors, and AI-related risk factors. The research aims to determine whether these analytic capabilities (PI and RDI) individually and jointly contribute to long-term financial resilience and performance in modern organizations.
Theoretical ...
Added: September 4, 2026
Elyashevich I., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2026 Т. 61 № 3 С. 363–384
The study examined the properties of the normal distribution of the values of shipments of stocks of various categories from warehouses of large industrial companies. As a result, it was revealed that the use of the classical normal distribution, in some cases, may give incorrect results, since the values of stock shipments are positive values, ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Методы оценки структурных изменений в векторных и матричных агрегатах макроэкономических показателей
Lesnykh M., Motorin V., Тенденции экономического развития в XXI веке: Материалы VIІІ Международной научно-практической конференции, Республик Беларусь 2026 P. 233–236
The paper deals with comparative analysis of various methods for measuring and studying dynamics of structural macroeconomic indicators that reflect the peculiarities in a movement of multi-component macroeconomic systems. The metric, trigonometric and angular measures of structural changes are considered within vector formalism. Intertemporal orthogonal decomposition of a vector aggregate into the sum of quantity ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Zaruckiy M., Motorin V., Тенденции экономического развития в XXI веке: Материалы VIІІ Международной научно-практической конференции 2026 P. 237–240
The paper is devoted to developing the complex of input–output models for evaluating a potential receptivity of an economy to import substitution in final use and intermediate consumption ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Koshcheev D., Isopeskul O., М.: Инфра-М, 2027.
государственным служащим.
The monograph presents the results of a comprehensive analysis of the evolution of research related to the assessment of the tourist potential of administrative-territorial units (ATUs) from 1882 to 2024. For the first time, scientific schools are identified, and the author's approach to predictive values and a methodology for the quantitative assessment of the ...
Added: September 3, 2026
М.: МАКС Пресс, 2026.
The book consists of materials submitted by Russian and Foreign scientists to the Organizing
Committee of the All-Russian Round Table “Logic and Paradoxes of Modern Education Manage
ment”. The round table was held at the Faculty of Sociology of Lomonosov Moscow State University
on June 08, 2026. The texts are published in author's edition. Organizing Committee`s point of ...
Added: September 2, 2026
Proskuryakova L. N., Asia-Pacific Tech Monitor 2026 Vol. 43 No. 2 P. 13–24
Innovative financing tools and models have proved their efficiency in supporting the adoption and scale-up of emerging technologies. They have been instrumental in different regions, including the Asia-Pacific region, which stands at the forefront of technological innovation. Studies point to several persistent emerging technological constraints that include high upfront capital costs, perceived risks, and limited ...
Added: September 1, 2026
Tatarinov A., Вопросы статистики 2026 Т. 33 № 2 С. 19–39
The second part of the paper continues the examination of the new methodological provisions of the system of national accounts, building on the discussion initiated in the previous publication. It analyzes key changes in the accounting of economic transactions, with particular attention to digital services, globalization, the composition of production costs under the sum‑of‑costs valuation method, and ...
Added: September 1, 2026
Abashkin V., Abdrakhmanova G., Artemov S. V. et al., ИСИЭЗ ВШЭ, 2026.
Одиннадцатый выпуск аналитического доклада, подготовленный Институтом статистических исследований и экономики знаний Национального исследовательского университета «Высшая школа экономики» в рамках деятельности Российской кластерной обсерватории, посвящен анализу инновационного развития российских регионов на основе комплекса рейтинговых оценок. Исследование базируется на системе показателей, характеризующих социально-экономические условия инновационной деятельности, научно-технический потенциал, уровни инновационной и экспортной активности, качество региональной инновационной
политики. Используемые ...
Added: September 1, 2026
Morozkina A., Есаян М. А., Контуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право 2025 Т. 18 № 4 С. 169–190
In the context of budget constraints, the allocation of development finance is one of the important research questions. This article proposes a study of the allocation of sovereign financing in the Eurasian region in 2008-2022 using new data (the Eurasian Fund for Stabilization and Development (EFSD) sovereign financing database). The analysis shows that the most ...
Added: August 31, 2026
СПб.: Издательство СПбГЭУ, 2025.
Вашему вниманию предлагается 19-й ежегодный сборник научных статей по вопросам региональной экономики и территориального развития.
Несмотря на сложное положение в экономике, продолжает развиваться межрегиональное сотрудничество регионов СЗФО. Активно взаимодействуют Санкт-Петербург и Ленинградская область в части развития единого транспортно-логистического комплекса. Идет формирование единого рынка труда на основе баланса трудовых ресурсов города и области. Разрабатывается единая схема размещения ...
Added: August 31, 2026
Asemota M. O., DISCOVER ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 2026 Vol. 6 Article 892
Artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping work and human resource management, yet existing reviews largely treat competencies as secondary outcomes of AI adoption and offer limited theory-driven integration of how competency management itself is transforming. This study addresses that gap by systematically examining how competency management has evolved in AI-enabled contexts, how dominant theories explain AI-driven ...
Added: August 31, 2026
DISCOVER ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 2026 Vol. 6 Article 892
Artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping work and human resource management, yet existing reviews largely treat competencies as secondary outcomes of AI adoption and offer limited theory-driven integration of how competency management itself is transforming. This study addresses that gap by systematically examining how competency management has evolved in AI-enabled contexts, how dominant theories explain AI-driven ...
Added: August 31, 2026
Petrov I., Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination 2026
This paper studies a social-norm model in which agents choose effort in response to their own productivity and the efforts of their neighbours. We analyse how links between groups with different productivity levels affect equilibrium effort and derive the intergroup linking intensity that maximises aggregate effort. We work in a stylised two-group stochastic block setting ...
Added: August 30, 2026
Svetlana Grigorieva, Narmin Isaeva, Aliya Azizova et al., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2026 Vol. 20 No. 1 P. 75–84
This paper identifies the determinants of green bonds on global markets, China and Russia and evaluates the hedging effect of these instruments. We contribute to the existing literature by (1) studying the emerging markets such as Russia and China, (2) providing comparative analysis of the impact of identical factors on green bond yields on global, ...
Added: August 29, 2026
Финагин М. И., Мирошниченко Д. В., Прикладная эконометрика 2026 Т. 82 С. 105–123
We construct a monthly indicator and produce a nowcast of nominal GDP in Russia using operational
data. The data used are bank statements and the ruble price of Russian oil. This approach
allows for the nowcast of nominal GDP ahead of official statistics by 3–5 months. Nominal GDP
data is published by Rosstat only on a quarterly basis ...
Added: August 28, 2026
Smirnov S. V., Kondrashov N. V., Качур А. С., Вопросы экономики 2024 № 2 С. 23–48
The specificity of macroeconomic forecasts is determined not so much by the list of predicted indicators or by mathematical tools used, but by the unavoidable human factor, which often generates great difference between forecasts made by various professionals. In Russian-language literature, this psychological aspect of macroeconomic forecasting has not received any attention; our work is designed to fill this gap. ...
Added: February 8, 2024
Smirnov S. V., Олейник Е. Б., Коваленко С. С., Вопросы экономики 2023 № 10 С. 75–97
In recent decades, predicting turning points of economic cycles (their peaks and troughs) using leading indicators has established itself as a fairly simple, clear and at the same time reliable method. But the world experience has shown that any system of leading indicators requires revision and clarification from time to time. The recent non-economic shocks ...
Added: October 25, 2023
Smirnov S. V., Смирнов С. С., Вопросы экономики 2022 № 5 С. 26–50
Modern economic life is characterized by an exponential increase of available
information and a shortening time for decision-making. Hence, the necessity for
more timely composite macroeconomic indicators is increasing (objectively), but
the supply of such instruments lags behind the demand. This paper develops
the daily Economic Stress Index (ESI) for the Russian Federation. It differs from
all previously proposed Russian ...
Added: May 26, 2022
Smirnov S. V., Вопросы статистики 2020 Т. 27 № 4 С. 53–65
The article provides a brief overview of the background of constructing composite leading indicators (CLI) for Russia; the paper defines key indicators which currently are calculated and published monthly; they can be put in practice to monitor the Russian economy. The underlying methodological approaches are analyzed, along with their advantages and disadvantages. The importance of ...
Added: August 25, 2020
Kitrar L. A., Lipkind T. M., Ostapkovich G. V., Вопросы статистики 2020 Т. 27 № 1 С. 53–70
The core objective of the study, results of which are summarized in this article, is to determine the eff ectiveness of using assessments of economic agents in the analysis of sectoral and macroeconomic development. The paper tests the hypothesis of the cross impact of economic growth and entrepreneurial behavior. It is assumed that economical cyclicity ...
Added: February 26, 2020
Khasyanova S. Y., Цыганова В. В., Российский журнал менеджмента 2018 Т. 16 № 2 С. 187–204
The significant decrease in the number of banks in the Russian Federation observed recently and arising high social costs of liquidation and sanitation procedures underpin the need for continuous improvement of early-warning systems of bankruptcy. The aim of the article is to identify the key leading indicators of financial insolvency of banks. The study was ...
Added: October 9, 2018
Kozhevina O., Прокопчина С. В., Городиский И. М., Экономика и управление: проблемы, решения 2015 Т. 5 № 12 С. 26–37
В статье рассматриваются вопросы применения информационно-аналитической системы "Инфоаналитик", созданной на основе байесовских интеллектуальных технологий, для оценки состояния экономики страны, составления прогнозов социально-экономического развития РФ и определения важнейших направлений государственной политики в части развития отдельных отраслей. ...
Added: June 8, 2018
Shchepeleva M., Контроллинг 2015 Т. 4 № 58 С. 26–34
В статье рассматривается один из способов количественной оценки системного риска финансового сектора на основе расстояния Махаланобиса. Определяется взаимосвязь между системным риском финансового рынка и спадом в реальном секторе применительно к странам «большой семерки», PIIGS, ЕС в целом и России. По результатам проведенного анализа можно сделать вывод, что в большинстве случаев именно изменение динамики цен финансовых ...
Added: January 29, 2018