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Прогнозирование распространения COVID-19 в ЕС с использованием рандомизированного машинного обучения динамических моделей
Информационные технологии и вычислительные системы. 2022. № 3. С. 67–78.
The work is devoted to application of the theory of Randomized Machine Learning to forecasting of the COVID-19 pandemic based on SIR epidemiological model. We propose two modelling variants, the first is based on estimation of SIR model using real case data, the second is based on the idea of modelling transmission coefficient and its prediction. Comparative study of proposed approach is based on a comparison with the standard least squares approach and is carried out on a dataset of several countries of the European Union. It is shown the performance of the proposed approach and its effectiveness and adequacy under conditions of small amount of data with a high level of uncertainty.
Kupavskii A., Noskov F., Forum of Mathematics, Sigma 2026 Vol. 14 Article 124
We call a family of $s$ sets $\{F_1, \ldots, F_s\}$ a sunflower with $s$ petals if, for any distinct $i, j \in [s]$, one has $F_i \cap F_j = \cap_{u = 1}^s F_u$. The set $C = \cap_{u = 1}^s F_u$ is called the {\it core} of the sunflower. It is a classical result of ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Flamarion M. V., Pelinovsky E., Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 2026 Vol. 213 No. 2 Article 119245
This article concerns the study of modulational instability in the rotated-modified Gardner–Whitham (rmGW) equation. This model incorporates both quadratic and cubic nonlinearities, similarly to the Gardner equation, while also retaining the fully dispersive character of the Whitham equation together with a large-scale dispersive term analogous to that in the Ostrovsky equation. Using a classical multiple-scale asymptotic expansion, we ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Люксембург А. А., УРСС, 2005.
Изучается возможность автоматизированного построения математических теорий. Рассматривается дедуктивная система, основанная на языке логики предикатов первого порядка, объектами системы являются математические выражения или формулы, которые описывают математические объекты или их свойства. В дедуктивной системе выводятся математические определения и теоремы. Для доказательства теорем используются методы автоматического доказательства. Разработан алгоритм, выводящий часть формул системы. Для решения задачи используется аппарат математической ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Bernardin C., Gonçalves P., Olla S., Mathematical Physics Analysis and Geometry 2024 Vol. 27 No. 7
We consider the macroscopic limit for the space-time density fluctuations in the open symmetric simple exclusion in the quasi-static scaling limit. We prove that the distribution of these fluctuations converge to a gaussian space-time field that is delta correlated in time but with long-range correlations in space. ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Bernardin C., Chhaibi R., Najnudel J. et al., Probability Theory and Related Fields 2026 Vol. 195 P. 1823–1875
We study the celebrated Shiryaev-Wonham filter (Wonham, W.M., in J. Soc. Ind. Appl. Math. 347–369, 1964) in its historical setup, where the hidden Markov jump process has two states. We are interested in the weak noise regime for the observation equation. Interestingly, this becomes a strong noise regime for the filtering equations. Earlier results of ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Ismailov A., Spiridonov V., Успехи математических наук 2026 Т. 81 № 5 С. 183–184
Получена новая формула для цепной дроби Аски–Вильсона в форме отношения двух q-гипер-геометрических рядов. ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Abdulkhaev K., Shirokov D., Advances in Applied Clifford Algebras 2026 Vol. 36 P. 1–21
In this paper, we present explicit formulas for the inverse and determinant in geometric (Clifford) algebras over vector spaces of dimension n = 7. The derivation of these formulas is made possible by generalizing the concept of conjugation to basis conjugation operations. We further develop a general method for constructing such formulas over odd-dimensional spaces ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Kuninets A., IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 2026 P. 1–1
In this work we study the applicability of Quasi-Cyclic Subfield Subcodes of Dual Elliptic (QC-SSDE) codes for integration into code-based cryptographic schemes. Detailed algorithms are provided for constructing parity-check matrices as well as block-circulant parity-check matrices for this family of codes, accompanied by empirical results that enable the construction of QC-SSDE codes with predetermined dimensions. ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Medvedev G., Alexandrov Artem, Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics 2026 Vol. 114 Article 044102
Graphons are measurable functions used to describe the asymptotic behavior of convergent graph families. Originally motivated by problems in combinatorics and graph theory, graphons have found numerous applications in the modeling and analysis of dynamical processes on networks. In this work, we use graphons to formulate the Ising model on convergent graph sequences, which include ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Pochinka O., Baranov D., Nozdrinova E., Теоретическая и математическая физика 2026 Т. 229 № 1 С. 3–14
The Birman–Williams problem on describing the planetary link of a fibered knot K in S^3 has been partially solved. Using Nielsen's theory for the classification of periodic surface homeomorphisms and its close relationship with the theory of gradient-like diffeomorphisms, it is proved that the planetary link of the trefoil (the unique periodic fibered knot of genus ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Lubashevsky I., Lubashevskiy V., Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena 2026 Vol. 498 Article 135441
We develop a novel cloud-function formalism describing the dynamical relationship between sensory-information processing in large-scale brain networks (supraliminal processing) and the content of the mental representation of an observed object. The formalism combines elements of neural field theory for large-scale neural activity with the spatial characteristics of perceived objects and their embedding in the environment ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Zlotnik A., Математические заметки 2026 Т. 120 № 6 С. 1005–1009
Численным методам решения систем газодинамических уравнений посвящена обширная литература. Ранее было разработано и успешно апробировано специальное семейство симметричных по пространству консервативных разностных методов, основанных на предварительной кинетической, точнее, квазигазодинамической (КГД), регуляризации этих уравнений. Актуальной задачей является построение численных методов, которые обладают не только свойством консервативности по массе, импульсу и полной энергии, но и удовлетворяют условиям энтропийной ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Vyugin I. V., Sashadhar D., Algebra and Number Theory 2026 P. 1–10
We study the K-Fibonacci sequence Fp modulo prime p. Cardinalities of sets |Fp+Fp| and |Fp⋅Fp| are estimated. We present the method of estimating doubling constant of some m-dimensional recurrent sets in Fp. ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Kuksin S., Dynamical Systems 2026
We study the mixing properties of discrete-time and continuous-time dissipative dynamical systems driven by bounded mixing random forces. The continuous-time systems are
reduced to discrete-time random dynamical systems generated by time-one maps, so that
the main analysis is carried out in the discrete setting. We introduce a class of mixing random forcings whose regular conditional distributions with ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Kuksin S., Shirikyan A., Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations 2026 P. 1098–1100
The paper deals with the problem of large-time behaviour of trajectories for discrete-time dynamical systems driven by a random noise. Assuming that the phase space is finite-dimensional and compact, and the noise is a Markov process with a transition probability satisfying some regularity hypotheses, we prove that all the trajectories converge to a unique measure ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Potanin B., Dolgikh S., Statistics and Probability Letters 2027 Article 110984
We derive bounds on the gradient and Hessian of the log-CDF, ln F(x), of the multivariate normal distribution. These bounds scale linearly and quadratically in ‖x‖ , respectively, with constants depending only on the covariance matrix. We demonstrate the usefulness of these bounds by proving asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator of the multivariate probit ...
Added: October 1, 2026
A. V. Pereskokov, Journal of Mathematical Sciences 2026 Vol. 302 No. 4 P. 531–545
We consider the Zeeman effect problem for the hydrogen atom in a magnetic field using
irreducible representations of the Karasev–Novikova algebra with quadratic commutation
relations. We find the asymptotics of a series of eigenvalues and the corresponding
asymptotic eigenfunctions near the upper boundaries of spectral clusters. ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Артёменко В. Г., Проблемы прогнозирования 2026 № 1 С. 144–156
The article analyzes the adaptation of the ICT specialist labor market in Russia in the context of technological development and external shocks in the first half of the 2020s. Against the backdrop of a general increase in the number of ICT specialists in Russia, external shocks changed the balance of supply and demand in the labor market. In ...
Added: September 29, 2026
ARUTYUNOV G. P., TARLOVSKAYA E. I., POLYAKOV D. S. et al., Heliyon 2024 Vol. 10 No. 7 Article e28892
The aim of this study is to investigate the course of the acute period of COVID-19 and devise a prognostic scale for patients hospitalized.
Materials and methods
The ACTIV registry encompassed both male and female patients aged 18 years and above, who were diagnosed with COVID-19 and subsequently hospitalized. Between June 2020 and March 2021, a total ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Новосибирск: ИПЦ НГУ, 2025.
This edition represents the publications of the 63rd International Scientific Student Conference 2025 (ISSC-2025) theses in in oriental studies and ethnography.
These Conference materials can be of interest for students, Ph.D. candidates, professors, scientists, and members of educational institutions. ...
Added: September 26, 2026
Burkova V., Butovskaya M., , in: Principles and Forms of Sociocultural Organization: Historical Contexts of Interaction.: L., NY: Anthem Press, 2026. Ch. 12 P. 237–250.
Cross-cultural psychology and anthropology have many ways of studying human cultures in all their diversity. There are multiple theories of cultural dimensions which provide a foundation for understanding how a culture of a given society influences individual values within it and how these values shape individual behavior. The chapter presents several examples of such classifications ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Contreras Rodríguez L., Madarro-Capó E. J., Legón-Pérez C. M. et al., Entropy 2021 Vol. 23 No. 5 Article 561
Added: September 18, 2026
Васильчук М. С., Шаньков Ф. М., Chumakova M. et al., Psychology. Journal of the Higher School of Economics 2021 Vol. 18 No. 2 P. 247–258
The 2019 Coronavirus disease outbreak leads to negative psychological outcomes not only for healthcare workers and patients, but also for the general public. S. Hobfoll’s Conservation of Resources theory is one of the most applicable models for conceptualizing and evaluating natural and social catastrophes and their impact. A web-based screening has been conducted at the ...
Added: June 30, 2026
Levin J., Oprea T. I., Davidovich S. et al., Nature Biotechnology 2020 P. 1127–1131
The COVID-19 pandemic has transformed the way scientific and clinical results are shared and disseminated. According to a recent analysis, an average of 367 COVID-19 papers are being published every week, with a median time from submission to acceptance of just 6 days (compared with 84 days for non-COVID-19 content)1. These unprecedented peer review turnaround ...
Added: June 1, 2026