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Скоринг в розничном кредитовании: распространенные ошибки и их стоимость
Финансы и бизнес. 2021. Т. 17. № 4. С. 3–17.
Маракуева М. А.
The article discusses the most common mistakes in banking practice when constructing scoring models for assessing the credit risk of individuals. For a detail description, we have selected the most significant ones from the point of view of generating retail profit. With the example of logistic regression we show how much the price of each of the described mistakes. We propose some solutions to avoid common mistakes and losses of the bank when using scoring models. The article can be useful for employees of credit institutions, both those involved in building models, and middle and senior managers.
Keywords: кредитный рисккредитный скорингскоринговая модельвнутренний кредитный рейтингбанковские кредитные решениякредитная политика банкаcredit risk assessment modelcredit risk modelsBank credit decisionsмодельный рискscore calibration credit riskmodel riskAccuracy scoreскоринговая оценкастоимость ошибки скорингамодель оценки кредитного риска
Gokhberg L., Abdrakhmanova G., Kutsenko E. et al., Вопросы статистики 2026 Т. 33 № 4 С. 5–20
This article examines the methodological and practical issues associated with the transition to the new edition of the All-Russian Classifier of Economic Activities (OKVED) – OKVED3. The relevance of the study stems from the need to reflect contemporary structural changes in the economy, related to the transformation of the existing economic activities and emergence of ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Makarov I. A., Россия в глобальной политике 2026 Т. 24 № 4 (140) С. 164–182
Три с половиной года остаётся до 2030-го – окончания срока реализации Целей устойчивого развития (ЦУР) – главной международной инициативы, устанавливающей долгосрочные ориентиры для будущего человечества. Уже очевидно, что она провалилась: преодоление бедности, решение экологических проблем и построение инклюзивного и справедливого общества остались красивой мечтой. Кто-то может воспринимать ЦУР как памятник человеческой наивности. Но надо понимать, что эта ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Fedorova E., Ledyaeva S., Stepanov V., International Review of Economics and Finance 2026
This study investigates the influence of low-quality information, specifically fake news, on short
term stock returns, contributing to the discourse on signal theory and behavioral economics.
Employing a machine learning approach, the authors developed a robust fake news dataset from
publicly available sources. Sentiment analysis was conducted using a FinBERT model fine-tuned
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Added: September 12, 2026
Карпова Д. А., Sizova I., Gordin V. E., Креативные индустрии 2026 Т. 2 № 2 С. 10–31
This article examines the musealisation of industrial heritage and its role in regional and corporate branding. The relevance of this study stems from deindustrialisation processes, the growth of industrial tourism, and the need to preserve historical memory, which is particularly important in the context of Russian realities—the lack of a legal definition of the concept ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Veselova L. S., Морозова В. С., Дарчиева А. А., Управленец 2026 Vol. 17 No. 4 P. 66–78
На фоне развивающихся торгово-экономических отношений между Россией и Китаем российские десерт- ные бренды получают новые возможности для выхода на китайский рынок. Однако их присутствие ограничено преи- мущественно приграничными регионами, а продвижение сдерживается недостаточной адаптацией к социокультурным особенностям китайских потребителей. Статья посвящена разработке практических рекомендаций по формированию стратегии адаптации российских десертных брендов к специфике китайского рынка. ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Kilinc-Ata N., Warong M. M., SN Business & Economics 2026 Vol. 6 Article 326(2026)
Green transitions are widely expected to attract cleaner capital and accelerate decarbonization; however, emerging-economy evidence increasingly challenges this assumption. This study examines the dynamic relationship between energy transition indicators and capital inflows in BRICS+ economies over the period 1996–2022, explicitly testing the “Green Haven” hypothesis under conditions of global uncertainty. Unlike much of the existing ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Warong M. M., International Journal of Diplomacy and Economy 2026
This study conducted in Indonesia between 2000 and 2023, demonstrates a complex, non-linear interplay between the economic environment and the emergence of clean energy start-ups. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Markov Switching models, the research shows that start-up formation coincides with periods of lower GDP growth, suggesting that innovation is often spurred by necessity. Two ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Кореневский В. В., Экономика и математические методы 2026 Т. 25 № 3 С. 853–878
The US presidential election is a lengthy and complex process, during which candidates present their views and programs for reforming the country's politics and economy, while mass media broadcast these positions to a wide audience. In the most recent election, the topic of cryptocurrencies was used in the campaign for the electorate for the first ...
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Veselova A., Dikova D., Aray Y., Asia Pacific Journal of Management 2026
We examine board of directors’ gender diversity and corporate social responsibility (CSR) disclosure of Russian firms, and test for their effects on the market valuation of these firms. The Russian context is unique because gender disparity of boards and top management remains high in Russia due to historical legacy, absence of specific diversity-promoting regulations and ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Mozias P., Социальные и гуманитарные науки. Отечественная и зарубежная литература. Серия 9: Востоковедение и африканистика 2026 № 2 С. 173–208
Abstract. Over the years of market reforms, China has moved from an autarkic economy to the position of the world’s largest trading power, becoming a global leader both in export volume and in total foreign trade turnover. For a long time, China’s export success was commonly explained by her use of comparative advantages in labor-intensive ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Vlada Shenevskaia, Sergey Grishunin, Alyona Astakhova, , in: Proceedings of the 44th Eurasia Business and Economics Society Conference, Istanbul 2023. Eurasian Business and Economics Perspectives. (EBES, volume 31).: Switzerland: Springer, 2024. P. 209–229.
The study focuses on estimating the creditworthiness of industrial enterprises in the Eurozone and North America, using a sample of 122 companies from 2008 to 2022. The data framework consists of annual financial, macroeconomic, and ESG risk factors. The paper’s principal contribution lies in a comparative examination of advanced modelling approaches for assessing the credit ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Semenova M., Loginova Y., Balsevich A. A., Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 2026 Vol. 97 Article 103118
This paper examines the effect of board gender diversity on bank performance during the COVID-19 crisis. Using a panel dataset of 173 European banks spanning the period 2010–2022, we find that the presence of female directors on bank boards is positively associated with profitability and solvency during the pandemic period. The positive impact is more ...
Added: February 22, 2026
Ozerov K., Кутенко С. В., Деньги и кредит 2024 Т. 83 № 4 С. 98–118
Under limited data, the classical cohort method for the creation of migration matrices does not fully reflect the dynamics of the credit quality of the objects within the sample. This problem is exacerbated for objects of lower credit quality less represented in the sample. This paper investigates a continuous time approach to the creation of ...
Added: December 20, 2025
Penikas H. I., / Series Доклады Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2022. No. 92.
The Basel Internal-Ratings-Based (IRB) approach allows banks to use sufficiently good credit risk models for the daily computation of their capital adequacy ratio. However, being sufficiently good does not naturally mean being perfect. Conventionally, risk managers increase the mean probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) values by some margin when developing a model. They expect that it is sufficient to offset for potential model risk. This add-on, ...
Added: November 10, 2025
Галанов В. А., Galanova A., Наука и практика. Научно-аналитический журнал РЭУ им. Г.В. Плеханова 2025 Т. 17 № 1(57) С. 27–34
The differences between short-term and long-term types of investment in the stock market have a deep economic basis in relation to which the time period acts only as a generalizing feature that allows reflecting the holistic and complex range of economic differences between them, primarily in terms of their profitability and risks. The duration of ...
Added: May 28, 2025
Zaiane S., Semenova M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2025. No. 96FE2025.
This study examines the relationship between managerial ability (MA) and bank loan quality, employing a quantile regression model. It analyzes whether the impact of MA on loan quality changes across various quantiles of risk. Using a sample of 126 MENA banks (2006–2020), the results reveal that the impact of MA on bank loan quality varies ...
Added: February 18, 2025
Sizykh D., Kovalev R., Sizykh N., , in: 2024 17th International Conference on Management of Large-Scale System Development (MLSD).: IEEE, 2024. P. 1–5.
To improve the assessment model of credit risk by Merton for Russian financial market using the Monte Carlo simulation method and the SARIMA model for data forecasting. Nowadays, there are many methods of the assessment use in European countries. However, the applications of these methods may lead to inaccurate forecasts. In this work, modern methods ...
Added: January 15, 2025
Pomazanov M. V., Риск-менеджмент в кредитной организации (Российская Федерация) 2024 Т. 56 № 4 С. 4–16
As of 2024, the content of regulatory documents governing the transition of banks to an advanced approach (an approach based on internal ratings) allows for significant ambiguities in the design and verification of the internal rating scale. The article provides recommendations, the implementation of which will improve the correctness of rating scales. ...
Added: December 23, 2024
Galanova A., Овсяник В. А., Наука и практика. Научно-аналитический журнал РЭУ им. Г.В. Плеханова 2024 Т. 16 № 3(55) С. 37–50
Credit ratings represent an assessment of the totality of borrowers' risks, and due to the very method of compilation, they contain a large amount of information about companies which is taken into account by market participants. The impact of news release about a change in a company's credit rating on the dynamics of its stock prices can be analyzed ...
Added: December 21, 2024
Afanasev V., Финансы и бизнес 2024 Vol. 20 No. 3 P. 71–88
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Added: October 2, 2024
Крюков Г. М., Sandomirskaia M., Автоматика и телемеханика 2024 № 8 С. 54–75
В данной статье моделируется раскрытие информации о скоринговой модели. Некоторые клиенты компании узнают свой внутренний рейтинг в компании. Такие клиенты могут изменить свое поведение, чтобы повысить свой внутренний рейтинг. Клиенты, знающие об утечке информации, являются игроками, которые могут выбирать стратегию: повышать ли свой внутренний рейтинг и если да, то насколько. Главная задача – найти в ...
Added: August 28, 2024
Penikas H. I., / Банк России. Серия доклады Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2024.
In 2016, the Bank of Russia developed two ordinances to set forth a procedure using a limited sample of loans to conclude whether the level of loss provisions in the portfolio of uniform loans is sufficient or not and whether the bank’s capital is adequate.
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Author’s contribution ...
Added: June 1, 2024
Yuliana Loginova, Semenova M., / Series WP BRP "Financial Economics". 2024. No. 94/FE/2024.
This paper explores the impact of board gender diversity on bank performance during the
COVID-19 crisis. Using data from 87 European banks from 2015 to 2021, we show that the
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Arkhipova N., Karminsky A. M., Procedia Computer Science 2023 Vol. 221 P. 1091–1098
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