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Моделирование динамики инновационного развития с учетом рисков потери устойчивости и детерминированного хаоса
С. 368-376.
Petrov L. F.
The approaches to the modeling of innovative development of economic systems based on the methodology of nonlinear dynamics are proposed. The generalized nonlinear dynamic models for the analysis of economic development is discussed. The loss of stability of the dynamic mode and the area of deterministic chaos are considered in terms of risk analysis
In book
Кн. 2. , М. : Российский экономический университет имени Г.В. Плеханова, 2012
Knyazeva H., В кн. : XII Всероссийское совещание по проблемам управления. ВСПУ-2014. Москва, 16-19 июня 2014 г.: Труды [Электронный ресурс]. : М. : Институт проблем управления им. В.А. Трапезникова РАН, 2014. С. 7767-7772.
Риски, неудачи и провалы инновационных нововведений – неизбежная составляющая инновационных процессов в обществе. Инновационные процессы всегда сопровождены с рисками. Негативный опыт по производству и введению социальных инноваций имеет не меньшее значение, чем позитивный, и призван стать предметом социальной инноватики. Влияние неудачи в инновационной деятельности организации или компании выходит далеко за пределы потери ее инвестиций. Неудача ...
Added: June 13, 2014
Майнцер К., В кн. : Инновационная сложность. : СПб. : Алетейя, 2016. С. 469-508.
The classical cybernetics in the Norbert Wiener’s tradition is nowadays a part of the mathematical theory of complex systems and nonlinear dynamics. Only in these frameworks, building of structures and patterns in nature and technics can be explained and in computer models simulated. Self-organization and emergence became welldefined concepts and can be transferred to technical ...
Added: October 25, 2015
Alexeeva T.A., Kuznetsov N. V., Mokaev T. N. et al., Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2021 No. 1864 Article 012040
Dynamics of the New Keynesian model in continuous time with the Rotemberg pricing mechanism is considered within a framework of an optimal control problem. Various regimes of monetary and fiscal policy ('active' and 'passive') can lead to unstable dynamics in the economy. Parameters of the Taylor rules for both monetary and fiscal policies determine conditions ...
Added: June 3, 2021
Alexeeva T., Kuznetsov N., Mokaev T. et al., IFAC-PapersOnLine 2021 Vol. 54 No. 17 P. 26-31
Irregular fluctuations in economy lead to unpredictable effects and disrupt its stable functioning. Various tools could be used to stabilize irregular dynamics in economic models. For example, to introduce control into the model as an external function, as well as to take into account the internal characteristics of economic agents in the economy under consideration, ...
Added: February 5, 2022
Alexeeva T., Кузнецов Н. В., Мокаев Т. Н. et al., Дифференциальные уравнения и процессы управления 2023 № 4 С. 53-66
The accuracy of forecasting the expected values of economic indicators under conditions of irregular dynamics has a key role in taking optimal management decision-making. This current and complex task can be effectively solved using modern methods based on artificial intelligence, the wide introduction of which into the economy is aimed at by the Federal project "Artificial ...
Added: January 7, 2024
Knyazeva H., Курдюмов С. П., СПб. : Алетейя, 2002
Main concepts and models of the modern theory of self-organization of complex systems, called also synergetics, are generalized and formulated in the book as principles of a synergetic world view. They are under discussion in the context of philosophical studies of holism, teleology, evolutionism as well as of gestalt-psychology; they are compared with some images ...
Added: November 10, 2013
Alexeeva T., Майоров Е. В., Научно-технические ведомости Санкт-Петербургского государственного политехнического университета. Экономические науки 2014 № 2(192) С. 200-205
This article discusses examples of nonlinear models of economic dynamics and possibilities of their research
by numerical procedures in MATLAB. Demonstrated specific effects of these models, in particular, the
possibility of forming a chaotic behavior ...
Added: May 18, 2014
Knyazeva H., Курдюмов С. П., М. : КомКнига, 2006
Main concepts and models of the modern theory of self-organization of complex systems, called also synergetics, are generalized and formulated in the book as principles of a synergetic world view. They are under discussion in the context of philosophical studies of holism, teleology, evolutionism as well as of gestalt-psychology; they are compared with some images ...
Added: November 10, 2013
Alexeeva T., Barnett W., Kuznetsov N. et al., IFAC-PapersOnLine 2020 Vol. 53 No. 2 P. 16971-16976
Control and stabilization of irregular and unstable behavior of dynamic systems (including chaotic processes) are interdisciplinary problems of interest to a variety of scientific fields and applications. Using the control methods allows improvements in forecasting the dynamics of unstable economic processes and offers opportunities for governments, central banks, and other policy makers to modify the ...
Added: April 17, 2021
Knyazeva H., Курдюмов С. П., М. : КомКнига, 2005
Main concepts and models of the modern theory of self-organization of complex systems, called also synergetics, are generalized and formulated in the book as principles of a synergetic world view. They are under discussion in the context of philosophical studies of holism, teleology, evolutionism as well as of gestalt-psychology; they are compared with some images ...
Added: November 10, 2013
Knyazeva H., Курдюмов С. П., М. : КомКнига, 2007
Some texts written by me together with corresponding member of the Russian Academy of science Sergei P. Kurdyumov (1928-2004) and under his direct ideological influence are collected in the book. These texts are elaborated, systematized, brought together in the book and supplemented with new materials. Sergei P. Kurdyumov were possessed of a deep metaphysical flair ...
Added: November 10, 2013
T. A. Alexeeva, Kuznetsov N. V., Lobachev M. et al., IFAC-PapersOnLine 2022 Vol. 55 No. 40 P. 157-162
One of the central tasks of macroeconomic analysis is forecasting and control of economic agents’ expectations for key macroeconomic indicators such as inflation, gross domestic product (GDP), prices and others, etc., so that to achieve maximum level of their welfare through monetary and fiscal policy. This problem is solved within the framework of the optimal ...
Added: April 8, 2023
Екомасов Е. Г., Степанов С. В., Звездин К. А. et al., Физика металлов и металловедение 2021 Т. 122 № 3 С. 212-220
Исследована структура и динамика намагниченности в вихревом спин-трансферном наноосцилляторе, который представляет собой трехслойный спин-вентильный магнитный наностолбик большого диаметра – 400 нм, при протекании через него спин-поляризованного тока. С помощью микромагнитного моделирования было исследовано динамическое изменение структуры вихрей, траектории их движения в зависимости от величины спин-поляризованного тока. Показана возможность существования различных режимов движения вихрей: затухающие осцилляции ...
Added: April 20, 2021
М. : ЛКИ, 2008
Одной из основных целей настоящего сборника является отражение как можно более широкого спектра передовых исследований по решению основных задач, стоящих перед современным обществом. В настоящем сборнике публикуются последние достижения в области математического моделирования, управления неоднородными и неопределенными системами, системного анализа, нелинейной динамики, теории игр, построения оптимальных уравнений, робастной устойчивости и стабилизации, обработки изображений, принятия решений ...
Added: April 27, 2015
Moinak M., Vukovic D., Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity 2020 Vol. 6 No. 4 P. 1-12
The present study is on the five cryptocurrency daily mean return time series linearity dynamics during the Covid-19 period. These cryptocurrencies were chosen based on their influence on the market, primarily driven by its market capitalization. Tether is included as the most important stable coin on the market, nominally pegged to the US dollar (USD). ...
Added: November 23, 2020
Dmitriev A., Markov N., СПб. : РГПУ им. А.И. Герцена, 2014
Научная монография посвящена математическому моделированию деградации белков живых организмов, обусловленной посттрансляционными неферментативными модификациями их аминокислотных остатков. Авторы обобщают и систематизируют результаты собственных системно-динамических и теоретических исследований нарушения механизмов функционирования белков в процессе их неферментативной деградации и старения организма. Книга адресована широкому кругу специалистов, работающих в области теоретической биофизики, преподавателям, аспирантам и студентам естественнонаучных факультетов вузов, ...
Added: November 15, 2014
Saakian D., Yakushkina T., Hu C., Scientific Reports 2016 Vol. 6
We propose a modification of the Crow-Kimura and Eigen models of biological molecular evolution to include a mutator gene that causes both an increase in the mutation rate and a change in the fitness landscape. This mutator effect relates to a wide range of biomedical problems. There are three possible phases: mutator phase, mixed phase ...
Added: September 16, 2016
Garashchuk I., Kazakov A., Sinelshchikov D., Nonlinear Dynamics 2020 Vol. 101 P. 1199-1213
We study nonlinear dynamics in a system of two coupled oscillators, describing the motion of two interacting microbubble contrast agents. In the case of identical bubbles, the corresponding symmetry of the governing system of equations leads to the possibility of existence of asymptotically stable synchronous oscillations. However, it may be difficult to create absolutely identical ...
Added: September 10, 2020
Kyoto : The Institute of Systems, Control and Information Engineers , 2017
Added: November 3, 2021
Garashchuk I., Sinelshchikov D., Kudryashov N. A., Regular and Chaotic Dynamics 2018 Vol. 23 P. 257-272
Contrast agent microbubbles, which are encapsulated gas bubbles, are widely used to enhance ultrasound imaging. There are also several new promising applications of the contrast agents such as targeted drug delivery and noninvasive therapy. Here we study three models of the microbubble dynamics: a nonencapsulated bubble oscillating close to an elastic wall, a simple coated ...
Added: December 16, 2019
Kravchenko N., В кн. : XVII МЕЖДУНАРОДНАЯ ЗИМНЯЯ ШКОЛА-СЕМИНАР ПО РАДИОФИЗИКЕ И ЭЛЕКТРОНИКЕ СВЕРХВЫСОКИХ ЧАСТОТ. МАТЕРИАЛЫ ШКОЛЫ-СЕМИНАРА. ISBN 978-5-9999-2952-2. : Саратовский государственный университет им. Н.Г. Чернышевского, 2018. С. 14-18.
В июле 1916 года скончался выдающийся российский ученый в области радиофизики и электроники сверхвысоких частот, заслуженный деятель науки Российской Федерации, лидер научной школы по методам СВЧ электроники, доктор физико-математических на- ук, профессор МИЭМ НИУ ВШЭ Виктор Анатольевич Солнцев. Исследуя научное творчество В.А. Солнцева, для начала обозначим основные направ- ления его научной деятельности так, как это ...
Added: April 23, 2018
Issaev L., Malkov S. Y., Ilyin I., BioSystems 2020 Vol. 198 No. C P. 1-8
The article presents a methodology for the analysis of political crises meant to assess the current situation of sociopolitical (in)stability of the developing and developed societies in question, provide an inertial forecast of the developing situation in a given period, analyse threats to stability threats, and examine possible measures to counteract such threats and their ...
Added: August 31, 2020
Malkov S. Y., Meshcherina K., Korotayev A., BioSystems 2020 Vol. 198 P. 104231
This paper proposes a methodological approach to analyzing the evolution of the stability of socioeconomic systems and to assessing the risk of their possible destabilization based on the use of mathematical modeling methods. In this paper, a basic model is presented allowing us to describe the joint dynamics of processes in the economic, organizational, and ...
Added: August 20, 2020
Shustov P., Kuzichev I., Vasko I. et al., / arXiv. Series 2011.04198 "arXiv:2011.04198". 2020.
We present 1.5D Vlasov code simulations of the dynamics of electron holes in non-uniform magnetic and electric fields typical of current sheets and, particularly, of the Earth's magnetotail current sheet. The simulations show that spatial width and amplitude of electron holes do not substantially vary in the course of propagation, but there arises a double ...
Added: December 12, 2020