?
A methodology for analyzing and forecasting sociopolitical destabilization
BioSystems. 2020. Vol. 198. No. C. P. 1–8.
The article presents a methodology for the analysis of political crises meant to assess the current situation of sociopolitical (in)stability of the developing and developed societies in question, provide an inertial forecast of the developing situation in a given period, analyse threats to stability threats, and examine possible measures to counteract such threats and their likely influence on the situation. The methodology is based on modeling sociopolitical stability in the country in question with the help of an elaborate logical-mathematical model.
Priority areas:
humanitarian
Language:
English
Ermolin I., Suvorkov P., Conservation Biology 2026 No. e70300 P. 1–10
Illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing driven by artisanal small-scale fisheries is a critical threat to global biodiversity and is exemplified by the commercial extinction of Caspian sturgeons (Acipenser and Huso). A key knowledge gap persists regarding the scale and behavioral dynamics of these operations.We tested the hypothesis that persistent high-volume sturgeon poaching is sustained ...
Added: April 25, 2026
Strizhkova D., / Институт русской литературы (Пушкинский Дом) РАН. Серия B001 "Репозиторий открытых данных по русской литературе и фольклору". 2026.
В базе данных представлена роспись русскоязычных литературных произведений и отрывков, напечатанных в учебниках по словесности, хрестоматиях, книгах для чтения, сборниках стихотворений и рассказов, выходивших во Франции, Германии, Латвии, Эстонии, Болгарии, Сербии в период первой волны русской эмиграции с 1918 по 1939 гг. Датасет представляет интерес для исследователей школьного литературного канона, эмиграции и детского чтения ...
Added: April 22, 2026
Ankudinov I., Социология: методология, методы, математическое моделирование 2025 № 61 С. 165–203
The changing political mood of Russians is a constant subject of interest for sociological agencies. With the development of the Internet, conventional questionnaire research began to be supplemented by online surveys and, despite some skepticism, by social media mining. This article attempts to adjust an accidental web-sample so as to bring its estimates closer to ...
Added: April 22, 2026
Kanaev E., Tawares J. A., Drugov A. Y. et al., M.: IOS RAS, 2025.
The year 2025 is marked by two significant anniversaries – the 80th anniversary of Indonesia's independence and the 75th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between the Soviet Union and the Republic of Indonesia. The monograph offers the reader an in-depth analysis of the dynamics and features of the interaction between CCCH/Russia and Indonesia, ...
Added: April 21, 2026
Kanaev E., Попов А. В., Другов А. Ю. et al., М.: Институт востоковедения РАН, 2025.
The year 2025 was marked by two significant anniversaries – the 80th anniversary of Indonesia's independence and the 75th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between the Soviet Union and the Republic of Indonesia. The monograph offers the reader an in-depth analysis of the dynamics and features of the interaction between CCCH/Russia and Indonesia, ...
Added: April 21, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Fain E., Korotayev A., Conflict Management and Peace Science 2026 P. 1–23
In the field of civil war studies, there is a consensus that the risk of war decreases as income increases. Nevertheless, such consensus has not been reached in the field of civil resistance and unarmed revolutions. This paper proposes a curvilinear framework positing two opposite trends in economic development. On the one hand, it increases ...
Added: April 21, 2026
Kosevich E., Latin American Perspectives 2026 P. 1–17
This research explores the similarities and differences in the interpretation of multipolarity,
which have developed in the academic discourse of Russia and Latin America. The
paper focuses on the position that prevails in Latin America regarding the Russia–Ukraine
conflict, emphasizing the emergence of a group of countries within LAC that support
“active neutrality.” The author concludes that existing contradictions ...
Added: April 21, 2026
Baysha O., Trofimov V., Российская школа связей с общественностью 2026 № 40 С. 171–191
A growing number of scholars are warning about the dangers of the reproduction by generative AI of socio-political and ideological biases absorbed by models from the texts on which they were trained. If a given model was trained on Western media texts, it may generate narratives that reproduce West centric views of world events. This ...
Added: April 21, 2026
Gallyamova A., Grigoryev D., Journal of Environmental Psychology 2026 Vol. 112 Article 103040
Recent theoretical developments in ecological approaches to culture challenge the prevailing East–West framing of cultural variation by emphasizing a north–south axis linked to local habitat stability and climatic demands. Building on Van de Vliert et al.’s (2025) ecological analysis, we replicate their preliminary tests across 83 Russian regions and add focused analyses to clarify the ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Korotayev A., Хайруллин Т. Р., Shelkovnikov A., Восток. Афро-азиатские общества: история и современность 2025 № 1 С. 195–207
The article analyzes the Saudi-Emirati alliance formed after the events of the Arab Spring as a reaction to the strengthening of the Turkish-Qatari alliance. The common point of contact in the process of rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and the UAE was the fear and suspicion of the transnational organization Muslim Brotherhood supported by Qatar and ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Shelkovnikov A., Дорошенко Г. А., Asian Journal of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies 2025 Vol. 19 No. 3 P. 272–284
The study analyzes one of the most important elements of Russia’s foreign policy at the present stage. The stated topic is explored on the basis of three components: a study of the Russian Federation’s policy on promoting BRICS and the SCO among the Gulf countries, an analysis of the positions and degree of practical participation ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Kazun A. D., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 10: Журналистика 2026 № 1 С. 3–35
This article presents the development and validation of a short doomscrolling scale, conceptualized as excessive consumption of negative news that affects individuals’ emotional state. A five-item scale is proposed, partly based on the components model of behavioral addictions and the diagnostic criteria for addictions (DSM-5). The quality of the instrument is tested using data from ...
Added: April 20, 2026
L.: Routledge, 2026.
1989 in the East revisits the processes that led to the collapse of communist regimes in Central and Eastern Europe, the Balkans and the USSR. This disintegration appeared to be the result of complex mobilisations where the repertoires of action, the institutional and non-institutional ties, the ideological preferences, and the identities of the actors, including the ...
Added: April 19, 2026
Maltsev A., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 2 P. 102–127
Contemporary IR theory lacks a unified and complete taxonomy of interstate military-political relationships. The conceptual diversity of overlapping, often interchangeable terms (alliance, alignment, coalition, entente, strategic partnership) generates false dichotomies and a gap between fundamental alliance theories and applied studies of defense cooperation practices. This article proposes a three-dimensional classification of military alignments. Each state ...
Added: April 19, 2026
Жигунов А. Ю., / Basic Research Programme. Серия HUM "Humanities". 2026. № 1.
The article attempts to describe the features of the educational potential of Russian animation programmes in aspect of the representation of traditional spiritual and moral values. Based on media and semiotic analysis, the method of cultural and historical interpretation, animated Russian projects created from 2000 to the 2025, which were translated on television channels or streaming ...
Added: April 19, 2026
Shelkovnikov A., Азия и Африка сегодня 2025 № 7 С. 37–46
В статье рассматриваются перспективы сотрудничества России и Объединенных Арабских Эмиратов (ОАЭ) в области обеспечения информационной безопасности. Выяснено, что данное сотрудничество является частью более широкого взаимодействия, нашедшего правовое закрепление в Декларации о стратегическом сотрудничестве от 1 июня 2018 г. Успех ОАЭ в области развития информационных технологий и обеспечения информационной безопасности связан с устойчивым экономическим ростом, обеспечившим ...
Added: April 16, 2026
Vissoky G., Vigoda-Gadot E., Styrin E. M., Public Administration Review 2026 P. 1–11
We propose an interdisciplinary theoretical framework that integrates insights from political science, public administration, organizational theory, economics, psychology, sociology, and cognitive science to better understand the role of emotions in governance in the digital age. We argue that citizens' sentiments and emotional responses are central to their relationships with government institutions and bureaucracies. Building on bounded ...
Added: April 16, 2026
СПб.: Санкт-Петербургский университет технологий управления и экономики, 2026.
В настоящий сборник научных трудов включены материалы V Международной научно-практической конференции, организованной Санкт-Петербургским университетом технологий управления и экономики совместно с Законодательным Собранием Санкт-Петербурга, Институтом проблем региональной экономики РАН, Российской академией естественных наук 20-21 ноября 2025 г. В публикациях настоящего сборника рассмотрены ключевые аспекты трансформации системы государственного муниципального управления ив условиях неопределенности: адаптация государственных структур, стратегическое ...
Added: April 16, 2026
Ismagilova A., Тетради по консерватизму 2025 № 4 С. 84–95
This article examines American national conservatism—a political and intellectual movement that emerged as a response to the crisis of the liberal global order and neoliberalism. The author demonstrates how Natcons, relying on a network of foundations, media outlets, and personnel projects, have become one of the key centers of influence in the second Trump administration, ...
Added: April 15, 2026
Leonid E. Grinin, Andrey V. Korotayev, Jameelah M. Musieva, Iberoamérica 2026 No. 1 P. 22–47
The main objective of this article is to analyze the transformation of the world order in the context of the transition to a multipolar system, in which the BRICS+ alliance (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) would play a key role. This article addresses the problem of leadership in the absence of an absolute ...
Added: April 13, 2026
Kazun A. D., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 1 С. 100–117
The term "fake news" has entered not only academic discourse but also everyday language. Researchers highlight a wide range of negative consequences associated with disinformation. However, it remains unknown whether the public problematizes this situation and whether news audiences are willing to justify fake news in certain contexts. This study's empirical base comprises 119 semi-structured ...
Added: April 10, 2026
Gribkova D. E., Milshina Y., , in: Artificial Intelligence Enabled Real Time Environmental Monitoring.: Springer, 2026. P. 231–252.
The environment, as a dynamic system influenced by anthropogenic factors, requires evidence-based decision-making to ensure sustainable resource management and mitigate adverse effects. This chapter explores the transformative role of artificial intelligence (AI) in environmental decision support systems (EDSS), focusing on its potential to address complex environmental challenges. EDSS, characterized by their interactivity and ability to ...
Added: January 12, 2026
Екомасов Е. Г., Нерадовский Д. Ф., Фахретдинов М. И. et al., Челябинский физико-математический журнал 2025 Т. 10 № 2 С. 227–235
The effect of the thickness of a non-magnetic layer and the magnitude of the spin-polarized current on the coupled dynamics of two magnetic vortices in a spin-transfer nanoscillator is investigated. A spin-transfer nanoscillator in the form of a three–layer conductive cylinder with a diameter of 200 nm is considered. The features of the dynamics of ...
Added: September 28, 2025
Малахов В. С., Симон М. Е., Летняков Д. Э. et al., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2020.
The notion of “political accommodation” applied to the theory and practice of managing cultural diversity could enrich the Russian academic dictionary. Liberal democratic states invented specific mechanisms for political accommodation of cultural differences. Thanks to these mechanisms, the part of the population of a democratic state that is not ready to dissolve into the ethnocultural ...
Added: September 26, 2025