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July 9, 2026
HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
July 8, 2026
HSE Researchers Discover Who Eats Out in Russia-And Why
Around one-third of Russians (31.3%) rarely eat out or buy ready-made meals. The core group of active consumers—those who eat out or purchase prepared food almost every day or several times a week—accounts for only about 9% of the population. These are the findings of a study conducted by the HSE Institute for Social Policy. According to the researchers eating out is no longer a marker of high social status in Russia.
July 8, 2026
HSE University and RREDA Join Forces to Support 2026 Renewable Energy of the Planet Competition
HSE University and the Russia Renewable Energy Development Association (RREDA) have signed a partnership and information cooperation agreement to support Renewable Energy of the Planet—2026, a national competition with international participation for students and early-career researchers. Applications are open on the competition's website until September 20, 2026.

 

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The impact of influential shareholders on corporate dividend policy: Evidence from Russia

Journal of Economic Studies. 2023. Vol. 50. No. 4. P. 821–839.
Tatiana Ershova, Marina Zavertiaeva, Dmitry Kirpishchikov

Purpose: This study examines the impact of influential shareholders, namely, state and influential businessmen, on the dividend policies of firms. A special focus is made on the causal effect of exogenous changes: general and personal economic sanctions leading to toughened state policies concerning dividends. 

Design/methodology/approach: Ninety Russian firms included into the Moscow Stock Exchange Broad Market Index were examined for a period from 2009 to 2019 using a generalized method of moments and tobit model. The effect of personal sanctions was elucidated with the use of difference-in-differences method with multiple time periods. 

Findings: The analysis showed that, government or businessmen’s ownership does not affect dividend payments. However, after 2014, state-owned companies began to increase their payments. At the same time, owing to a series of changes triggered by general economic sanctions, businessmen-owned companies decrease their dividends payout ratio. Personal sanctions imposed do not have long-term effect on Russian companies’ dividends.

Originality/value: This study estimates the effect of ownership structure on dividend payouts after an exogenous changes. The results show that there is heterogeneity in influential owners' decisions regarding dividends and changes strengthening it.

Research target: Economics and Management
Language: English
DOI
Keywords: дивидендыгосударственная собственностьсанкцииstate ownershipdividendssanctionsструктура собственности компании ownership structureinfluential businessmenвлиятельные бизнесмены
Publication based on the results of:
Конкурентоспособность и опережающее развитие российского бизнеса на основе интеллектуальных ресурсов (2018)
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