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Пространственно-эконометрическое моделирование экономического роста российских регионов: имеют ли значение институты?
Экономическая политика. 2021. Т. 16. № 2. С. 34–59.
Demidova O., Камалова Э. -.
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Bogatyrev R., Sandomirskaia M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2026. No. 19(1).
This work develops a tractable model of price competition in fragmented markets where consumers consider both local and distant varieties, with cross-regional purchases subject to stochastic costs. Global competition and full localization emerge as polar cases; hybrid competition is not merely intermediate and exhibits distinctive features such as an endogenous price ceiling and non-monotonic entry ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Синяков А. А., Зверева В., Шелованова Т. И., / Центральный банк Российской Федерации. Серия 132 / 2024 "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 132.
At the end of 2023, Russia updated its Strategy for Improving Financial Literacy and Developing Financial Culture Until 2030. Unlike the previous strategy, the current strategic goals include not only financial literacy but also financial culture. ‘Culture’ is normative and socially preferred behaviour. The updated strategy brings into focus the relationship between financial literacy and responsible financial behaviour. To explore this relationship, the authors rely on data from the All-Russian Survey of Consumer Finance (2020 and 2022). Socially ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2026 Т. 30 № 2 С. 344–376
The article analyzes the transformation of China's economic growth mechanisms in the period after Xi Jinping came to power, with a focus on interprovincial heterogeneity. Based on panel data for 29 provinces of China for 2001-2024, the Bayesian hierarchical regression model is estimated, which makes it possible to identify both average (fixed) and provincial-specific (random ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D. et al., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний Национального исследовательского университета «Высшая школа экономики» подготовил информационно-аналитический материал, характеризующий экономические настроения российских предпринимателей и потребителей в I кв. 2026 г. - «Индекс экономического настроения (ИЭН ВШЭ)». Информационная база мониторинга содержит накопленную за 1998-2026 гг. категориальную статистику «балансов мнений», базирующуюся на ответах респондентов. Такая «мягкая» качественная статистика ...
Added: May 20, 2026
Майхрович М. Я., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2025 Т. 60 № 5 С. 178–208
Macroeconomic instability in the period of 2020–2024 has revived discussions about its impact on economic convergence processes and methods for assessing the convergence of developing and developed countries. This paper presents a systematic analysis of modern econometric approaches and existing limitations in testing the convergence hypothesis. The methodological framework is based on classical Solow economic ...
Added: April 29, 2026
Майхрович М. Я., Современная мировая экономика 2023 Т. 1 № 4 С. 48–71
The catch-up effect has always been a pressing issue in economics: are developing countries truly catching up with technologically advanced countries, and is the economic gap between rich and poor countries narrowing over the long term? This article aims to test the hypothesis of economic convergence across countries, a key research issue in the field ...
Added: April 29, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
International Organisations Research Journal 2025 Vol. 20 No. 3 P. 147–170
This paper examines the long-term and short-term relationships between economic growth, trade, industrialization, renewable energy consumption, and environmental degradation (CO2 emissions) in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan from 1990 to 2022 using a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. The study employs correlation analysis, panel cointegration tests, and pooled ARDL to capture the dynamic interactions among ...
Added: March 26, 2026
Spankulova L., Besstremyannaya G., Zhumartova B., Journal of Mathematics, Mechanics and Computer Science 2026 Vol. 129 No. 1 P. 97–113
The article focuses on spatial economic development and regional inequality in the Republic of Kazakhstan, with an emphasis on the factors and policy conditions that create disparities between regions. The empirical analysis is based on a panel of 16 Kazakhstani regions for 2001-2017 (272 observations). The dependent variable is the logarithm of GRP per capita. ...
Added: March 22, 2026
Grigoryev L. M., Vasileva A., Современная мировая экономика 2025 Т. 3 № 1 С. 6–30
The article demonstrates the disparity of economic growth in the European Union from 2000 to 2023. Countries within the European Union are divided into three geographical and historical groups: the North, the South, and the East. The post-socialist East has considerably narrowed the gap in GDP per capita at PPP (in constant 2021 prices) with ...
Added: March 21, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Bratersky M., Актуальные проблемы Европы 2026 № 1 С. 99–118
Since 2008, the European Union has faced serious economic difficulties. Some of the causes were external (the global financial crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic), while others were generated internally (for example, the 2009 debt crisis and rising production costs since 2022). Typically, the EU’s economic problems are analyzed in isolation, as a series of unrelated events. ...
Added: February 14, 2026
Senin V., Хамидуллин Т. Р., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2025 № 2 (56) С. 19–31
The past four years have been an extremely challenging period for our economy. Thus, the country faced a covid and the restrictions it caused, followed by the need to rebuild the real sector and services affected by the pandemic. Then a special military operation began and was followed by the imposition of sanctions, the withdrawal ...
Added: February 13, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Vishnevskaya N., Zudina A. A., Мировая экономика и международные отношения 2026 Т. 70 № 5 С. 96–106
In 2023–2024 OECD labor markets were generally recovering in terms of employment and unemployment rates after the previous stagnation during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the existence of a significant array of unfilled jobs remains one of the acute economic problems, affecting most OECD countries, as well as a considerable number of industries and occupations. Such ...
Added: January 22, 2026