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Testing Hypotheses on the Street Protest Efficiency Factors: Combined Statistical Strategy
P. 1–4.
Zheglov S., Akhremenko A. S.
This paper explores the relationship between the characteristics of a street protest and its effectiveness. We propose a new approach to solving the problem through the use of a combination of several statistical techniques: the logistic
regression models with mixed effects from the Frequentist approach, the hierarchical modeling from the Bayesian
approach, the propensity score matching from the Quasiexperimental approach
Клестов Д. А., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2025 Т. 119 № 4 С. 73–106
The article examines the phenomenon of extraordinary police violence in democratic states, which manifested during several protest waves in recent years. Drawing on protests against inequality in Chile and anti-lockdown protests in the Netherlands and Australia, the author shows that even consolidated democracies may witness police resort to disproportionate force. Each case is analyzed through ...
Added: May 23, 2026
Вадим Устюжанин, Дмитрий Семичев, Леонид Гринин et al., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 1 С. 9–61
The revolutionary process in the 21st century has undergone significant changes, and with the destabilization of democracy and the transformation of the world order, the number of revolutionary episodes has only increased, acquiring new goals and forms. In the countries of the Global South, as the population grew, millions of people began to come out ...
Added: March 25, 2026
Kapustina L., Педченко С. С., Социология власти 2025 Т. 37 № 4 С. 138–162
Socio-legal studies have consistently documented the phenomenon of the “female discount”—a tendency for female defendants to receive more lenient punishments than male defendants. However, the literature on courts in authoritarian regimes suggests that decision-making patterns may differ in cases involving state interests. We analyze 15,229 court decisions under the most common parts (2, 5, 6.1, ...
Added: December 22, 2025
Sedashov E., Vitaly Kabernik, Stukal D., , in: 2025 18th International Conference on Management of Large-Scale System Development (MLSD).: IEEE, 2025. P. 1–4.
We offer a novel approach to the measurement of national power. The approach consists of two related parts: raw data processing and a measurement model. Suggested approach improves existing practices by allowing dynamic changes in the weights of national power components. It also returns credible intervals around point estimates, paving the way for statistical comparisons ...
Added: November 21, 2025
Аракчеев В. А., Территория: журнал исторических исследований 2025 Т. 1 № 2 С. 11–36
The article presents research findings of the fundamental principles of Pskov’s life in mid-17th century that determined social interaction trajectories during the uprising of 1650: provision system of “streltsy” garrison, arming the townspeople, and market mechanisms for the urban economy functioning. It is shown that the dispersed structure of population distribution, when the courtyards of ...
Added: October 29, 2025
Egorova G., Территория: журнал исторических исследований 2025 Т. 1 № 2 С. 276–319
This article presents a microhistorical study of a provincial Russian Orthodox priest Nikolai Petrov's life, through the lens of his wife Nadezhda Yakovetskaya's memoir. Dated 1970, her letter is a valuable source for understanding the fate of Russian clergy after 1917. The biography of Petrov as “an ordinary man” from rural intelligentsia, reflects all the ...
Added: September 22, 2025
Бадиков Р. А., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 2. История 2024 Т. 69 № 1 С. 22–38
The article examines a series of events related to the criminal prosecution of Nikolai Kornatovsky, a prominent party historian, professor, and the former dean of the Faculty of History at Leningrad State University. Amidst the political purges of the 1940s and 1950s, echoing the “Leningrad Affair”, Kornatovsky was expelled from the party, dismissed from high ...
Added: September 9, 2025
Avanesian G., Rozhkova K., International Journal of Educational Research 2025 Vol. 133 Article 102680
Academic achievement at school as a crucial determinant of further educational attainment is largely affected by family socio-economic status (SES). Non-cognitive skills may, at least partly, mediate this effect and serve as a promising aim for educational policy in leveling educational inequality. Based on OECD Survey for Social and Emotional Skills (OECD SSES), this paper ...
Added: June 18, 2025
Smirnov N., Высшее образование в России 2025 Т. 34 № 3 С. 77–99
The study examines the effects of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research grant programme for doctoral students. It analyses the impact of the programme, implemented in 2019–2020, designed to support dissertation research among doctoral candidates. The study investigates the effects of receiving a grant on doctoral students’ outcomes and scientific productivity, specifically their successful thesis ...
Added: April 10, 2025
Shakina E., Barajas A., Sánchez-Fernández P., Heliyon 2024 Vol. 10 No. 14
Added: November 30, 2024
Shishkina A., Asia and Africa today 2024 Vol. 7 P. 49–56
This article is aimed at studying the inclusion of women in the processes of political participation using the example of the Arab Spring protests. New information technologies and, in particular, social media allowed women to participate in the Arab Spring demonstrations as organizers, activists and journalists. Due to the fact that men in the re- ...
Added: November 11, 2024
Entina E., Россия в глобальной политике 2024 С. 1–7
Как бы жили Сербия и сербы, если бы регулярно не попадали в новостные сводки? – Безвкусно! То есть совершенно не в стиле маленького народа с большой историей и даже не под стать соседям. Виктора Орбана клюёт брюссельская рать; на Роберта Фицо совершено покушение; Милораду Додику грозят арестом; в Белграде своя история-фаворит – перманентная угроза «цветной ...
Added: August 16, 2024
Stukal D., Политическая наука 2024 № 2 С. 37–54
Empirical research in Comparative Politics and International Relations is often built not only on statistical data, but also on expert evaluation data. However, the methods of data analysis employed in this case often fail to account for the differences between statistical and expert evaluation data, and disregard the extra uncertainty in the latter. This article ...
Added: June 28, 2024
Andrei Akhremenko, Koncha V., Journal of Social Policy Studies 2025 Vol. 23 No. 4 P. 781–794
Due to the heterogeneous composition of modern opposition movements, protesters may have two different types of identity: a narrow one associated with their political group or organization or a widespread identity related to the opposition as a whole. Accordingly, the authorities can use two types of repression: broad, directed against the entire opposition, or targeted, ...
Added: May 13, 2024
Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov, Leonid Grinin et al., Cross-Cultural Research 2025 Vol. 59 No. 2 P. 180–215
In this article, we analyze an inverted U-shaped relationship between the type of regime (on the autocracy-democracy scale) and the risks of revolutionary destabilization. Anocracies tend to be more vulnerable to revolutionary destabilization than full autocracies or full (consolidated) democracies. We also point to a strong positive association between the weakening of autocracies and the ...
Added: April 8, 2024
Беленков В. Е., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2024 № 1(112) С. 164–186
Although the relationship between state coercive measures
and protests has long been studied in Political Science, there are a number of
gaps in the modern research studies about the impact of repressions on street
protest activity. A serious flaw in these studies is their focus on the influence
of repressions on the existing protest campaigns, with little attention to ...
Added: March 14, 2024
Korotayev A., Andrew Zhdanov, Gleb Krivenko, Comparative Sociology 2024 Vol. 23 No. 1 P. 98–126
This analysis finds that the impact of elections on risks of armed insurrections is not statistically significant, whereas unarmed uprisings/nonviolent revolutions are more likely to occur in the election year. It is also shown that the influence of elections on unarmed revolutionary destabilization had tended to grow with time. The election
year became a significant factor ...
Added: February 26, 2024
Gebauer M., IZA Journal of Labor Policy 2023 Vol. 13 Article 03
This study develops a search and matching model for labour markets with temporary and permanent contracts. It matches empirical patterns of higher matching rates and lower surplus for temporary workers and predicts an increase in separation taxes leads to a fall in the number of new permanent jobs, an increase in their wages, and stable ...
Added: December 2, 2023