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Динамика дестабилизации в Йеменской Республике. Несколько наблюдений
С. 501–516.
Publication based on the results of:
In book
Вып. 10. , Издательство "Учитель", 2019.
Korotayev A., Chernomorchenko I., Медведев И. А., Восток. Афро-азиатские общества: история и современность 2026 № 3 С. 117–130
This study employs machine learning methods to rank factors contributing to large-scale armed and unarmed destabilization across Asian and African countries. Analysis reveals that African nations demonstrate greater vulnerability to armed destabilization (up to full-scale civil wars), whereas Asian countries are more prone to less violent unarmed forms (mass antigovernment demonstrations, riots, general strikes and ...
Added: June 21, 2026
Боков Т. А., В кн.: Дорога науки: сборник статей в честь 80-летия академика М.Б. Пиотровского.: СПб.: Издательство Русской христианской гуманитарной академии, 2024.
This article examines how the knowledge about Yemen (always insufficient and often highly unreliable) was formed amongst the external observers throughout the written history.
Basing on the wide range of sources, including the Bible and the Quran as well as works of ancient and medieval Western and Arab authors it is demonstrated that the perception of ...
Added: December 23, 2025
Pryanikova A., Вестник РГГУ. Серия «Политология. История. Международные отношения» 2025 № 2 С. 102–113
This article examines the specifics of the impact of the global food crisis on the Middle East region using the examples of three Middle Eastern states: Jordan, Yemen and United Arab Emirates. The author considers the general situation of the region in terms of food availability since the beginning of the food crisis (in 2022), ...
Added: December 4, 2025
Медведев И. А., Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V. et al., История и современность 2024 № 3 (53) С. 18–44
The article presents an assessment of the risks of large-scale political destabilization/civil wars in African countries using machine learning techniques. The main focus is on the application of algorithms, in particular the CatBoost model, to the analysis of a wide range of data from interdisciplinary sources (economic, social and political). A distinction is made between ...
Added: April 21, 2025
Naumkin V., Колоскова Е. М., Vizirova E., В кн.: Дорога науки: сборник статей в честь 80-летия академика М.Б. Пиотровского.: СПб.: Издательство Русской христианской гуманитарной академии, 2024. С. 619–646.
The article deals with nostalgic (“passéistic”) trends in the popular ideological discourse of today's inhabitants of the island of Soqotra as reflected in modern folklore of the Soqotrans. In spite of the extremely hard living conditions on pre-modern Soqotra, the perception of this period as a “golden age” is stubbornly persistent in the mentality of ...
Added: February 3, 2025
СПб.: Издательство Русской христианской гуманитарной академии, 2024.
Сборник статей в честь академика М. Б. Пиотровского, видного российского востоковеда, историка искусств и многолетнего руководителя двух ведущих петербургских центров изучения Востока — Государственного Эрмитажа и Восточного факультета СПбГУ. Сборник-фестшрифт приурочен к 80-летию этого выдающегося деятеля науки и культуры. В сборнике приняли участие коллеги юбиляра — ближневосточники и древневосточники СПбГУ, а также известные ученые из ...
Added: December 28, 2024
М.: Издательство "Учитель", 2023.
Усиливающаяся роль Африки в мировых процессах заставляет мировое сообщество более пристально следить за развитием событий на африканском континенте. Регулярно проводимые конференции африканистов и других специалистов позволяют достаточно оперативно осмысливать изменения на африканском континенте. В основу сборника положены материалы проведен‐ ной 5 декабря 2023 г. Центром цивилизационных и региональных исследова‐ ний Института Африки РАН и Комиссией по социальным и культурным про‐ блемам глобализации Научного Совета «Истории мировой культуры» при Президиуме РАН конференции на тему «Перспективы процессов дестабили‐ зации в странах Африки». В ней приняли участие представители ведущих научных и образовательных центров России. Авторами статей приведены воз‐ можные сценарии развития общественно‐политической ситуации в странах африканского континента в краткосрочной перспективе, а также предложены пути разрешения конфликтных ситуаций, ...
Added: November 3, 2024
Илья Сумерников, Андрей Уфимцев, Slav M. et al., Социологическое обозрение 2024 Т. 23 № 1 С. 302–356
Since the beginning of the 21st century, the number of empirical studies devoted to the analysis of factors influencing the risks of terrorist activity has increased significantly. At the same time, estimates of the impact of individual factors may differ in different studies, which is why there is a need for a generalizing work in ...
Added: April 1, 2024
Korotayev A., Andrew Zhdanov, Gleb Krivenko, Comparative Sociology 2024 Vol. 23 No. 1 P. 98–126
This analysis finds that the impact of elections on risks of armed insurrections is not statistically significant, whereas unarmed uprisings/nonviolent revolutions are more likely to occur in the election year. It is also shown that the influence of elections on unarmed revolutionary destabilization had tended to grow with time. The election
year became a significant factor ...
Added: February 26, 2024
Боков Т. А., Восточный курьер 2023 № 3 С. 21–34
This paper examines reasons which made the Yemeni Government start a large-scale military operation against the Huthis in June 2004. It is noted that this operation led to a constantly unfolding armed conflict (2004–2010) and heavily influenced both Huthi Movement and the Government. It was exactly the point from which a rapid transformation of the ...
Added: November 29, 2023
Egor Fain, Issaev L., Korotayev A., , in: Terrorism and Political Contention. New Perspectives on North Africa and the Sahel Region.: Springer, 2024. P. 133–150.
Added: November 15, 2023
Atanasiu M., Besenyő J., Denisova T. et al., Springer, 2024.
Against the backdrop of terrorist activity and the emergence of new conflicts in the MENA region, this book identifies factors of political contestation and analyzes organizational forms and dynamics of terrorism and conflict in North Africa and the Sahel. Written by an international selection of authors from different fields, the book covers topics such as ...
Added: November 15, 2023
Korotayev A., Shishkina A., Critical Sociology 2024 Vol. 50 No. 1 P. 177–182
We show that in the post-revolutionary Tunisian case we are dealing here with the famous inverted J-curve effect that was first described by James C. Davies (1962)—risks of revolutionary destabilization are especially high when a pronounced economic slowdown comes after a few years of dynamic economic growth that creates inflated expectations. And this destabilization can ...
Added: November 15, 2023