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News
July 9, 2026
HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
July 8, 2026
HSE Researchers Discover Who Eats Out in Russia-And Why
Around one-third of Russians (31.3%) rarely eat out or buy ready-made meals. The core group of active consumers—those who eat out or purchase prepared food almost every day or several times a week—accounts for only about 9% of the population. These are the findings of a study conducted by the HSE Institute for Social Policy. According to the researchers eating out is no longer a marker of high social status in Russia.
July 8, 2026
HSE University and RREDA Join Forces to Support 2026 Renewable Energy of the Planet Competition
HSE University and the Russia Renewable Energy Development Association (RREDA) have signed a partnership and information cooperation agreement to support Renewable Energy of the Planet—2026, a national competition with international participation for students and early-career researchers. Applications are open on the competition's website until September 20, 2026.

 

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Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)

Vol. 2795. CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2020.
Academic editor: Alexander Shapoval, Popov V., Makarov I.

Summary: There were 22 papers submitted for peer-review to the conference. Out of these, 16 papers were accepted for this volume, 7 as regular papers and 9 as short papers.

Chapters
Software System Behavior Can Be Analyzed with Visual Analytics
Yaroslav V. Kotylev, Mitsyuk A. A., , in: Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)Vol. 2795.: CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2020. P. 46–56.
Enterprise software systems are usually large and complex. They can have complicated architecture and millions of different states. It is difficult to imagine a process of designing new software system or analysis of developed system without various modeling techniques. Visual presentation of the software system structure and behavior provides possibilities which can facilitate better analysis. ...
Added: October 21, 2020
Real-Time Vehicle Type Detection and Counting from Road Camera Video
Denis Zuenko, Makarov I., , in: Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)Vol. 2795.: CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2020. P. 92–98.
In this paper, we study automatic recognition and counting of vehicles in the wild. For this problem, we tested several object detection models for car type recognition among five classes: Bicycle, Bus, Car, Motorcycle, Truck, Van. We extend existing dataset in order to balance classes and achieve classification quality for detected cars with 92% mAP ...
Added: January 4, 2021
Content Based Video Retrieval System for Distorted Video Queries
Boris Tseytlin, Makarov I., , in: Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)Vol. 2795.: CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2020. P. 99–107.
We consider the task of content-based video retrieval (CBVR) given a query video, which is expected to match if it is a distorted short subsequence of a reference video from a database. In this paper, we present a CBVR system architecture that is both robust and scalable. We use a modified rHash frame fingerprint generation ...
Added: January 4, 2021
Named Entity Recognition from Chernobyl Documentaries
Daniil Tikhomirov, Nikitinsky N., Makarov I., , in: Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)Vol. 2795.: CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2020. P. 133–139.
The paper describes a system that extracts facts and opinions from documentary texts to create a domain ontology of a controversial topic for Chernobyl disaster. The pipeline of the system is based on RNNbased NER module, which was tested on an annotated text corpora. ...
Added: January 4, 2021
Twitter Critical Phases Identification Based on Time Series of Microposts Analysis
Dmitriev A., Dmitriev V., Balybin S., , in: Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)Vol. 2795.: CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2020. Ch. 2795 P. 140–145.
Based on the basic principles of the self-organized criticality theory, we proposed an identifiers of network criticality. The identifiers allow you to determine the subcritical and supercritical phases of Twitter, using only the results of the analysis of the time series of microposts. The most significant result is the existence of two classes of time ...
Added: January 10, 2021
Model of General Equilibrium in Multisector Economy with Monopolistic Competition and Hypergeometric Utilities
Vasily M. Goncharenko, Alexander B. Shapoval, Lipagina L., , in: Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)Vol. 2795.: CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2020. P. 108–116.
We consider a general equilibrium model in a multisector economy with 𝑛 high-tech sectors where singleproduct firms compete monopolistically producing a differentiated good. Homogeneous sector is characterized by perfect competition. Workers attempt to find a job in high-tech sectors because of higher wages. However, it is possible for them to remain unemployed. Wages of employees ...
Added: January 13, 2021
Compositional conformance checking of nested petri nets and event logs of multi-agent systems
Mecheraoui K., Carrasquel Gamez J. C., Lomazova I. A., , in: Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)Vol. 2795.: CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2020. P. 34–45.
This paper presents a compositional conformance checking approach between nested Petri nets and event logs of multi-agent systems. By projecting an event log onto model components, one can perform conformance checking between each projected log and the corresponding component. We formally demonstrate the validity of our approach proving that, to check fitness of a nested ...
Added: January 14, 2021
Why the conservative basel III portfolio credit risk model underestimates losses?
Penikas H. I., , in: Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)Vol. 2795.: CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2020. P. 69–78.
Соглашения Базель II и III позволяют банкам использовать собственную статистику дефолтов для оценки параметров регулирования (риск-весов) в нормативе достаточности капитала. Банк вносит собственные оценки параметров в модель Васичека. На выходе получается распределение кредитных потерь. Регулятор требует взять 99.9%-ный квантиль такого распределения как меру риска (риск-вес). Говоря регулятор, мы имеем в виду любой Центральный Банк, который ...
Added: January 18, 2021
Modeling the Protest-Repression Nexus
Akhremenko A. S., Petrov A., , in: Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)Vol. 2795.: CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2020. Ch. 1 P. 1–11.
Over the last 30 years, numerous studies have shown that repression can de-crease, increase, or have some kind of a nonlinear or mixed impact on the intensity of protest. This problem is usually referred to as the “protest-repression nexus” or the “punishment puzzle”, and it is still not resolved. The mathematical and computational model that we present in ...
Added: March 3, 2021
Priority areas: IT and mathematics
Language: English
Text on another site
Keywords: modelling of complex systemsmulti-agent systemscomplex systemssimulation modellingsoftware testing and debugging
Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2020 (MACSPro 2020)
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