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Multilevel exponential random graph models application to civil participation studies
P. 265–275.
Kuskova V., Khvatsky Gregory, Zaytsev D., Talovsky N.
Due to the development of the Internet and social networks, civil participation in political processes is taking new forms, not accounted for in the classical theoretical frameworks. In this study, we present a new methodology for researching these new, unconventional forms of civil participation. We use data collected from a social network site VK.com. Social network analysis methods, such as multilevel exponential random graph models (ERGM) were used to analyze the data. First proposed by Wang in 2013, multilevel ERGM allows us to model tie formation in a wide class of social networks. This method allows us to efficiently model group membership based on node attributes. Since the collected data is fundamentally 2-mode, this model allows us to identify the important factors that lead people to join online protest communities.
Publication based on the results of:
In book
Vol. 11832. , Cham: Springer, 2019.
Chernomorchenko I., Ilya Medvedev, Korotayev A., Cross-Cultural Research 2026 P. 1–49
This study investigates which structural factors most strongly predict armed and unarmed revolutionary destabilization across Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), as well as Asia using country–year data for 1950–2022 and a set of economic, demographic, political, and climatic indicators. It employs an interpretable machine learning framework (CatBoost with SHAP values ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Maltseva D., Shcheglova T., Vashchenko V., Социологические исследования 2026 № 1 С. 62–74
The article continues to present the results of the analysis of collaboration networks of Russian sociologists in 2010–2021. It was conducted on the basis of data on co-authorship of scientific articles indexed in the electronic library eLibrary (75,232 scientific publications on sociology). The methodology of bibliometric network analysis implies the construction of several types of ...
Added: May 12, 2026
Nisnevich Y. A., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Политология 2026 Т. 28 № 1 С. 80–95
The study presents an analysis of the role of citizens in a modern state, the
mechanisms and results of their influence on the management of state affairs, and how and what
influence they have on the activities of the state. It is shown that citizens of democratic states
exert a decisive influence on state activities through the institution ...
Added: April 8, 2026
Korotayev A., Egor Fain, Julia Zinkina et al., Critical Sociology 2025 P. 1–20
The theory of revolutions has faced major challenges, one of the most important being how to conceptualize revolutions. The theory currently needs novel foci. One potential novel concept is “coupvolution,” which can be defined as a type of revolutionary events with elements of both a coup and a revolution. We highlight the importance of a ...
Added: November 6, 2025
Maltseva D., Kim A., Semenova A., Operations Research Forum 2025 Vol. 6 Article 89
Due to the non-linear nature of the development of the sociological discipline in the Soviet time, and the existing inequality between central cities and regions in mod- ern Russia, the community of Russian sociologists is characterized by a low level of integration at the local level and selective representation in the international sci- entific community. ...
Added: June 26, 2025
Springer, 2024.
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Analysis of Images, Social Networks and Texts, AIST 2024, held in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, during October 17–19, 2024.
The 16 full papers included in this book were carefully reviewed and selected from 70 submissions. They were organized in topical sections as follows: Natural Language Processing; Computer Vision; Data Analysis and Machine Learning; ...
Added: May 29, 2025
Gorshkov S., Ignatov D. I., Chernysheva A., IEEE Access 2025 Vol. 13 P. 46732–46746
This paper presents a novel approach to predicting student dropout by analyzing publicly available data from VKontakte social network profiles. Unlike traditional methods that primarily rely on academic and institutional data, our method leverages publicly available content, including photos, videos, music preferences, and textual posts. Image and video content were analyzed using scene recognition models ...
Added: March 20, 2025
Gorshkov S., Ilyushin E., Chernysheva A. et al., International Journal of Open Information Technologies 2021 Vol. 9 No. 5 P. 12–17
Topic modeling is one of the most widely used methods in text analysis. It can be used to select topics as well as to find the topics distributed in each document from the corpus. In this article, we present a method for clustering communities in the social network VKontakte (the most popular Russian social network) ...
Added: December 25, 2024
Maltseva D., Batagelj V., Journal of Data and Information Science 2024 Vol. 9 No. 4 P. 110–154
Purpose
We analyzed the structure of a community of authors working in the field of social network analysis (SNA) based on citation indicators: direct citation and bibliographic coupling metrics. We observed patterns at the micro, meso, and macro levels of analysis.
Design/methodology/approach
We used bibliometric network analysis, including the “temporal quantities” approach proposed to study temporal networks. Using ...
Added: November 27, 2024
Akhremenko A. S., Sinitsina A., Соловьев В. А., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2024 № 3(114) С. 59–81
In this paper, the authors propose a new methodology to analyze the dynamics of large-scale online network structures caused by significant exogenous shocks (foreign policy crises and the onset of military conflicts). The focus is on diagnosing cohesion or polarization processes. On the first step, mechanisms at the micro-level that may lead to consolidation or ...
Added: September 26, 2024
Korotayev A., Шадрова А. О., Соковнина Е. М. et al., Journal of Globalization Studies 2024 Vol. 15 No. 1 P. 110–138
There is no doubt that the Arab Spring triggered a global wave of social and political destabilization which significantly exceeded the scale of the Arab Spring itself and affected all the world-system zones, including Asian countries.2 The analysis suggests that in the Asian region there were two waves of destabilization caused by the Arab Spring. ...
Added: July 12, 2024
Vadim V. Ustyuzhanin, Ilya A. Medvedev, Andrey I. Ufimtsev et al., Journal of Globalization Studies 2023 Vol. 14 No. 2 P. 155–164
At a time of growing socio-political instability, the analysis of the numerous protests taking place around the world is becoming of the utmost interest. This article focuses on the dynamics of non-violent destabilization processes, which are becoming increasingly dominant even in developing countries and less developed regions with many socio-economic and political problems. The authors provide ...
Added: January 22, 2024
Kim A., Maltseva D., Monitoring Obshchestvennogo Mneniya: Ekonomichekie i Sotsial'nye Peremeny 2024 No. 1 P. 202–228
This study deals with an approach to stability evaluation of the community structure on the example of Russian sociologists’ Facebook group. Based on the data from the Facebook group, which consists of 7 years of communication from 2011 till 2018, we constructed the networks based on commenting and reacting. The participants’ activity includes four main ...
Added: December 7, 2023
Fokina A., Chepovskiy A., Chepovskiy A., Вестник Новосибирского государственного университета. Серия: Информационные технологии 2023 Т. 21 № 2 С. 29–38
When forming graphs of interacting objects built when importing data from social networks and instant messaging
networks, text data also act as vertex attributes. In this paper, the authors describe a text research methodology based on corpus analysis procedures. The purpose of this article is to test the methodological tools provided by the TXM software for the ...
Added: October 9, 2023
Balandin Y., Gaivoronsky Y., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2023 № 3(110) С. 67–90
The article is devoted to testing different approaches to explaining the turnover of the heads of the Russian regions after the return of direct gubernatorial elections. Until recently, two basic explanatory models of gubernatorial turnovers — electoral and socio-economic — were the most popular among the Russian political scientists. The influence on such turnovers of ...
Added: September 19, 2023
Kashin V., Pyatachkova A., Potashev N. et al., Мировая экономика и международные отношения 2023 Т. 67 № 8 С. 84–94
. Various examples of the social science research show that, historically, any nation going through some drastic changes in its political and economic system is vulnerable to tendencies of social unrest and political instability. The processes of political modernization after establishment of the PRC and “reforms and openness” going since 1978 up to this day ...
Added: August 25, 2023
Асеева Я. О., Fokina A., В кн.: Информационно-телекоммуникационные технологии и математическое моделирование высокотехнологичных систем: материалы Всероссийской конференции с международным участием, Москва, РУДН, 17–21 апреля 2023 г.: М.: Российский университет дружбы народов, 2023. С. 290–294.
Recently, the number of Telegram messenger users worldwide has exceeded 700 million people in monthly terms and continues to grow every day. Telegram is used not only to exchange personal messages, but it has also become a leading platform for political, cultural and news channels — an alternative to traditional media. The purpose of this ...
Added: June 8, 2023
Matveeva N., Batagelj V., Ferligoj A., Scientometrics 2023 Vol. 128 No. 8 P. 4219–4242
The goal of the paper is to identify groups/clusters of countries with similar scientific collaboration "profiles" inside the group and to other groups of countries. The collaboration is described by co-authorship of a publication network that can be analyzed on the original co-authorship network. However, the network is dominated by large values in rows and ...
Added: June 8, 2023
Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A., Cross-Cultural Research 2023 Vol. 57 No. 4 P. 352–390
Is there a relationship between education and the type of revolutionary action – violent or nonviolent? Past studies found a positive relationship between the education and nonviolence, but the influence that education produces on the form that revolution takes has not yet been explored. We show several possible mechanisms that push the educated population to ...
Added: March 7, 2023
Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A., Comparative Sociology 2023 Vol. 22 No. 1 P. 95–137
In recent years, the question of what form a revolutionary uprising will take – armed or unarmed – has been raised more often. This is because, as shown by numerous studies, revolutionary nonviolence can explain why an uprising fails or succeeds to lead to democracy. In the recent decades the likelihood of revolution being nonviolent appears to ...
Added: March 7, 2023
Oxford University Press, 2020.
Social networks fundamentally shape our lives. Networks channel the ways that information, emotions, and diseases flow through populations. Networks reflect differences in power and status in settings ranging from small peer groups to international relations across the globe. Network tools even provide insights into the ways that concepts, ideas and other socially generated contents shape ...
Added: December 16, 2022
Рекрутирование губернаторского корпуса в современной России: эволюция патрональных сетей (2017—2021)
Gaivoronsky Y., Balandin Y., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2022 № 4 С. 146–167
The article presents an attempt to study the structural dynamics of federal-regional political networks in the process of recruiting heads of the regions. The authors focus their attention on the current stage of the evolution of the federal center’s approach towards the formation of the governor’s corps, which began with the change of the team ...
Added: November 29, 2022