?
Анализ и прогнозирование платежеспособности предприятий разной отраслевой принадлежности и размера
С. 715-718.
In case of loss of solvency, one of its most important characteristics, the enterprise becomes unattractive for counterparties, since interaction with such an enterprise threatens the counterparty with loss of its own funds. An exception can be only cases of absorption of the insolvent enterprise by a more powerful competitor. In this paper, we propose a model for assessing and forecasting the solvency of the enterprise, which, along with financial indicators, also takes into account its industry affiliation and size.
In book
ЦЭМИ РАН, 2018
Afanasyev A. A., Экономика и математические методы 2017 Т. 53 № 4 С. 26-35
This study is devoted to forecasting the Russian Gazprom natural gas production from the Tyumen region's fields and its production potential under in the context of the Russian economy crises and foreign economic restrictions that has been occurred since 2014, including a reduction in external and domestic demand for all Russian natural gas as well ...
Added: August 31, 2017
Sergeyev V., Albegov V. V., Логистика и управление цепями поставок 2007 № 3 С. 64-80
Recently the technology «Mutual planning, forecasting and stock replenishment» is attracting more and more attention of logisticians, marketing and strategic management specialists. The basic idea of CPFR consists of combining efforts of contactors within constructed supply chain for satisfying needs of clients by integrating basic marketing and logistic business processes. The aim of the article ...
Added: December 14, 2012
Smirnov S. V., Avdeeva D., / Высшая школа экономики. Series EC "Economics". 2016. No. 135.
There is evidence in the economic literature that professional forecasters are unsuccessful in predicting recessions, but the reasons for these failures are still not clear. Meanwhile, this phenomenon has been little studied on the basis of quarterly estimates for various target horizons. We analysed quarterly consensus forecasts of real GDP growth rates and probabilities of ...
Added: May 19, 2016
Cherkasova V. A., Финансовый менеджмент 2012 № 5 С. 85-93
В статье рассматривается влияние рынка производных финансовых инструментов на организацию инвестиционного процесса в российских компаниях. Раскрывается понятие неопределенности, возникающей на рынке производных финансовых активов. Возможность корректно спрогнозировать влияние неопределенности на таком рынке способно помочь менеджменту компаний в принятии оптимальных инвестиционных решений. ...
Added: December 31, 2012
Siliverstov B., Smirnov S. V., Tsukhlo S., / KOF Swiss Economic Institute. Series KOF "KOF Working Papers". 2012. No. 306.
This study investigates usefulness of business tendency surveys in industrial sector for out-of-sample prediction of growth of industrial production in Russia. A special attention is paid to performance of survey-augmented models during the recent Great Recession 2008/2009. Using the real-time data vintages of the index of industrial production in Russia we conclude that the use ...
Added: April 12, 2013
Bronitsky G., Население и экономика 2024
Analysis of migration flows has become a considerable field of study for understanding and forecasting social and economic trends in various countries. The paper describes an algorithm that allows to obtain migration estimates with a minimum time delay (nowcasting) using Google Trends Index (GTI) search queries. The predictive power of the models is compared for ...
Added: March 21, 2024
Sviyazov V., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2023 Т. 27 № 3 С. 412-434
The problem of volatility forecasting with and without consideration of weekly seasonality effect (the weekend effect) is examined in this research. The question of the seasonality existence is understood in the following sense: do models, which incorporate seasonality, feature better forecasts? The fuzzy GARCH model, which accounts for a weekly seasonality effect is presented in ...
Added: October 28, 2023
Arkhipova M., Смирнов А. И., Вопросы статистики 2020 Т. 27 № 5 С. 65-75
Agriculture is one of the most important branches of the national economy and the main supplier of food and raw materials for many industries. Crop production is the largest agricultural sector in Russia, which has recently been undergoing renewal and growth due to the intensification and application of modern innovative technologies for monitoring the state ...
Added: March 27, 2022
Saritas O., Dranev Y., Chulok A.A., Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 473-490
Purpose
Dynamic changes in the world bring challenges for making long-term future-oriented policy and strategy. A number of recent developments like drops in oil prices, increasing global conflicts, mass immigration, and economic stagnation have had disruptive effects on long-term policies and strategies. This new fast-changing landscape requires approaches and tools, which may help to practice adaptive ...
Added: September 12, 2017
Svetunkov S., Чанцалмаа Б., Экономика и предпринимательство 2015 № 4 (ч.1) С. 486-488
Article considers problems of an assessment of efficiency of company’s activity on the basis of complex indicators of production results and resources. Tools of complex-valued economy – the new scientific direction having the theory of functions of complex variables as the basis – are used to modeling of economic dependences. The properties of exponential production ...
Added: June 5, 2015
Calof J. L., Meissner D., Vishnevskiy K., Foresight 2020 Vol. 22 No. 1 P. 14-36
Purpose
This paper aims to provide a detailed case study of a corporate foresight for innovation (CFI) project done by the Higher School of Economics’ (HSE) (Moscow, Russia) corporate foresight (CF) unit for a large state-owned Russian service company. It demonstrates how CFI methods lead to recommendations and how these recommendations result in decisions.
Design/methodology/approach
Drawing from being ...
Added: February 27, 2020
Madera A. G., Экономика и менеджмент систем управления 2013 № 1.1(7) С. 181-189
Method for estimating the probabilities of future events is developed. It is shown that in the presence of statistical data on the accuracy of past forecasts, the probabilities of future events are eigenvector of matrix for accuracy expert corresponding to its eigenvalue. ...
Added: September 2, 2013
Sadovnichii V. A., Akaev A., Korotayev A. et al., М. : Издательский Дом "Наука", 2014
В коллективной монографии представлены результаты моделирования развития стран БРИКС, полученные к настоящему времени в рамках исследований по проекту «Математическое моделирование глобальной и региональной динамики в условиях модернизации системы науки и образования» Программы фундаментальных исследований Президиума РАН «Экономика и социология науки и образования». ...
Added: October 23, 2014
Bukina T. V., Kashin D., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2024 Т. 28 № 1 С. 81-107
The paper reveals the forecasts for regional inflation based on the regions of the Privolzhskiy Federal District (PFD). The purpose of the study is to determine the model that most accurately predicts regional inflation. The paper compares the tools of machine learning – support vector machines, gradient boosting, and random forest – with econometric models ...
Added: February 13, 2024
Furmanov K. K., Balaeva O., Predvoditeleva M., , in : Managing Tourism in a Changing World: Issues and Cases. : Лондон, Нью-Йорк : Routledge, 2014. Ch. 3. P. 17-31.
In the last 20 years, the development of the Russian tourism industry has resulted in a dramatic change in the growth of the number of trips made by Russian citizens abroad, including tourist trips to the European Union (EU) countries; however, there is little research concerning outbound tourism from Russia. This study analyses the current ...
Added: November 27, 2013
Natalia Sizykh, Said Dandamaev, Dmitry Sizykh, , in : 16th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD). : IEEE, 2023. P. 1-5.
Forecasting data and research on cryptocurrency price forecasting methods are increasing in importance. So far, methods based on LSTM deep learning architecture have shown the best results in forecasting cryptocurrency prices. In order to improve the accuracy of forecasting data, this paper investigates the application of a multivariate multistep forecasting method based on the LSTM ...
Added: December 22, 2023
Kitov V. V., Экономика, статистика и информатика. Вестник УМО 2016 № 4 С. 22-26
Gradient boosting method with random rotations is considered, where before training each base learner random rotation is applied to the feature space. The accuracy metric of the given method is estimated for a broad range of generated problems of binary classification. Obtained results are evaluated and recommendations given for application of this method. ...
Added: August 23, 2016
Khasyanova S. Y., Проблемы управления 2017 № 4 С. 37-44
This research is devoted to the investigation of the changes in the nature of the largest Russian banks policies regarding the control of risks and capital adequacy caused by the implementation of the new international business standards. The dynamic analysis of indicators used by banks internally for the capital adequacy assessment was performed within this ...
Added: November 27, 2017
Khachatryan N., Kravchenko T. K., Akopov A. S. et al., Аудит и финансовый анализ 2016 № 3 С. 128-133
This work is devoted to the analysis and forecasting of the main indicators of the Russian stock market ‒ the indices of the Russian Trading System and the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange. Autoregressive models with distributed lags describing the behavior of these indices are constructed. On the basis of the proposed models, a retrospective forecasting ...
Added: June 26, 2016
Liubakova (Vladimirova) N. M., Российское предпринимательство 2008 Т. 1 № 8 С. 63-68
В статье представлена модель управления межорганизационными взаимодействиями в рамках формирования и реализации международной стратегии. ...
Added: November 20, 2012
Ivanova A. A., Юридическая наука и практика: Вестник Нижегородской академии МВД России 2012 № 20 С. 64-68
В статье рассматриваются вопросы научного обеспечения противодействия коррупции, в частности, относящиеся к программированию и прогнозированию, мониторинговому контролю антикоррупционной деятельности на примере Нижегородской области. Высказывается ряд предложений по совершенствования указанной деятельности. ...
Added: January 26, 2013
Sergomanov P., Shilova Natalya, Masalimova A., Revista ESPACIOS 2018 Vol. 39 No. 2 P. 1-22
The significance and relevance of the study are due to the fact, that in the context of innovatization of the education system, the issues of managing innovations and their effects remain unsettled: a consistent and generally accepted concept of innovative activity in education is missing; there’s no conventional thesaurus of innovative activity; innovation validity criteria, ...
Added: January 16, 2018
Zvezdina N., Сараев А. В., Вопросы статистики 2023 Т. 30 № 1 С. 27-41
On the part of the population, residential real estate is considered from the point of view of improving the standard of living, as well as an object of profitable investment. The Russian residential real estate market attracts the attention of not only the population, but also researchers. Its structure and the multifactorial nature of development ...
Added: October 10, 2022
Bogdanova T., Полторак А. И., В кн. : Системное моделирование социально-экономических процессов Международная научная школа - семинар имени академика С.С. Шаталина. 42-е заседание. : Истоки, 2019. С. 32-32.
A complex model of forecasting the cost of residential real estate in the secondary market, including three submodels – a model of forecasting the level of population needs for housing based on regional data, a model of forecasting the comfort of housing based on local data, and a model of forecasting the cost of a ...
Added: November 1, 2019