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July 9, 2026
HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
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HSE Researchers Discover Who Eats Out in Russia-And Why
Around one-third of Russians (31.3%) rarely eat out or buy ready-made meals. The core group of active consumers—those who eat out or purchase prepared food almost every day or several times a week—accounts for only about 9% of the population. These are the findings of a study conducted by the HSE Institute for Social Policy. According to the researchers eating out is no longer a marker of high social status in Russia.
July 8, 2026
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HSE University and the Russia Renewable Energy Development Association (RREDA) have signed a partnership and information cooperation agreement to support Renewable Energy of the Planet—2026, a national competition with international participation for students and early-career researchers. Applications are open on the competition's website until September 20, 2026.

 

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Minimax theorems for American options without time-consistency

Finance and Stochastics. 2019. Vol. 23. P. 209–238.
Belomestny D., Kraetschmer V., Hübner T., Nolte S.

In this paper, we give sufficient conditions guaranteeing the validity of the well-known minimax theorem for the lower Snell envelope. Such minimax results play an important role in the characterisation of arbitrage-free prices of American contingent claims in incomplete markets. Our conditions do not rely on the notions of stability under pasting or time-consistency and reveal some unexpected connection between the minimax result and path properties of the corresponding process of densities. We exemplify our general results in the case of families of measures corresponding to diffusion exponential martingales.

Research target: Mathematics
Priority areas: IT and mathematics
Language: English
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: optimal stopping problemMinimax problems
Publication based on the results of:
­­­Uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional statistics (2019)
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