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Firms and social policy preferences under weak institutions: Evidence from Russia
Marques II I.
In press
When does business support the expansion of social policy in the developing world? Existing work on managers’ preferences has tended to concentrate on the developed world, where governments can credibly commit to policy, tax evasion is constrained, and mechanisms exist to hold the bureaucracy accountable for policy implementation. In this paper, I relax these assumptions, arguing that weak institutions create opportunities for some firms to shift costs onto others: making social policy more attractive. I argue that firms with political connections are uniquely positioned to benefit from subsidies and property rights protection, which decreases the cost of social policy, while firms with low visibility can evade taxes and free-ride off universalistic social policy. Such firms will support social policy even where institutions are poor. I test this argument using a survey of 666 firms in 10 Russian regions.
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.
In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5277500". 2025.
While the emerging empirical literature shows that collateral tax sanctions (CTSs) - such as driver’s license suspensions or passport denials - appear to be effective instruments to enforce tax debt collection, there are still few theoretical arguments to explain why. In this paper, I model enforcement of tax debt collection and provide a new rationale for why it could ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Dobrynskaya V. V., Tomtosov A., Речмедина С., / NRU HSE. Series WP BRP 60/FE/2017 "SERIES: FINANCIAL ECONOMICS". 2025.
We study the application of factor investing in the market for real estate (REITs). The analysis of traditional factor strategies, such as momentum, value, size and profitability, reveals their unstable and atypical behavior in comparison to the equity market, however, there is a strong momentum effect in the factor strategies. We propose a new dynamic ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Besstremyannaya G., Bakshuk M., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
В данной статье рассматривается реакция российских предприятий обрабатывающей промышленности на ужесточение экономических санкций с акцентом на период после 2022 года. Хотя санкции в целом негативно сказываются на экономическом росте и эффективности деятельности компаний, есть некоторые свидетельства того, что они также могут подталкивать компании к инновациям, а негативный эффект преодолевается при помощи адаптации компании. Исследование заполняет ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Besstremyannaya G., Новикова В., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
Защита прав интеллектуальной собственности является движущей
силой для формирования стимулов инновационной активности
предприятий. Законодательное закрепление правил пользования
результатами интеллектуальной деятельности и обеспечение их соблюдения
позволяет поддерживать баланс интересов создателей и пользователей
интеллектуальной
собственности.
Целью
проанализировать недостаточно изученную для регионов России связь
между экономическим ростом и защитой прав интеллектуальной
собственности с использованием двухшаговой регрессии. Результаты
моделирования оказались неоднозначными, однако, было доказано наличие
значимой связи между защитой прав интеллектуальной ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Meissner D., Salati Marcondes de Moraes G. H., Brandão Fischer B. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2025. No. WP BRP /STI/2025.
Innovation has long been at the center of debates in economics, management, and organizational studies. However, innovation is never free of uncertainty and risk. Every act of innovation implies a departure from established paths and a willingness to embrace the unknown. From the beginning it's never clear if there is an audience which appreciates the ...
Added: November 28, 2025
Брикульский И. А., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 11: Право 2024 № 3 С. 94–114
The principle of the welfare state presupposes the active participation of the executive branch in the fair distribution of resources, significantly changing the bal ance of power in the traditional system of separation of powers, creating an imbalance not in favor of the legislative branch and weakening the latter. In the field of social policy, ...
Added: February 18, 2025
Брикульский И. А., Сравнительное конституционное обозрение 2023 № 6 (157) С. 66–89
The author explores the constitutional and legal regimes of nine former Soviet republics, their con stitutions, laws, presidential acts, and other instruments of influence on social policy, reaching the conclusion that heads of state directly determine the form and content of social policy. For example, presidents establish not only the general directions of social policy ...
Added: February 18, 2025
Zaostrovtsev A. P., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2024 № 4 С. 22–44
Th e article is devoted to the origin, nature and problems of the welfare state. Its consequences are shown. It generates an imbalance in public fi nances, infl ated social obligations that will be impossible to fulfi ll in the future. At present, it exists at the expense of the exploitation of future generations, some ...
Added: December 9, 2024
Lyaskalo A., Законодательство 2023 № 12 С. 55–61
The general legal principle of “non bis in idem” is violated when a single continuing crime is divided into a set of crimes. The distinction between these criminal legal concepts becomes particularly difficult in cases of tax crimes, the size of which is determined “within three consecutive financial years.” The article is devoted to the ...
Added: January 3, 2024
Cook L., Titterton M., Social Policy and Society 2023 Vol. 22 No. 2
Since 2000, literature on West (EU15) and East-Central European (EU8) welfare states has focused on a set of ‘new social risks’ including insecure employment and income, population ageing, unsustainable social security systems, and large-scale international immigration. Our State-of-the-Art (SOTA) article brings Russia into the dialogue on ‘new social risks’. We show that broadly similar structural ...
Added: December 5, 2023
Mironova A. A., Журнал исследований социальной политики 2024 Т. 22 № 1 С. 171–181
The article is devoted to the critical analysis of the social investment concept as the basis of social policy. Within the framework of the social investment concept the focus of social policy has to be changed from "passive" protection of citizens from the various risks associated with the inclusion in labor market to "active" support ...
Added: October 11, 2023
Cook L., Titterton M., Social Policy and Society 2023 No. 22(2) P. 321–337
Since 2000, literature on West (EU15) and East-Central European (EU8) welfare states has focused on a set of ‘new social risks’ including insecure employment and income, population ageing, unsustainable social security systems, and large-scale international immigration. Our State-of-the-Art (SOTA) article brings Russia into the dialogue on ‘new social risks’. We show that broadly similar structural ...
Added: September 15, 2023
Semenenko I. S., Хайнацкая Т. И., Общественные науки и современность 2022 № 5 С. 76–99
The research paper examines recent developments in expert discourse regarding transformations of the welfare state and its future. The research field embraces international organizations' visions and national strategic programme documents of the Wellbeing Economy Governments partnership members (New Zealand, Scotland, Iceland, Wales, and Finland), international rankings data, expert discussion papers and research literature. The well-being ...
Added: April 19, 2023
Chekmazov A., Butenko V., Przegląd Europejski 2021 Vol. 2021 No. 3 P. 227–232
This analytical essay is devoted to identifying the features of the formation and development of theSwedish model of the welfare state. The authors study the factors that played the main role in thedevelopment of the Swedish model. The authors also assess the impact of the 2008 economic crisisand the COVID-19 pandemic on the Swedish welfare ...
Added: July 25, 2022
Fuchs A., Matytsin M., Kiso Nozaki N. et al., / Series WPS "Policy Research Working Paper". 2021. No. 9795.
This study compares the distributional impact of the main tax and social spending programmes in eight countries of the former Soviet Union (Armenia, Belarus, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Ukraine) by applying a state-of-the-art distributional analysis based on the Commitment to Equity methodology. The region is understudied in the welfare state literature but is highly ...
Added: July 4, 2022
Malinovskiy S., Shibanova E., Journal of European Social Policy 2023 Vol. 33 No. 1 P. 67–83
Higher education has generally been excluded from the welfare discourse, especially in transition countries. This article addresses existing research gaps by applying the ideas of decommodification and stratification to higher education in post-Soviet countries, within the comparative framework of welfare regime typology. The purpose of this study is to analyse the extent to which higher ...
Added: June 2, 2022