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Оценка качества краткосрочных прогнозов российских внешнеторговых показателей и мировых цен на некоторые виды сырья
Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал). 2017. Т. 108. № 2. С. 33–37.
Е. Астафьева, М. Турунцева
Ovcharenko M., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
We introduce an explicit class of tempered Laurent polynomials in the sense of Villegas and Doran--Kerr in n⩽4 variables including all Landau--Ginzburg models for smooth Fano threefolds with very ample anticanonical class. We check that it contains Landau--Ginzburg models for various Fano fourfolds which are complete intersections in smooth toric varieties and Grassmannians of planes, ...
Added: April 30, 2026
Domrin V. I., Malova H. V., V. Yu. Popov et al., Cosmic Research 2026 Vol. 64 No. 2 P. 238–252
During magnetospheric perturbations a relatively thin current sheet with thickness about several
proton gyroradii forms in the Earth’s magnetotail. In a framework of the kinetic model describing current
sheet thinning in the magnetotail, the processes of its formation are investigated depending on the normal
magnetic field magnitude which affects both the current sheet structure and particle dynamics within ...
Added: April 27, 2026
Tsareva O. O., Malova H. V., V. Yu. Popov et al., Plasma Physics Reports 2026 Vol. 52 No. 2 P. 179–185
The influence of asymmetry of plasma sources on the structure and spatial localization of a superthin
current sheet (STCS) supported by demagnetized electrons is studied using a self-consistent model. The
simulation takes into account the presence of a single plasma source in the northern hemisphere, which
makes the plasma flow asymmetric. It is demonstrated that the asymmetry of ...
Added: April 27, 2026
Pochinka O., Yakovlev E., Shmukler V., Russian Journal of Nonlinear Dynamics 2026
Every discrete dynamical system (cascade) generated by a homeomorphism induces a continuous
dynamic system (flow) — a suspension. However, not every flow is equivalent to a suspension
over a cascade, a necessary and sufficient condition for this is the existence of a global
section for the flow. In the case of the existence, the flow is equivalent to ...
Added: April 24, 2026
Kazaryan M., Dunin-Barkowski P., Bychkov B. et al., Selecta Mathematica, New Series 2026 Vol. 32 Article 25
We revise the notion of the blobbed topological recursion by extending it to the setting of generalized topological recursion as well as allowing blobs which do not necessarily admit topological expansion. We show that the so-called non-perturbative differentials form a special case of this revisited version of blobbed topological recursion. Furthermore, we prove the KP ...
Added: April 23, 2026
Kazaryan M., Lando S., Kodaneva N., Journal of Geometry and Physics 2026 No. 225 Article 105841
Weight systems associated to the Lie algebras 𝔤𝔩(N) for N = 1,2,... can be unified into auniversal one. The construction is based on an extension of the 𝔤𝔩(N) weight systems to permutations. This universal weight system takes values in the algebra of polynomials C[N;C1,C2,...] in infinitely many variables. We show that under the substitution Cm ...
Added: April 23, 2026
Kychkin A., Chernitsin I., Прикладная информатика 2026 Т. 21 № 1 С. 40–58
The results of the development of a software microservice embedded in atmospheric air quality monitoring systems to support the identification of industrial pollution sources are presented. The emission and subsequent spread of harmful substances in the lower layers of the atmosphere is dynamic and characterized by high uncertainty due to the specific features of technological ...
Added: April 23, 2026
IEEE, 2026.
Added: April 21, 2026
Galkin O., Galkina S., Ястребова И. Ю., Журнал Средневолжского математического общества 2026 Т. 28 № №1 С. 11–30
Polynomials of least deviation from zero play an important role in the theory and practice of numerical methods. They can be used to solve problems of optimizing the properties of various computational algorithms. Our work is devoted to the study of polynomials of least deviation from zero on a ray in the exponential norm. In ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Zlotnik Alexander, / Series arXiv "math". 2026. No. 2602.03481v1.
We deal with the global in time weak solutions to the 1D compressible Navier-Stokes system of equations for large discontinuous initial data and nonhomogeneous boundary conditions of three standard types. We prove the Lipschitz-type continuous dependence of the solution $(\eta,u,\theta)$, in a norm slightly stronger than $L^{2,\infty}(Q)\times L^2(Q)\times L^2(Q)$, on the initial data $(\eta^0,u^0,e^0)$ in a ...
Added: April 18, 2026
Petrov I., Doklady Mathematics 2026 Vol. Volume 112 P. S103–S110
This paper examines games on networks with linear best responses, which allow for the analysis of how interaction structures influence agents’ strategic behavior. Special attention is given to intervention issues in such models, particularly in selecting optimal intervention strategies aimed at maximizing the central planner’s objective function. Two main control policies are analyzed: individual agent ...
Added: April 17, 2026
A. V. Pereskokov, Theoretical and Mathematical Physics 2026 Vol. 226 No. 3 P. 470–484
We consider the spectral problem for a hydrogen atom in orthogonal electric and magnetic fields with
an additional self-consistent field. We obtain an asymptotic expansion of self-consistent energy levels.
We find an asymptotic expansion of asymptotic eigenfunctions near the sphere |q| = 2. We calculate the
asymptotics of their norm in the space L2(R3). ...
Added: April 12, 2026
Kolachev N., Адамский А. И., Drozdov D. et al., Моделирование и анализ данных 2026 Т. 16 № 1 С. 157–176
Context and relevance. Despite the widespread adoption of the competency-based approach in higher education, a gap remains between the understanding of competence as a dynamic process and the tools available for its design and management. Dominant practices of learning outcomes assessment rely on static “snapshots,” which limits the possibilities for forecasting and purposeful development of competence. ...
Added: April 10, 2026
Zvereva V., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 4 С. 100–129
This paper examines the hypothesis of asymmetric responses of bank interest rates to restrictive and accommodative monetary policy conducted by the Bank of Russia across different market segments, industries, and macroregions over the period 2017—2025. Using a Markov-switching error-correction model, the paper estimates the effects of monetary policy shocks, households’ inflation expectations, firms’ price expectations, ...
Added: April 8, 2026
Petropavlovsky S., Turkel E., Journal of Computational Physics 2026 Vol. 558 Article 114880
We propose a method for the numerical computation of the 3D time-harmonic scattering about objects of complex shape. Our approach relies on the method of difference potentials combined with the lacunae-based integration of the Helmholtz equation. The former allows to handle curvilinear boundaries of scattering shapes on regular Cartesian grids with no loss of accuracy. ...
Added: April 6, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Троцкая И. А., Львова О. А., Короткова Е. В. et al., В кн.: Медицинское образование, наука, практика : Сборник статей X Международной научно-практической конференции молодых ученых и студентов, 22-23 апреля 2025 г. Т.2.: Екатеринбург: ФГБОУ ВО УГМУ Минздрава России, 2025. С. 673–679.
Pediatric ischemic stroke is considered to be a rare condition. Correct recognition of the acute symptoms
and further monitoring of the dynamics of them may allow predicting the child's development and further adaptation. The aim of the study was to provide clinical and imaging features of the acute period of ischemic stroke with debut at an ...
Added: March 2, 2026
Карелина М. Г., Mkhitarian V., Финансы и бизнес 2025 Т. 21 № 4 С. 49–65
Дизельное топливо играет важную роль в российской экономике, его значимость обусловлена высокой эффективностью, экономичностью, надежностью и широким спектром применения. Россия один из крупнейших вмире экспортеров дизельного топлива, что обеспечивает значительные поступления в бюджет страны и является геополитическим инструментом в рамках глобальных трансформационных процессов. Статистическая оценка развития российского рынка дизельного топлива в представленной работе проводилась в ...
Added: February 20, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
Added: January 21, 2026