?
Does Incomplete Information Reduce Manipulability?
NRU Higher School of Economics
,
2016.
No. 152/EC/2016.
We consider the problem of individual manipulation under incomplete information, i.e. the whole preference profile is not known to voters. Instead, voters know the result of an opinion poll (the outcome of a poll information function π, e.g. a list of scores or a set of winners). In this case, a voter has an incentive to misrepresent his preferences (π-manipulate) if he knows that he will not become worse off and there is a chance of becoming better off. We consider six social choice rules and eight types of poll information functions differing in their informativeness. To compare manipulability, first we calculate the probability that there is a voter which has an incentive to π-manipulate and show that this measure is not illustrative in the case of incomplete information. Then we suggest considering two other measures: the probability of a successful manipulation and an aggregate stimulus of voters to manipulate which demonstrate more intuitive behaviour. We provide results of computational experiments and analytical proofs of some of the observed effects.
Синяков А. А., Зверева В., Шелованова Т. И., / Центральный банк Российской Федерации. Серия 132 / 2024 "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 132.
At the end of 2023, Russia updated its Strategy for Improving Financial Literacy and Developing Financial Culture Until 2030. Unlike the previous strategy, the current strategic goals include not only financial literacy but also financial culture. ‘Culture’ is normative and socially preferred behaviour. The updated strategy brings into focus the relationship between financial literacy and responsible financial behaviour. To explore this relationship, the authors rely on data from the All-Russian Survey of Consumer Finance (2020 and 2022). Socially ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026
Shipilov F., Barnyakov A., Ivanov A. et al., / Series Physics "arxiv.org". 2026.
A fast simulation of the detector response is a vital task in high-energy physics (HEP). Traditional Monte-Carlo methods form the backbone of modern particle physics simulation software but are computationally expensive. We present a machine-learning-based approach to fast simulation of the Focusing Aerogel Ring Imaging Cherenkov (FARICH) detector response. Given a particle track and momentum, ...
Added: May 19, 2026
Derkacheva A., Sakirkina M., Kraev G. et al., /. 2026.
Comprehensive data on natural hazards and their consequences are crucial for effective for risk assessment, adaptation planning, and emergency response. However, many countries face challenges with fragmented, inconsistent, and inaccessible data, particularly regarding local-scale events. To address this data gap in Russia, we developed an end-to-end processing pipeline that scrapes news from various online sources, ...
Added: April 28, 2026
Pilé I., Deng Y., Shchur L., / Series arXiv "math". 2026. No. 2604.10254.
We investigate the spatial overlap of successive spin configurations in Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations using the local Metropolis algorithm and the Svendsen-Wang and Wolff cluster algorithms. We examine the dynamics of these algorithms for two models in different universality classes: the Ising model and the Potts model with three components. The overlap of two ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Shvedov A. S., Математические заметки 2026 Т. 119 № 4 С. 616–623
В настоящей работе изучается некооперативная игра, в которой фирмы-лидеры конкурируют между собой, выбирая объемы выпуска, и фирмы-последователи конкурируют между собой, также выбирая объемы выпуска. Информация о средних предельных затратах является общедоступной, но текущие предельные затраты фирмы известны только самой фирме. Для этой игры найдены равновесные объемы выпуска. ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Gabdullin N., Androsov I., / Series Computer Science "arxiv.org". 2026.
Label prediction in neural networks (NNs) has O(n) complexity proportional to the number of classes. This holds true for classification using fully connected layers and cosine similarity with some set of class prototypes. In this paper we show that if NN latent space (LS) geometry is known and possesses specific properties, label prediction complexity can ...
Added: April 2, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.
In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5277500". 2025.
While the emerging empirical literature shows that collateral tax sanctions (CTSs) - such as driver’s license suspensions or passport denials - appear to be effective instruments to enforce tax debt collection, there are still few theoretical arguments to explain why. In this paper, I model enforcement of tax debt collection and provide a new rationale for why it could ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Dobrynskaya V. V., Tomtosov A., Речмедина С., / NRU HSE. Series WP BRP 60/FE/2017 "SERIES: FINANCIAL ECONOMICS". 2025.
We study the application of factor investing in the market for real estate (REITs). The analysis of traditional factor strategies, such as momentum, value, size and profitability, reveals their unstable and atypical behavior in comparison to the equity market, however, there is a strong momentum effect in the factor strategies. We propose a new dynamic ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Ananin D., Комаров Р. В., Реморенко И. М., Высшее образование в России 2025 Т. 34 № 2 С. 31–50
The issue of using generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) in education is the focus of both its advocates and critics. The world academic community is trying to consider the rapidly spreading phenomenon, to determine its place in the educational process and to work out the regulatory framework. The application of GenAI-powered services changes conceptual and didactic ...
Added: November 18, 2025
Шарин Н. А., Eritsyan K., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 12: Социология 2025 Т. 18 № 1 С. 21–38
This article focuses on the analysis of the current state of Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA), a research methodology characterized by frequent real-time measurements in partici-pants’ everyday lives. Based on a review of contemporary scientific literature, the article high-lights the key advantages and challenges associated with the practical application of EMA in empirical social research. The ...
Added: November 6, 2025
Molostvov V., Advances in Systems Science and Applications 2025 Vol. 25 No. 1 P. 1–11
A two-criteria vector optimization problem – finding Pareto-optimal solutions in linear systems with interval uncertainty of coefficients – is considered. The problem of resource allocation to multiple activities is investigated. The uncertainty-adjusted income is a bilinear function, linear by strategy under fixed uncertainty and by uncertain parameters under fixed strategy. Guaranteed income is a linear ...
Added: August 26, 2025
Vakulenko E., Gorskiy D., Kondrateva V. et al., Demographic Research 2025 Vol. 52 P. 939–970
BACKGROUND
We study fertility intentions change in Russia, during the period of socio-economic shocks in 2022-2023, in response to the Russia-Ukraine armed conflict.
OBJECTIVE
Our objective is to identify factors that influence decision-making in a low fertility context during the crisis, including both objective characteristics and subjective assessment of the current situation.
METHODS
This paper is based on unique survey ...
Added: May 6, 2025
Пестрикова Е. А., Lytaeva M. A., Отечественная и зарубежная педагогика 2025 Т. 1 № 4(107) С. 75–87
University professors note that students face difficulties in reading, especially when dealing with scientific texts. Yet the reasons why students have difficulties are studied, but there is no uniform categorisation of them or understanding of at what stage of reading these difficulties arise. Research focuses on reading in a foreign language, while reading in the ...
Added: April 29, 2025
Veselova Y. A., Maastricht: Maastricht University, 2023.
Collective decision-making is a part of everyday life in modern society. People invented a variety of voting procedures for aggregating individual preferences into a collective choice. However, the problem is that people can misrepresent their preferences in order to achieve a more preferable voting result. This phenomenon is called manipulation and is considered negative since ...
Added: February 26, 2025
Kryukov G. M., Sandomirskaia M., Automation and Remote Control 2024 Vol. 85 P. 696–710
In this paper, the disclosure of information about the scoring model is investigated. Some of the company’s customers find out their internal rating in the company. Such customers can change their behavior to increase their internal rating. The customers who are aware of the leakage are represented as players who can choose a strategy: whether ...
Added: November 19, 2024