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Механизм денежной трансмиссии в оцененной DSGE-модели с двумя правилами монетарной политики
С. 362–374.
Shulgin A. G.
Language:
Russian
In book
XVI Апрельская международная научная конференция по проблемам развития экономики и общества: в 4 кн.
Кн. 1. , М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2016.
Gulenkov I., Journal of Macroeconomics 2025 Vol. 86 Article 103728
A remarkably protracted surge in inflation in the U.S. has had a profound impact on the price- and wage-setting behavior. These changes suggest that the economy could have entered a regime characterized by higher trend inflation. While the impact of trend inflation on monetary policy effectiveness is well-studied, the effects on fiscal policy transmission has ...
Added: November 12, 2025
Финагин М. И., Иногамова В. Т., Грачева А. А., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 9 С. 62–87
This paper develops a system for assessing the tightness of monetary conditions in Russia using monetary-conditions indices. These indices make it possible to study the pass-through of the monetary policy impulse across key channels of the transmission mechanism and to identify shocks to monetary conditions. Short-term money market rates, which are most sensitive to changes ...
Added: September 9, 2025
Lapteva E., Pilnik N., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 5. Экономика 2025 Т. 41 № 3 С. 340–363
The article systematizes, synthesizes, and compares the results of studies aimed at modeling and assessing the effectiveness of macroprudential policy both at the level of individual countries and in a cross-country context. It provides an interdisciplinary review that integrates empirical findings with theoretical frameworks of macroprudential regulation, offering a novel analytical perspective on its effectiveness ...
Added: June 30, 2025
Gospodarchuk G., Aistov A., Zotov A., Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences. 2025 Vol. 18 No. 4 P. 814–825
The economic agents need to have a thorough understanding of the rules of decision making regarding the key rate in order to make effective financial decisions. The goal of the study was to identify the rules used by the Bank of Russia to make decisions regarding short-term key-rate adjustments. As a result, we propose a ...
Added: May 3, 2025
Sorokina T., Tsvetkova A., В кн.: Статистические методы анализа экономики и общества. 14-я Международная научно-практическая конференция студентов и аспирантов (16-19 мая 2023 г.).: М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2023. С. 269–271.
Динамические стохастические модели общего равновесия (DSGE-модели) являются одним из ключевых инструментов сценарного анализа и макроэкономического прогнозирования для центральных банков и прочих государственных учреждений, связанных с планированием экономической политики. Качество их предсказательной способности и релевантность модельных выводов зависят от возможностей идентификации параметров при доступных рядах макроэкономических показателей, от учета структурных характеристик данных и от своевременной переоценки ...
Added: February 17, 2025
Pak Y., Pekarski S. E., Вопросы экономики 2024 № 1 С. 33–51
The global economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has once again shown the key role of fiscal stimulus. At the same time, in many developed countries, stimulating monetary policy was limited by the already achieved zero interest rates. But the fight against the consequences of the coronavirus with fiscal policy instruments had a negative ...
Added: March 12, 2024
Gubareva M., Journal of Financial Economic Policy 2021 Vol. 13 No. 6 P. 686–697
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to present an empirical analysis of the European Central Bank (ECB) deposit rate dynamics during 2014–2020, attempting to answer how deep could be cut further this rate without causing persistent yield curve inversions (YCI), i.e. lower yields for longer terms. It addresses the sustainability of the traditional ...
Added: August 2, 2023
Radionov S., Яковлев И. А., Mukhametov O., Экономика и управление 2021 Т. 27 № 11 С. 878–889
Aim. The presented study aims to identify key factors affecting the macroeconomic situation in the EAEU countries and Tajikistan (hereinafter referred to as the region) in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Tasks. This study summarizes trends in the development of the neighborhood belt countries in recent years; investigates changes in the real, monetary, fiscal, and external sectors ...
Added: April 21, 2023
Pak Y., Pekarski S. E., Экономическая политика 2022 Т. 17 № 6 С. 8–39
Financial repression refers to the distorting effect of certain government policies on the operation of the financial sector. Several empirical studies of financial repression point out that financial repression retards economic growth by decreasing investment activity in the economy, but the impact of financial repression on inflationary processes has not been adequately studied. This paper ...
Added: January 12, 2023
Dajčman S., Kavkler A., Merzlyakov S. et al., Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice 2022 Vol. 11 No. 1 P. 227–247
This paper studies the international transmission of the
euro area´s monetary policy and financial stress to Russia. The results
show that financial stress in the euro area damages Russian
economic activity and stock prices, but not its trade balance. The
contractionary euro area monetary policy shock decreases Russian
GDP, leads to real appreciation of the euro against the Russian rouble,
damages ...
Added: September 7, 2022
Яковлев И. А., Radionov S., Экономика и управление 2021 Т. 27 № 11 С. 878–889
Aim. The presented study aims to identify key factors affecting the macroeconomic situation in the EAEU countries and Tajikistan (hereinafter referred to as the region) in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Tasks. This study summarizes trends in the development of the neighborhood belt countries in recent years; investigates changes in the real, monetary, fiscal, and external sectors ...
Added: December 14, 2021
Gubareva M., Journal of Financial Economic Policy 2021 Vol. 13 No. 6 P. 686–697
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to present an empirical analysis of the European Central Bank (ECB) deposit rate dynamics during 2014–2020, attempting to answer how deep could be cut further this rate without causing persistent yield curve inversions (YCI), i.e. lower yields for longer terms. It addresses the sustainability of the traditional ...
Added: December 7, 2021
Kosov M., Известия высших учебных заведений. Серия: Экономика, финансы и управление производством 2019 № 3 (41) С. 13–20
The paper analyzes the foreign experience of the austerity regimes use. The socio-economic effects of the use of fiscal and monetary policy instruments in crisis conditions are reflected. As a result of the study, the following trends can be identified in the application of the austerity regimes in foreign countries: rethinking the role of budget ...
Added: September 2, 2021
Akhmetov R., Mamonov M. E., Pankova V., Вопросы экономики 2021 № 6 С. 5–31
This review examines the impact of the global financial cycle on small open economies and compares the effectiveness of various monetary and macroprudential policies in the presence of global financial cycle. First, we provide a classification of the channels through which the monetary policy of the world financial regulators (US Federal Reserve, ECB), which largely ...
Added: July 9, 2021
Demidova O., Karnaukhova E., Коршунов Д. А. et al., Вопросы экономики 2021 № 6 С. 77–102
We analyze the heterogeneous influence that monetary policy has on the growth rates of real personal income in 79 Russian regions over the period from 2Q2015 to 4Q2019, taking into account some of the channels of monetary policy transmission mechanism and spatial effects. The analysis was performed on the basis of panel data and a ...
Added: June 11, 2021
Suchkova E. O., Господарчук Г. Г., М.: Русайнс, 2019.
В монографии исследованы теоретические, методологические и практические аспекты финансовой стабильности. Разработана методология многоуровневой системы диагностики и регулирования финансовой стабильности. Предложены новые индикаторы рыночной и институциональной финансовой стабильности, а
также критерии качественной оценки финансовой стабильности. Разработаны критерии сбалансированности рыночной и институциональной финансовой стабильности. Предложен механизм формирования Карт рисков и выявления на их основе финансовых дисбалансов межуровневого характера. Предложен аналитический
инструментарий ...
Added: December 16, 2019
Andrei G. Shulgin, International Economic Journal 2018 Vol. 32 No. 4 P. 631–668
Stabilizing monetary policy in a small open economy is constrained by the open economy trilemma. In this paper we investigate whether foreign exchange market interventions and the Central Bank’s credit rationing at the official rate (CROR) may soften this constraint and improve the results of monetary policy for different monetary regimes. We construct a DSGE ...
Added: November 5, 2018
Davydova E. A., В кн.: Макроэкономика : учебник для СПО.: М.: Юрайт, 2018. Гл. 6 С. 229–289.
Содержание учебника дает возможность получить целостное представление о принципах функционирования экономики, основных направлениях экономической политики государства. В книге приведены базовые макроэкономические концепции и модели, позволяющие овладеть аналитическим аппаратом и инструментарием исследования современных экономических проблем, приобрести навыки решения количественных и качественных задач. Материалы данного учебника опираются на многолетний опыт преподавательской работы авторов. Теоретический материал иллюстрируется интересными ...
Added: October 31, 2018
Пестова А.А., Ростова Н. А., Деньги и кредит 2017 № 9 С. 67–74
В данной работе проводится оценка направленности монетарной политики в России на основе декомпозиции вариации ключевых монетарных переменных на две составляющие: систематическую и несистематическую. Под первой мы понимаем реакцию монетарных показателей на состояние экономики, отраженной фундаментальными макроэкономическими шоками, т. е. инновациями факторов, полученными из динамической факторной модели с использованием данных большой размерности. Во второй - остаточной ...
Added: October 25, 2017
Ivashchenko S., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 5. Экономика 2016 № 3 С. 176–202
A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with multiple sectors is constructed. The production is divided into 5 sectors: mining; manufacturing; electricity, gas and water; trade, transport and communication; other. The interaction of sectors includes competition for different sources of demand and production factors. They also use production of other sectors as production factor. The model ...
Added: October 3, 2017