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Исследование систем управления: идентификация, моделирование, прогнозирование
M. :
ИИУ МГОУ, 2015.
Meshkov N. A., Лукьянова Н. В., Колупаев Р. В.
Under the general editorship: Неусыпин К. А.
Leokhin Y., Зубков Р. С., Качество. Инновации. Образование 2012 № 12(91) С. 81-92
In article the analysis of architecture of control systems is carried out by computer networks, architecture of control systems with the built-in function of a forecast of conditions of a computer network are offered, the structure of modules and algorithms of functioning is described. ...
Added: March 14, 2013
Korotayev A., Sadovnichii V. A., Askar Akaev, European Physical Journal: Special Topics 2012 Vol. 205 No. 1 P. 355-373
The article considers dynamic processes involving non-linear power-law behavior in such apparently diverse spheres, as demographic dynamics and dynamics of prices of highly liquid commodities such as oil and gold. All the respective variables exhibit features of explosive growth containing precursors indicating approaching phase transitions/catastrophes/crises. The *rst part of the article analyzes mathematical models of demographic ...
Added: March 7, 2013
Leokhin Y., Открытое образование 2009 № 2 С. 23-27
Предлагается структура системы идентификации и прогнозирования состояний корпоративных IP-сетей. Описывается алгоритм управления корпоративными IP-сетями на основе нейросетевых технологий. ...
Added: March 18, 2013
Методика определения оптимальной мощности обучающих данных в условиях ограниченности временного ряда
Kryuchkov M., Вестник Саратовского государственного технического университета 2014 Т. 2 № 1 С. 7-10
The paper proposes new methods developed to determine the length of time series adequate for the construction of an effective model used to predict its further values. In addition to theoretical statements, a numerical experiment was conducted to analyze the length of confidence intervals relating reliable estimates, which confirm the relevance of proposed methodology. ...
Added: October 24, 2014
Kryuchkov M., Rusakov S. V., Управление экономическими системами: электронный научный журнал 2014 № 72
The paper describes a method of constructing mathematical models for systems of investment decisions. It covers the following types of derivatives: futures, binary options, financial bets. In each case, the input parameters of the model are the values of the derivative observed in the past and broker estimate of market opinion. Decision support is proposed ...
Added: January 22, 2015
Kaperko A., Karpov V. E., Королев А. В., Датчики и системы 2001 № 2 С. 18-22
Added: July 22, 2013
Гаврилова А. Е., Нагаева Е. В., Rebrova O. et al., Проблемы эндокринологии 2017 Т. 63 № 5 С. 282-290
Background. Predicting the efficacy of rGH therapy in patients with GH deficiency, based on the final achieved height (FAH) criterion, is an important tool for the clinician. It enables a personalized approach to the treatment of patients with GH deficiency: to recommend careful adherence to the regimen and dosage of the drug, evaluate the efficacy ...
Added: October 2, 2018
Istratov A., Хоменко И. И., Погодин А. В. et al., Вестник НПО им. С.А. Лавочкина 2017 № 4 С. 68-75
Рассматривается подход к прогнозированию температурных показателей оборудования космического аппарата (КА) в ходе выполнения научной программы для предотвращения перегрева. Предлагаются алгоритмы обработки данных, накопленных в ходе эксплуатации КА для определения температурных значений компонентов в указанные моменты времени. Представляется реализация программного комплекса. Проведенные эксперименты подтвердили возможность выявления аномальных тепловых режимов эксплуатации КА. ...
Added: January 12, 2018
Kryuchkov M., Вестник Ижевского государственного технического университета 2013 № 4 С. 159-161
The paper presents a mathematical model of sports forecasting, implemented by means of artificial intelligence. ...
Added: January 17, 2014
Leokhin Y., Зубков Р. С., Качество. Инновации. Образование 2012 № 7(86) С. 68-73
In article the method of forecasting of conditions of the computer network, based on biometric algorithms is offered, the assessment of methods for the solution of a problem of forecasting of a condition of a computer network is given, the examples of phase pictures received in various operating conditions of a computer network are considered. ...
Added: March 14, 2013
Yasnitsky L., Dumler A. A., Bogdanov K. et al., Biomedical Engineering 2013 Vol. 47 No. 3 P. 160-163
A neural expert network system for diagnostis and prognosis of cardiovascular diseasas was developed. ...
Added: November 19, 2013
Румянцева Е. В., Furmanov K. K., Бизнес-информатика 2021 Т. 15 № 1 С. 7-18
The problem of assessing out-of-sample forecasting performance of event-history models is considered. Time-to-event data are usually incomplete because the event of interest can happen outside the period of observation or not happen at all. In this case, only the shortest possible time is observed and the data are right censored. Traditional accuracy measures like mean ...
Added: April 1, 2021
Yasnitsky L., Киросова А. В., Cherepanov F., Вестник спортивной науки 2012 № 5
Разработана компьютерная программа, предназначенная для прогнозирования результатов чемпионата мира 2013 года по легкой атлетике на дистанции 100 метров у мужчин. В основе программы лежит нейронная сеть, обученная на результатах предыдущих чемпионатов мира. Имеется демонстрационный прототип, который оценивает шансы на победу для каждого из пяти возможных претендентов. Помимо прогнозов программа позволяет оценивать влияние изменения параметров, характеризующих ...
Added: December 6, 2012
Dmitriev A., Марков Н. В., Компьютерные исследования и моделирование 2014 Т. 6 № 1 С. 159-166
This scientific work is dedicated to applying of two-layer interval weighted graphs in non-stationary time series forecasting and evaluation of market risks. The first layer of the graph, formed with the primary system training, displays potential system fluctuations at the time of system training. Interval vertexes of the second layer of the graph (the superstructure ...
Added: February 18, 2014
Vikentyeva O., Deryabin A. I., Shestakova L. V. et al., Вестник Московского государственного строительного университета 2017 Т. 12 № 10 С. 1191-1201
Subject: smart house maintenance requires taking into account a number of factors - resource conservation, mitigating working expenditures, safety enhancement, ensuring comfort of leisure and operation. Automation of such engineering systems networks as illumination, climate control, security and communication, may be achieved through utilization of contemporary technologies (e.g. IoT – Internet of Things). However, storing ...
Added: November 21, 2017
Khachatryan N., Kravchenko T. K., Akopov A. S. et al., Аудит и финансовый анализ 2016 № 3 С. 128-133
This work is devoted to the analysis and forecasting of the main indicators of the Russian stock market ‒ the indices of the Russian Trading System and the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange. Autoregressive models with distributed lags describing the behavior of these indices are constructed. On the basis of the proposed models, a retrospective forecasting ...
Added: June 26, 2016
Popkov Y., Popkov A., Dubnov Y. A., Автоматика и телемеханика 2020 № 7 С. 148-172
A randomized forecasting method based on the generation of ensembles of entropy-optimal forecasting trajectories is developed. The latter are generated by randomized dynamic regression models containing random parameters, measurement noises, and a random input. The probability density functions of random parameters and measurement noises are estimated using real data within the randomized machine learning procedure. ...
Added: October 31, 2020
Kofanov Y. N., М. : Энергоатомиздат, 2014
В монографии излагаются основы теории надёжности электронной инженерии с учётом перспективного вероятностно-физического подхода к анализу и оценке надежности. Монография является результатом научных исследований, поводимых в Национальном исследовательском университете «Высшая школа экономики» (руководитель научной школы – д.т.н., проф. НИУ ВШЭ Кофанов Ю.Н.). Разработана теория планирования испытаний электронных устройств и систем на надежность при сокращенных, безотказных, в ...
Added: March 29, 2015
Ekaterina V. Rumyantseva, Kirill K. Furmanov, Business Informatics 2021 Vol. 15 No. 1 P. 7-18
The problem of assessing out-of-sample forecasting performance of event-history models is considered. Time-to-event data are usually incomplete because the event of interest can happen outside the period of observation or not happen at all. In this case, only the shortest possible time is observed and the data are right censored. Traditional accuracy measures like mean ...
Added: June 14, 2021
Afanasyev A. A., Экономика и математические методы 2017 Т. 53 № 4 С. 26-35
This study is devoted to forecasting the Russian Gazprom natural gas production from the Tyumen region's fields and its production potential under in the context of the Russian economy crises and foreign economic restrictions that has been occurred since 2014, including a reduction in external and domestic demand for all Russian natural gas as well ...
Added: August 31, 2017
Yasnitsky L., Пермь : Пермский государственный национальный исследовательский университет. – Электронные данные. , 2020
The collection contains materials from the international conference "Intelligent systems in science and technology" and the Sixth all-Russian scientific and practical conference "Artificial intelligence in solving urgent social and economic problems of the XXI century", which was held on October 12-18, 2020 in Perm as part of the Perm natural science forum "Mathematics and global ...
Added: December 4, 2020
Isaev D., Проблемы теории и практики управления 2014 № 6 С. 117-122
The paper focuses on evaluating maturity of organizational and technical systems, relied on application of threshold maturity levels. Existing models developed for evaluation of processes, information systems and management systems are discussed. Advantages and limitations of existing models are systematized. ...
Added: July 3, 2014
Alexandrov D., Кокорин А. В., Нейрокомпьютеры: разработка, применение 2012 № 8
Рассматривается предложенный метод прогнозирования работы магистрального газопровода в части определения работоспособности сценариев устранения нештатных ситуаций. ...
Added: October 21, 2015
Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Arab Studies Quarterly 2013 Vol. 35 No. 1 P. 20-38
The article analyzes the specifics of urbanization dynamics in Egypt, which is noteworthy for a number of reasons. First, there was a shift from the logistic trend in the 1970s, and the share of urban population stopped growing. The UN data analysis shows that such a shift usually occurs against the background of very serious ...
Added: March 7, 2013