Кибернетическая революция и шестой технологический уклад

Историческая психология и социология истории. 2015. Т. 8. № 1. С. 172–197.

Grinin L. E., Гринин А. Л.

In the present paper, on the basis of the theory of production principles and produc-tion revolutions, we reveal the interrelation between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and make forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave in the light of the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. We assume that the sixth K-wave in the 2030s and 2040s will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough in medical technologies which will be capable to combine many other technologies into a single complex of MBNRIC-technologies (med-bio-nano-robo-info-cognitive technologies). The article offers some forecasts concerning the development of these technologies.

Keywords: биотехнологии, робототехника, periphery, center, периферия, центр, nanotechnologies, cognitive technologies, промышленная революция, Мир-Система, medicine, Kondratieff waves, нанотехнологии, World System, медицина, robotics, когнитивные технологии, industrial revolution, производственные революции, принцип производства, кибернетическая революция, кондратьевские волны, production principle, Production revolutions, biotechnologies, самоуправляемые системы, четвертая К-волна, пятая К-волна, шестая К-волна, Cybernetic Revolution, self-regulating systems, fourth K-wave, fifth K-wave, sixth K-wave