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Currency Exposure to Downside Risk: Which Fundamentals Matter?
Review of International Economics. 2015. Vol. 23. No. 2. P. 345-360.
Dobrynskaya V. V., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP 55/LNG/2017. 2011. No. WP13/2011/01.
Some currencies persistently move together with the stock market and crash in periods of market downturns or high volatility, while others serve as a “safe haven”. In this paper, I study whether or not countries’ macroeconomic characteristics are systematically related to the market risk of their currencies. I find that the market risk is not ...
Added: October 4, 2012
Dobrynskaya V. V., / INFER. Series "INFER Working papers". 2012. No. 2011.5.
Some currencies systematically crash together with the stock market, while others serve as a “safe haven”. This paper studies which country macroeconomic fundamentals are consistently related to the riskiness of its currency. I look at various macroeconomic variables and find that high real interest rates in a country are associated with high downside risk of ...
Added: October 4, 2012
Dobrynskaya V. V., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP 55/LNG/2017. 2010. No. WP13/2010/01.
Carry trades consistently generate high excess returns with high Sharp ratios, but are subject to crash risk. I take a closer look at the link between the carry trade returns and the stock market to understand the risks involved and to determine when and why currency crashes happen. Every period, I sort currencies of developed ...
Added: October 4, 2012
Dranev Y., Levin A., Kuchin I., Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 6 P. 615-627
Purpose. The purpose of this research is to look at effects of research and development expenditures (R&D) on value and risks of publicly traded companies by studying returns on stock exchanges of R&D-intensive economies (Republic of Korea, Finland, and Israel). Design/Methodology/Approach. Empirical tests of multifactor asset pricing models were applied in order to demonstrate that ...
Added: September 19, 2017
Petronevich M., Экономическая политика 2010 № 4 С. 82-91
Либерализация валютной политики увеличит волатильность курса рубля выше характерных для основных валютных пар уровней. Анализ показывает, что это может привести к увеличению волатильности финансовых потоков несырьевых отраслей, снижению роста спроса в моменты благоприятной ценовой конъюнктуры, повышению издержек вследствие дорогого хеджирования валютных рисков. Автор полагает, что валютный курс не должен отражать сырьевую ренту и предлагает ряд ...
Added: October 23, 2012
Dobrynskaya V. V., Quarterly Journal of Finance 2022 Vol. 12 No. 2 Article 2250001
Momentum strategies tend to provide low returns during market crashes, and they crash themselves when the market rebounds after significant crashes. This is reflected by positive downside market betas and negative upside market betas of zero-cost momentum portfolios. Such asymmetry in upside and downside risks is unfavorable for investors and requires a risk premium. It ...
Added: January 31, 2023
Dobrynskaya V. V., Review of Finance 2014 Vol. 18 No. 5 P. 1885-1913
I propose a new factor – the global downside market factor – to explain high returns to carry trades. I show that carry trades have high downside market risk, i.e. they crash systematically in the worst states of the world when the global stock market plunges or when a disaster occurs. The downside market factor ...
Added: August 14, 2020
Dobrynskaya V. V., / Высшая школа экономики. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2017. No. 61/FE/2017.
Added: October 23, 2018
Dobrynskaya V. V., Review of Finance 2014 Vol. 18 No. 5 P. 1885-1913
I propose a new factor – the global downside market factor – to explain high returns to carry trades. I show that carry trades have high downside market risk, i.e. they crash systematically in the worst states of the world when the global stock market plunges or when a disaster occurs. The downside market factor ...
Added: August 14, 2014
Kandaurov D., Вестник Южно-Уральского государственного университета. Серия "ЭКОНОМИКА И МЕНЕДЖМЕНТ" 2014 Т. 8 № 4
The paper deals with the problem of determining optimal position in foreign currency for an international investor. In the first part of the paper effectiveness of international diversification is considered. In the second part the author considers modern models designed for determining optimal position in currency for international investor depending on his aims (risk minimization, ...
Added: October 22, 2014
Pestova A., Pankova V., Akhmetov R. et al., Деньги и кредит 2017 № 6 С. 49-58
In this paper we propose a system of financial stress indicators for Russia based on high frequency data. Unlike previous studies, we identify financial instability for different types of financial risks (credit, liquidity, currency, interest rate, external finance risk), not for different segments of financial market. With constructed composite indicator of systemic risk at hand, ...
Added: June 9, 2017
Shvets S. K., Известия Санкт-Петербургского государственного экономического университета 2016 № 6(102) С. 29-41
The article deals methodological aspects currency risk management non-financial company in conditions of uncertainty. The proposed economic mechanism of analysis and assessment of currency of RiskMetrics. The developed algorithm for risk assessment based on statistical modeling (Monte-Carlo). Consider a practical example of the calculation of the currency risk of the Group companies and their elimination ...
Added: February 20, 2017
Dobrynskaya V. V., Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 2019 No. 63 P. 101141
High momentum returns cannot be explained by risk factors, but they are negatively skewed and subject to occasional severe crashes. I explore the timing of momentum crashes and show that momentum strategies tend to crash in 1-3 months after the local stock market plunge. Next, I propose a simple dynamic trading strategy which coincides with ...
Added: August 14, 2020
Kokosh A., Проблемы анализа риска 2010 Т. 7 № 1 С. 28-37
World fi nancial crisis and increased volatility of major economic indicators raised attention to the problem of fi nancial risk management in corporations, and to the possibilities of fi nancial derivatives usage for hedging. In perfect markets hedging by means of derivatives allows corporations to mitigate fi nancial risks allowing for minimum costs. Current paper ...
Added: October 22, 2012
Sobolev A., РИСК: Ресурсы, информация, снабжение, конкуренция 2017 № 3 С. 159-166
The topicality of capital allocating efficiency increasing becomes more urgent with the volatility growth in financial markets. The article provides an innovative approach for currency risks management using composite currency pairs indexes forming stationary time series. ...
Added: January 22, 2018
М. : ИНИОН РАН, 2014
В сборнике рассматриваются теоретические и практические проблемы взаимодействия человека, техносферы и биосферы, а также преодоления антропогенной деградации биосферы.
Для научных работников, специалистов, преподавателей и аспирантов. ...
Added: October 22, 2014
Kotelnikova M. V., Aistov A., Вестник Нижегородского университета им. Н.И. Лобачевского. Серия: Социальные науки 2019 Т. 55 № 3 С. 183-189
The article describes a method that allows to improve the content of disciplines of the mathematical cycle by dividing them into invariant (general) and variable parts. The invariants were identified for such disciplines as «Linear algebra», «Mathematical analysis», «Probability theory and mathematical statistics» delivered to Bachelors program students of economics at several universities. Based on ...
Added: January 28, 2020
М. : КноРус, 2012
Представлена экономическая оценка природно-ресурсного потенциала РФ, рассмотрены закономерности размещения природных ресурсов и основные особенности экологической ситуации в регионах страны, описано влияние экологических факторов на демографический потенциал и здоровье населения, приведена характеристика основных загрязнителей окружающей среды, изложены основы природно-ресурсной политики России и хозяйственный механизм ее осуществления, раскрыты региональные различия современной экологической обстановки в стране и тенденции ...
Added: March 10, 2013
Lipatnikov V. S., Гребенькова Е. С., Проблемы теории и практики управления 2014 № 12 С. 89-96
In this article is conducted research of the mechanism of selection of venture innovative projects. We studied the factors, which influence a choice of business angels. The purpose of work was to receive an advanced system of estimation of projects. On the basis of the survey it is possible to say that the financing of ...
Added: December 8, 2014
Oxford Abstracts, 2021
Recovering from Covid: Responsible Management and Reshaping the Economy
In 2021, the 35th Conference and 2nd BAM Conference in the Cloud, will critically engage with the socio-economic recovery from the global Covid-19 pandemic.
Consumers, producers, frontline workers, managers, businesses, public and third sector organisations all have their own roles and responsibilities in transforming our marketised society for the post-pandemic world.
We will critically explore the challenges we all face, aiming to ...
Added: June 12, 2021
Dzhagityan E. P., Вестник международных организаций: образование, наука, новая экономика 2019 Т. 14 № 2 С. 245-274
The institutional aspect of post-crisis banking regulation reform (Basel III) remains unsettled, and as such undermines regulators’ efforts to shape a seamless platform for international financial intermediation. The lack of global acceptance of the Basel III standards amid the internationalization of banking activities is one of the main reasons for regulatory asymmetries which are difficult ...
Added: August 28, 2018
Kuchmaeva O., Население и экономика 2018 Т. 2 № 4 С. 47-84
Статья посвящена анализу масштабов и видов социальной активности пожилых россиян. Актуальность данной проблемы обусловлена масштабами демографического старения, ставшего уже предметом целенаправленной социальной политики в России и странах мира. Реализуя Международный план действий по проблемам старения, в частности, в рамках Стратегии действий в интересах граждан старшего поколения в Российской
Федерации до 2025 г., важно понимать, насколько сейчас ...
Added: October 30, 2019
Neretina Ekaterina, Neretina E., Journal of Accounting, Finance and Economics 2013 Vol. 3 No. 1 P. 65-76
The last market crash of 2008-2009 showed that the construction sphere is one of the most fragile subject to the crisis effect. The destructive effect of this crash resulted in substantial decrease in mortgage lending, price index, capital investment, and in growth of the cost level. As the construction industry remains strategically important, the eruption ...
Added: September 5, 2013
Chulok A., Slobodianik S., Moiseichev E. Y., Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 511-527
Purpose
This study aims to assess future prospects for Russian energy exports until 2040, as global energy markets are undergoing major changes, with possible impacts on Russia.
Design/methodology/approach
Qualitative and quantitative approaches are integrated under a proposed foresight framework. The qualitative method involves an expert survey aimed at identifying major energy trends and their influence on ...
Added: October 3, 2017