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What drives the Russian stock market: World market and political shocks
International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics. 2014. Vol. 4. No. 1/2. P. 82-95.
In this paper, we empirically test the dependence of the Russian stock market on the world stock market, world oil prices and Russian political and economic news during the period 2001–2010. We find that oil prices are not significant after 2006, and the Japan stock index is significant over the whole period, since it is the nearest market index in terms of closing time to the Russian stock index. We find that political news like the Yukos arrests or news on the Georgian war have a short-term impact, since there are many other shocks. These factors confirm the structural instability of the Russian financial market.
Korhonen I., Peresetsky A., / Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition. Series DP "BOFIT Discussion Papers". 2013. No. 4.
We empirically test the dependence of the Russian stock market on the world stock market and world oil prices in the period 1997:10–2012:02. We also consider three Eastern Euro-pean stock markets (Poland, the Czech Republic, and Hungary), as well as two markets outside Europe (Turkey and South Africa). We apply a rolling regression to identify ...
Added: March 18, 2013
Korhonen I., Peresetsky A., Emerging Markets Finance and Trade 2016 Vol. 52 No. 7 P. 1210-1225
We empirically test the dependence of the Russian stock market on the world stock market and world oil prices in the period 1997:10--2012:02. We also analyze countries that can be considered to be relatively similar to Russia, e.g., Poland, the Czech Republic, and South Africa. First, we apply a rolling regression to identify periods when ...
Added: August 12, 2016
Peresetsky A., / University Library of Munich, Germany. Series "MPRA Paper". 2011. No. 41508.
In this paper we empirically test the dependence of the Russian stock market on the world stock market, world oil prices and Russian political and economic news during the period 2001-2010. We find that oil prices are not significant after 2006, the Japan stock index is significant over the whole period, since it is the ...
Added: March 16, 2013
Peresetsky A., Yakubov R., International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics 2017 Vol. 7 No. 1-2 P. 152-169
In this paper, a Kalman filter-type model is used to extract a global stochastic trend from discrete non-synchronous data on daily stock market index returns from different markets. The model allows for the autocorrelation in the global stochastic trend, which means that its increments are predictable. It does not necessarily mean the predictability of market ...
Added: January 4, 2017
Asaturov K. G., Teplova T., Сухорукова К.А., Управление финансовыми рисками 2012 № 3(31) С. 190-198
Статья посвящена анализу взаимосвязей фондовых рынков различных стран (регионов). Авторы уделяют особое внимание эффекту перетекания волатильности (volatility spillover) с одних рынков на другие и тестируют гипотезу о наличии этого эффекта на крупнейших финансовых региональных рынках. Предлагаемая методика тестируется на рынке США как предполагаемом эпицентре волатильности для региональных рынков, а затем реализуется для проверки ряда гипотез ...
Added: November 21, 2012
Rozmainsky I. V., Економiчний Вiсник Донбасу 2012 № 4(22) С. 34-42
Heterodox – Post Keynesian and Institutionalist - economics proves that expansion of financial sector can be harmful for the real sector. Such conclusion is an effect of account of variability of preferences, planning horizons and degree of rationality in the behavior of economic agents. We suppose that both methodology and conclusions of Heterodox Economics can ...
Added: December 26, 2012
Volodin S., Sorokin I., Управление корпоративными финансами 2014 № 6 С. 382-390
В статье рассматриваются инвестиционные стратегии, основанные на формировании портфеля акций с высокой дивидендной доходностью. Анализируется их сущность и общая эффективность применения на мировых фондовых рынках. Предлагается авторский подход к созданию портфеля высокодивидендных акций, позволяющий достигать лучших показателей доходности относительно рыночного индекса. ...
Added: November 13, 2014
Volodin S., Якубов А. П., Валютное регулирование. Валютный контроль 2016 № 10 С. 56-62
Thriving development of new market segment – algorithmic trading, resulted in the case that nowadays it exerts rather significant influence on the process of market’s price formation. It is noted not only in the leading world stock exchanges but also in the domestic market. Unfortunately, the development of this segment often causes the rise of ...
Added: December 3, 2016
Volkova O. N., Вопросы экономики 2015 № 2 С. 142-148
The paper analyses the concepts of transparency and accountability, their correlation with other key concepts used in Russian social and economic discourses, and also the critique of the transparency and accountability practices. It is shown that the main effect of development of these technologies is the substitution of reality by the “picture” formed for external users, transformation of this “picture” ...
Added: February 3, 2015
Mitrova T. A., Галкина А. А., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2013 Т. 17 № 3
Анализ факторов, определяющих спрос на энергетические ресурсы, является традиционным направлением прикладных экономических исследований, при этом вся история развития антропогенной энергетики связана с расширением межтопливной конкуренции – с развитием новых источников энергии, позволяющих увеличить круг доступных для человечества вариантов удовлетворения своих энергетических нужд. В последние десятилетия продвижения в коммерциализации широкого спектра нетрадиционных энергетических ресурсов (глубоководные и ...
Added: November 27, 2013
Kulagin V., Veselov F., Белоцкая Е. Д. et al., М. : ИНЭИ РАН-АЦ при Правительстве РФ, 2016
В монографии представлены результаты исследования по долгосрочному прогнозированию развития мировых энергетических рынков и расчетов, проведенных с использованием информационно- модельного комплекса SCANER. Показана комплексная оценка направлений развития энергетики мира, регионов и стран, включая объемы потребления, производства, переработки и торговли энергоресурсами, цены, параметры конкуренции, динамику ввода новых мощностей, объемы выбросов СО2. Три прогнозных сценария – Вероятный, Благоприятный ...
Added: November 29, 2016
Sergey Nikolayevich Volodin, Gennadii Mladenovich Kuranov, Alexey Pavlovich Yakubov, Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, Romania 2017 Vol. 64 No. 3 P. 271-287
The following research is dedicated to the analysis of political events’ impact on price dynamics of Russian stock market financial assets. In recent times, in line with the sharpening of internal and external political clashes, such events significantly affect the country’s financial system. However, this issue is insufficiently considered on Russian market. Constructed econometric GARCH ...
Added: September 7, 2017
Volodin S., Головченко А. Э., Аудит и финансовый анализ 2014 № 5 С. 99-105
Nowadays, a number of research of Russian and foreign experts is dedicated to one of the most widespread approaches to price forecasting – technical analysis. However, usually results contain only general characteristics of applying this approach in a market and do not specify in which conditions it is most effective. In this paper authors define ...
Added: November 13, 2014
Volkova O. N., Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2018 № 3 (39) С. 85-109
We discuss the content of the concept of fair value, practices and consequences of its application in accounting and finance, its interplay with other social and economic concepts. Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at ...
Added: September 24, 2018
Rodionov I. I., Protasov V. S., Корпоративные финансы 2010 № 4(16) С. 41-51
Importance of the investments in the modern economy stipulates necessity of increase of accuracy in researches on it. This aim could be reached by sectoral factors including in investigation. The article shows significance of sectoral factors for investment behaviour, brings recommendations for empirical research, and classifies factors in oil and gas industry.
Capital structure choice is ...
Added: October 27, 2012
Asaturov K. G., Teplova T., Управление финансовыми рисками 2012 № 4(32) С. 254-266
интеграционные процессы на финансовых рынках, эффект перетекания волатильности, динамическая корреляция рядов доходности ...
Added: November 21, 2012
Maksim Kopyrin, Naidenova I. N., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2021 Vol. 15 No. 2 P. 5-15
Information about companies published in a news feed is invariably tinted by emotional tonality. As such, resulting
perceptions may influence the opinion of market players, and consequently affect the dynamics of a company’s share
price. This study aims to evaluate various hypotheses about the impact of the tone of news items regarding dividends,
capital expenditures, and development on ...
Added: June 16, 2021
Volodin S., Skiba A., Валютное регулирование. Валютный контроль 2017 № 3 С. 52-59
When analyzing the issues of takeover procedure, accompanied by acquisition of large blocks of shares, voluntary and mandatory offer to acquire publicly trading shares as well as squeeze out mechanisms, a lot of questions regarding minority shareholders’ roles in such procedures come up. In fact, the problem of their protection becomes the main issue for discussion. The ...
Added: May 7, 2017
Volodin S., Кулагина М. В., Аудит и финансовый анализ 2013 № 5 С. 208-213
The article is devoted to one of the most popular approaches to forecasting market prices - technical analysis. We investigate the effectiveness of methods of technical analysis on the most liquid stocks of the Russian stock market. Derived conclusions about the overall effectiveness of technical analysis and identifies financial assets for which the use of ...
Added: October 21, 2013
Korhonen I., Peresetsky A., / Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition. Series DP "BOFIT Discussion Papers". 2013. No. 15.
We use a Kalman filter type model of financial markets to extract a global stochastic trend from the discrete non-synchronous data on daily stock market index returns of different stock exchanges. The model is tested for robustness. In addition, we derive “most important” hours of world financial market and estimate the relative importance of local ...
Added: July 21, 2013
Pogorelova P., Peresetsky A., Прикладная эконометрика 2020 Т. 57 С. 53-71
In this paper, the Kalman linear filter method is used to decompose non‐synchronous observations of the realized volatility of financial indices (NIKKEI 225, FTSE 100, S&P 500) into unobservable global and local components. It is shown that the volatility of the New York S&P 500 index is a global component, while the Tokyo NIKKEI 225 ...
Added: August 26, 2020
Khusainov F. I., Ожерельева М. В., Экономика железных дорог 2019 № 8 С. 70-84
The article analyzes the main results of the work of railway transport in the field of transportation of goods of the fuel and energy complex (FEC) in 2018. and also considered the dynamics of traffic in 2000-2018. The most important factors influencing the dynamics of railway transportation of coal and oil cargoes are shown. The ...
Added: August 20, 2019
Volodin S., Емелькина А. И., Управление финансовыми рисками 2016 Т. 3 № 47 С. 182-194
Проблема манипулирования ценами актуальна с момента зарождения финансовых рынков и до настоящего времени. Она затрагивает все страны – как развитые, так и развивающиеся. В России же, где фондовый рынок все еще проходит процесс становления, системы выявления противоправных сделок и регулирующие этот механизм нормативные акты находятся в зачаточном состоянии. Ввиду этого, инвесторы подвергаются дополнительному риску возникновения ...
Added: September 6, 2016
Volodin S., Коченков И. А., Управление корпоративными финансами 2014 № 4(64) С. 220-226
В статье рассматривается достаточно новый для российского рынка подход к прогнозированию цен финансовых активов и совершению биржевых операций – перекрестный арбитраж. Несмотря на то, что данный подход уже активно используется на западных рынках, в России он пока еще не получил должного распространения. Авторами раскрывается суть перекрестного арбитража и исследуется зависимость результатов его применения на российском ...
Added: September 15, 2014