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Прогнозирование инфляции: эмпирика и реальность
Экономика. Налоги. Право. 2014. № 1. С. 53–57.
This article discusses methods for forecasting inflation, both in academic research and in solving practical problems. It is concluded that the range of models discussed in academic research is much wider than a set of models used by central banks. In practice, inflation is most often forecasted by using a modification of the Phillips curve in conjunction with a more omprehensive
model describing the economy as a whole.
Kazakov A., Koryakin V., Safonov K. et al., Journal of Differential Equations 2026 Vol. 480 Article 114626
We study a family of one-dimensional maps that models the dynamics of a system of differential equations with a Lorenz attractor near a bifurcation curve where the system has a pair of homoclinic loops with zero separatrix value. Of particular interest is the region of the parameter plane where the map has a robust chaotic ...
Added: September 16, 2026
Letellier C., Stankevich N., Houri S. et al., Chaos 2026 Vol. 36 No. 9 Article 093128
Toroidal chaos designates a chaotic solution that is structured in the neighborhood of a torus. For being chaotic, such a torus needs to be discontinuously fractalized to present a Cantor set, ensuring the great sensitivity to initial conditions required for chaos. A fractal is related to self-similarity and a non-integer dimension. In fact, although clearly ...
Added: September 16, 2026
Poddiakov A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026. No. 7437658.
Clarity of knowledge and reasoning is necessary in many cases. Yet vagueness in scientific thinking related to surprise, curiosity, "ability to engage with not-knowing" (de Freitas) and abductive reasoning is also a crucially important source of scientific creativity which supplements combinatorial logic when dealing with the already known. Starting from studies by C. S. Peirce ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Смирнов С. В., Миллионщиков Д. В., Уфимский математический журнал 2021 Т. 13 № 2 С. 44–73
В данной работе изучаются характеристические алгебры для систем экспоненциального типа, соответствующих вырожденным матрицам Картана. Эти системы обобщают хорошо известные в теории интегрируемых систем гиперболические уравнения синус-Гордон и Цицейки. Для таких систем, соответствующих матрицам Картана ранга 2, характеристические алгебры описаны явно в терминах образующих и соотношений, и доказано, что они имеют линейный рост. Исследуется связь между ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Смирнов С. В., Glasgow Mathematical Journal 2026 Vol. 68 No. 2 P. 299–316
In the second half of the 19th century Darboux obtained determinant formulae that provide the general solution for a linear hyperbolic second order PDE with finite Laplace series. These formulae played an important role in his study of the theory of surfaces and, in particular, in the theory of conjugate nets. During the last three ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Смирнов С. В., Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical 2023 Vol. 56 No. 26 Article 265204
There are different methods of discretizing integrable systems. We consider semi-discrete analog of two-dimensional Toda lattices associated to the Cartan matrices of simple Lie algebras that was proposed by Habibullin in 2011. This discretization is based on the notion of Darboux integrability. Generalized Toda lattices are known to be Darboux integrable in the continuous case ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Enatskaya N., Труды Карельского научного центра РАН. Серия 10: Математическое моделирование и информационные технологии 2026 № 6 С. 132–138
In schemes S for placing r particles in n distinguishable cells, their placement in selected m cells – schemes S∗ is studied, for which the analysis is carried out by a new enumerative method (EM) in extended areas of enumerative combinatorics: finding the number of outcomes and, based on the construction of a model of ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Enatskaya N., Труды Карельского научного центра РАН. Серия 10: Математическое моделирование и информационные технологии 2026 № 6 С. 139–147
The class of particle cell arrangements under consideration is characterized by the introduction of an upper limit on the filling levels of the cells, which must be achieved in at least one cell of each outcome of each arrangement. The circuits are distinguished by the paired qualities of their constituent elements (cells and particles) according ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Podinovskiy V. V., Нелюбин А. П., Автоматика и телемеханика 2026 № 8 С. 110–123
Для многокритериальных задач принятия решений по аналогии с качественной вероятностью введены понятия полной и частичной качественной важности как бинарных отношений, обладающих постулируемыми
свойствами. Предложено новое определение отношения нестрогого предпочтения на множестве вариантов решений, порождаемое качественной
важностью. Исследованы его свойства. Указаны аналитические правила,
позволяющие попарно сравнивать варианты по предпочтительности. Проведено сравнение новых отношений предпочтения с разработанными ранее для задач, ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Podinovskiy V. V., Нелюбин А. П., Автоматика и телемеханика 2026 № 7 С. 113–126
Рассматриваются задачи принятия решений, когда предпочтения оцениваются в порядковой шкале, а возможности реализации значений
неопределенного фактора описываются качественной вероятностью (полной или только частичной). Вводятся определения отношений предпочтения и безразличий на множестве стратегий. Предлагаются простые
решающие правила, позволяющие сравнивать стратегии по предпочтительности, и приводятся иллюстративные примеры. ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Chemical Papers 2026
Benzenoid hydrocarbons are structurally regular aromatic compounds, which makes them well suited for quantitative structure–property relationship (QSPR) studies. This study presents a QSPR analysis of nineteen benzenoid hydrocarbon species using degree-based topological co-indices. We developed a Python program to compute eleven degree-based topological co-indices from molecular graphs and evaluated their ability to explain variations in ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Glutsyuk A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
B.Josephson (Nobel Prize, 1973) predicted a tunnelling effect for a system of two superconductors separated by a narrow dielectric (such a system is called Josephson junction): existence of a supercurrent through it and equations governing it. The overdamped Josephson junction is modeled by the family of differential equations on the 2-torus, dθdτ=1ω(cosθ+B+Acosτ), which is known as ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Glutsyuk A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
A planar dual billiard is a planar curve γ equipped with a family (σP)|P∈γ of projective involutions of the projective lines LP tangent to γ at P that fix P. A dual billiard is called rationally integrable, if there exists a rational function R(x,y) of two variables (called first integral) whose restriction to each tangent ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Alexandrov A., Glutsyuk A., Journal of Differential Equations 2026 Vol. 465 Article 114178
The overdamped Josephson junction in superconductivity theory can be modeled by the family of dynamical systems on the torus, which is known as the RSJ model. This family admits an equivalent description by a family of second-order differential equations: special double confluent Heun equations. In the present paper, we construct two new families of dynamical systems on ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Glutsyuk A., Inventiones Mathematicae 2026 Vol. 245 P. 977–1058
A caustic of a strictly convex planar bounded billiard is a smooth curve whose tangent lines are reflected from the billiard boundary to its tangent lines. The famous Birkhoff Conjecture, studied by many mathematicians, states that if the billiard boundary has an inner neighborhood foliated by closed caustics, then it is an ellipse. In the paper we study ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Kubrak D., Prikhodko A., Compositio Mathematica 2026 Vol. 162 No. 6 P. 1377–1438
In this follow-up paper we show that smooth Hodge-proper stacks over O𝐾 are ℚ𝑝-locally acyclic: namely the natural map between étale ℚ𝑝-cohomology of the algebraic and Raynaud generic fibers is an equivalence. This establishes the ℚ𝑝-case of general conjectures made in D. Kubrak and A. Prikhodko [p-adic Hodge theory for Artin stacks, Mem. Amer. Math. ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Ismailov A., Constructive Approximation 2026
The measure of the positivity set {x ∈ [0; 2π] | f (x) > 0} of a trigonometric polynomial f is bounded from below by the Motzkin density.
We generalize the bound to polynomials in several variables and almost periodic functions.
We then use these generalizations to extend known results on Taikov’s problem. ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Kelbert M., Statistics 2026 Vol. 60
We present variational representations for the weighted divergencies
and exponential error function, and discuss implications for the
statistical inference and entropic optimal transport. ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Kucheryavyy P., Математические заметки 2026 Т. 120 № 3 С. 380–401
В работе изучаются перестановки, возникающие при упорядочивании по возрастанию дробных долей произведений элементов фиксированной целочисленной последовательности на вещественный параметр. Исследуется количество различных перестановок, которые можно получить таким образом при изменении этого параметра от нуля до единицы. ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Soldatova A., Сберегательное дело за рубежом 2026 № 1 С. 40–49
Within the classical macroeconomic paradigm, the key interest rate is considered the primary instrument of monetary policy. Through the transmission mechanism, it influences the cost of borrowing and saving, thereby regulating aggregate demand in the economy. Global interest rates today are highly uneven. This article examines the experiences of leading central banks under conditions of ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Осипов Д.В., Математический сборник 2026 Т. 217 № 9 С. 130–146
Изучаются законы взаимности, связанные с комплексными линейными расслоениями на расслоениях на ориентируемые окружности. В частности, доказывается следующий закон взаимности. Пусть B – комплексное многообразие и πi:Mi→B – расслоение на ориентируемые окружности, где индекс i пробегает конечное множество. Пусть Li и Ni – комплексные линейные расслоения на каждом многообразии Mi. Закон взаимности утверждает, что сумма всех элементов (πi)∗(c1(Li)∪c1(Ni)), где (πi)∗ – ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Вестник Евразийской науки 2025 Т. 17 № 6
В работе исследуются возможности использования простых процедур корректировки и объединения прогнозов. Мы оцениваем влияние применения этих процедур (методов простой корректировки, простых и регрессионных методов комбинирования) на качество прогнозов показателей российского экспорта во все страны и импорта из всех стран. В общей сложности мы использовали четыре метода корректировки, 9 методов простого комбинирования и семь регрессионных методов. ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026