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Green Bonds in Russia: Market and Macroeconomic Factors of Returns
Journal of Applied Economic Research. 2025. Vol. 24. No. 4. P. 1249–1279.
The Russian green bond market is still in its early stage of development but has been expanding in response to global demand for sustainable finance and domestic economic challenges. This context makes the analysis of factors shaping its performance particularly relevant. The aim of this study is to quantify the influence of macroeconomic variables, such as inflation, GDP growth, Brent oil prices, exchange rate fluctuations, and policy uncertainty, together with market indicators including Moscow Exchange index, bond yield spreads, credit ratings, and new issuance volume, on the capital returns of Russian green bonds between December 2022 and February 2025. The study proceeds from the hypothesis that both macroeconomic conditions and market sentiment determine green bond performance, with inflation, exchange rates, and bond indices expected to exert the strongest effects. Methodologically, a dynamic panel framework estimated by system Generalized Method of Moments is applied, while Fixed- and Random-Effects models provide robustness checks. The empirical analysis reveals persistence in returns, with a significant positive effect of two-month lagged values. Inflation is positively and significantly associated with returns, while ruble appreciation also exerts a positive effect in the GMM model. The Moscow Exchange Bonds Index emerges as another significant factor, indicating close co-movement with the broader bond market. In contrast, GDP growth, Brent oil, policy uncertainty, credit ratings, yield spreads, and issuance volumes show limited or insignificant influence. These findings enrich the literature on sustainable finance in emerging, resource-dependent economies by highlighting the dominant role of inflation and bond market dynamics. For practitioners, the results reiterate the need to account for inflationary and exchange rate conditions, while regulators should prioritize liquidity and integration of green bonds into established market infrastructure.
Grebnev L., Вопросы философии 2026 № 7 С. 5–15
In the coming millennium, the transformation of our world has become a matter
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The globalization of economic activity is being replaced by the formation of relatively
autonomous macroregions. But it would be a mistake to assume on this
basis that joint dominion over the entire planet ...
Added: July 11, 2026
Родичев А. И., Zinyakov Y., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2026 Т. 61 № 2 С. 340–357
This paper analyzes discrepancies between direct and mirror data in Russia's foreign trade statistics over the period of 2003-2024. Special attention is given to assessing the impact of sanction policies on the level of statistical discrepancies, which reflect trade costs, manipulations in customs and tax reporting, as well as structural changes in logistics and the ...
Added: July 10, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 7 С. 5–23
The year 2026 marks the 250th anniversary of Adam Smith’s “An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations”, the work that had laid the foundations of economic science. The three factors of production Smith implicitly introduced — labor, land, and capital — no longer operate in their pure form: the digital ...
Added: July 9, 2026
Sizova A., Барнаул: Алтайский государственный педагогический университет, 2026.
В сборник включены научные статьи, посвященные различным аспектам социально-экономической и культурной истории Сибири в контексте внутренней и внешней политики России. Сборник посвящен 70-летию со дня рождения известного ученого, педагога, просветителя и общественного деятеля, доктора исторических наук, профессора Александра Владимировича Старцева (1956–2019).
Сборник предназначен для специалистов в области отечественного исторического сибиреведения, а также всех, кто интересуется историей ...
Added: July 8, 2026
Besstremyannaya G., Кузнецова Ю., Прикладная эконометрика 2026 Т. 82 С. 26–46
This paper studies the technical efficiency of Russian retail companies in 2019 to 2023 using stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) with the Battese and Coelli (1995) model. A translogarithmic production function is employed for estimations. The dependent variable is company revenue, and the production factors are the average number of employees, fixed assets, and assets less ...
Added: July 8, 2026
Dormidontova Y., Central European Business Review 2026 Vol. 15 No. 2 P. 69–90
This study examines the individual factors of artificial intelligence (AI) implementation by small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) owners, based on a survey of 499 respondents in Russia. Drawing on Innovation Diffusion Theory, the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM), and stakeholder-oriented sustainability approach, the analysis shows that SME owners who already use AI for private purposes are ...
Added: July 7, 2026
Kozlov N., Semenova M., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2026 Vol. 20 No. 2 P. 108–135
This paper introduces a novel approach to identifying and operationalizing political connections of banks. We manually code 2,598 bankers who owned or worked in 115 Russian banks between 2015 and 2021 to classify political connections and uncover their institutional patterns through cluster analysis. We propose a set of variables that capture the origins, relevance, and ...
Added: July 6, 2026
Grebnev L., Вопросы философии 2025 № 6 С. 105–116
The relevance of the topic is related to the fact that after the complete abandonment of real values in the 1970s of the main means of international settlements - the US dollar – there is a growing feeling that money increasingly represents an illusory reality. The article begins with an analysis of the illusions associated ...
Added: July 6, 2026
Volkova N., Кочетков Н. В., Чикер В. А., Психологическая наука и образование 2026 Т. 31 № 3 С. 35–49
Context and relevance. Artificial intelligence is a technology with the potential to fundamentally transform all spheres of human life. Its rapid integration into everyday reality intensifies research dedicated to the psychology of using neural networks. However, the development of empirical research in the Russian scientific field is limited by the lack of validated psychodiagnostic tools that ...
Added: July 5, 2026
Alekseeva O., Nazarova V., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 2 С. 329–354
IPO underpricing remains one of the most persistent anomalies in capital markets and is particularly pronounced in emerging markets, where information asymmetry and valuation uncertainty are especially high. This article examines the relationship between board gender composition and the level of IPO underpricing among Chinese companies. The study aims to assess whether a higher share ...
Added: July 4, 2026
Ershova N. V., Журнал институциональных исследований 2026 Т. 18 № 2 С. 82–97
This article, based on a survey data from 1,860 Russian manufacturing enterprises, analyzes the
scale of enterprise participation in science-industry collaboration (SIC), defines the characteristics of
enterprises that are more actively involved in SIC, and identifies regional institutional factors that
contribute to increased enterprise participation in SIC using correlation analysis. It is shown that
Russian manufacturing firms are very ...
Added: July 3, 2026
Podrugina A., Романова В. А., Пространственная экономика 2026 Т. 22 № 2 С. 56–85
Исследование посвящено анализу институциональных усилий развивающихся стран по дедолларизации и укреплению роли национальных валют. На основе систематизации теоретических подходов к интернационализации валют авторы разрабатывают новый аналитический инструмент – Индекс институционального развития финансового рынка в национальных валютах. Методология индекса охватывает четыре ключевых направления политики: использование валюты в международных расчетах, создание валютных своп-линий между центральными банками, развитие ...
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Anikeev K., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 2 С. 410–428
This study empirically tests the deposit channel hypothesis, which holds that increases in deposit markups cause liquidity outflows from the banking sector and a contraction in credit supply. The central question is whether deposit substitution effects, whereby depositors shift funds to other financial instruments during monetary tightening, are reflected in banks’ balance sheets and aggregate ...
Added: July 2, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Koshel A., Kruchinskaia E. et al., BRICS Law Journal 2026 Vol. 13 No. 2 P. 5–36
Today’s economy is undergoing a fundamental institutional shift in which digital ecosystems have emerged not only as a key driver of development but also as a critical condition for market access for billions of users. Despite the rapid global proliferation of these phenomena, the evolution of legal regulation—from e-commerce and data protection to antitrust oversight ...
Added: July 2, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Россия в глобальной политике 2026 Т. 24 № 4 С. 92–109
В статье анализируется структурный разрыв между увеличивающейся когнитивной нагрузкой и снижающейся отдачей от неё. Подход, при котором развитие научных и образовательных школ, ориентированных на тренировку суждения, может стать альтернативой количественному наращиванию вычислительных мощностей, которое служит основной стратегией Китая и США. Применительно к России традиция фундаментального образования и сильных исследовательских школ приобретает в новых условиях значение ...
Added: July 1, 2026
Saakyan T. V., Барабанова Ю. В., Финансовый журнал 2026 Т. 18 № 3 С. 110–121
In this article the authors aim to determine the place and role of methodological guidelines within the system regulating internal state financial control. The research holds both theoretical and applied significance, as a scholarly interpretation of this issue has not been previously undertaken and its examination will enable the full potential of the studied methodological ...
Added: July 1, 2026
Федорова В. С., Zavertiaeva M. A., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2026 Т. 30 № 2 С. 276–312
Crowdfunding is a relatively new method of project financing that involves raising funds from a large number of non-professional investors. Despite the rapid growth of this sector, only about 41.98% of crowdfunding campaigns are successful, which highlights the need to identify factors that increase the likelihood of successful fundraising. This study aims to address the ...
Added: July 1, 2026
Grishunin S., Burova E., Suloeva S. et al., , in: 1st International Scientific Conference “Green Taxonomy for Sustainable Development: From Green Technologies to Green Economy” (CONGREENTAX-2024)Vol. 574.: EDP Sciences, 2024.
The paper explores the evolution of greenium in European corporate primary green bond markets from 2013 to 2023. It introduces a new perspective by studying the phases of the life cycle of this market. The sample included 22,259 bond issues from 23 European countries, with 1,040 being green bonds. During this period the green bond ...
Added: June 28, 2026
EDP Sciences, 2024.
The 1st International Scientific Conference «Green taxonomy for sustainable development: From Green Technologies to Green Economy» (CONGREENTAX-2024) was held in Tashkent, Uzbekistan. For the first time, this conference unites technical and economic sciences into a single whole, to solve theoretical and practical solutions for sustainable development. The event was organized by the National Research University ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Vukovic N., Аверина А. О., Стефанова К. А., Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН 2026 № 1 С. 26–39
Responsible business conduct and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) policies play a crucial role in advancing the global sustainable development agenda. As businesses worldwide integrate sustainability into their strategic frameworks, ESG ratings serve as key instruments for assessing corporate responsibility and guiding investment decisions. This paper conducts a comparative analysis of major international ESG ratings ...
Added: June 19, 2026
Popov K., Писчикова Е. А., Российский журнал менеджмента 2026 Т. 24 № 1 С. 45–70
Purpose: this study aims to assess the impact of independent directors’ characteristics on voluntary ESG disclosure by Russian public non-financial companies. Methodology: this study conducts an econometric analysis of panel data on 56 large Russian public non-financial companies listed on the Moscow Stock Exchange, which published standalone ESG and sustainability reports from 2017 to 2023. Findings: the significant positive impact ...
Added: June 16, 2026
Churakova I., Nazarova V., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2026 Vol. 20 No. 1 P. 86–99
This paper presents an empirical analysis based on the correlation between ESG performance and cost of equity capital of listed companies in mainland China and Hong Kong, China from 2018 to 2022. The final empirical results of the study show that there is a negative correlation between ESG performance and cost of equity capital in ...
Added: May 3, 2026
Ismailova E., Финансы и бизнес 2026 Т. 22 № 1 С. 37–61
In recent years, there has been a growing body of research examining how environmental, social, and governance (ESG) indicators affect the terms of mergers and acquisitions (M&A). A particularly relevant issue is the relationship between a company’s ESG profile and the acquisition premium — a markup over the target firm's market value. This review summarizes ...
Added: April 24, 2026
Senin V., Швырков Е. А., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2025 № 3 (57) С. 156–173
The article provides a comparative analysis of the ESG practices of Russia's largest banks, focusing on their sustainable development strategies, corporate governance, and social and environmental initiatives. The authors examine the regulatory framework and taxonomy of ESG banking in Russia, analyze the reporting and projects of leading financial institutions (Sber, Sovcombank, Bank DOM.RF, Moscow Credit ...
Added: February 12, 2026