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Towards a Better Life? Assessing Some Initial Effects of Russian Pension Reform
Высшая школа экономики
,
2021.
No. 2491.
In 2018, the official retirement age in Russia was abruptly raised from 60 to 65 for men and from 55 to 60 for women. The rise was motivated by the necessity to keep the deficit of the Russian Pension Fund, caused by population ageing and a shrinking labor force, under control. During years preceding this decision, the authorities had assured the population that no measures of this sort would be considered. The study assesses the initial causal effects of the 2018 increase in retirement age on the subjective well-being and economic sentiments of Russian individuals. Using the difference-in-differences and the synthetic control approaches, we show that people close to the retirement threshold and presumably most affected by the pension reform became less confident in the current and future economic situation in the country and in their personal future prospects and financial situation.
Petrosian A., Шевчук Е. И., Кириллов П. Л. et al., Демографическое обозрение 2019 Т. 6 № 2 С. 55-83
The paper investigates the geographical features of demographic aging using the age of retirement as the
main definition for old age boundary. The study is based on the demographic statistics of Rosstat and the UN
Population Division. The possible interdependence between population aging and the implementation of
social policies in the field of pension regulation have been studied. ...
Added: October 12, 2020
Lyashok V., Горлин Ю. М., Гришина Е. Е. et al., Научно-исследовательский финансовый институт. Финансовый журнал 2017 № 6 (40) С. 85-97
The article analyzes the foreign experience of increase in the retirement age. The authors investigate the boundaries and rates of increase in the retirement age, taking into account different, such as life expectancy (including life expectancy of persons older the retirement age), the requirements for the length of service and the availability of early retirement ...
Added: January 29, 2018
Lukyanova A., Kapeliushnikov R., Вопросы экономики 2019 № 11 С. 5-34
The paper analyzes changes in job opportunities of older workers in Russia in the period 2005—2017. The study uses the data from the Russian Labor Force Survey conducted by Rosstat. Changes in the occupational and industrial composition of elderly workers follow the trends pursued by other age groups: employment shifts from low- to high-skilled occupations, ...
Added: November 6, 2019
Л.Э. Лимонов, М.В. Несена, Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2019 Т. 4 № 4 С. 163-188
In the study, the population of the Russian cities is conditionally
divided by population size into two samples: “large” and “small” cities, and a comparative
Диспаритет «больших» и «малых» городов России: сравнительный анализ... Журнал НЭА,
№ 4 (44), 2019,
с. 163–188
188
analysis of these groups is carried out. The main hypothesis of the study is associated
with the intuitive assumption that ...
Added: December 19, 2019
Ляшок В. Ю., Назаров В. С., Дормидонтова Ю. А., Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2015 № 1 С. 57-75
The purpose of this paper is to estimate with the help of econometric methods, how sensitive the labour supply of elderly is to the changes in the pension system. We first analyze how a hypothetical increase of pension eligibility age would influence the economic activity of such individuals. The results of the simulation model show ...
Added: April 14, 2015
Lyashok V., Roshchin S., / НИУ ВШЭ. Серия WP15 "Научные труды Лаборатории исследований рынка труда". 2016. № 04.
The paper analyzes the possible existence of competition between the young and older workers in Russia. Jobs held by the two groups as well as their educational characteristics signifi cantly different, indicating a low level of competition between them. The lack of the effect of the one of the groups’ employment on the employment and ...
Added: August 4, 2016
Stroh W. A., Кольцова Е. А., Психология в экономике и управлении 2012 № 2 С. 30-37
This article offers a new perspective on issues of work-life balance through the relationship of this construct with such phenomena as «workaholism» and «downshifting». Highlighted the socio-economic, organizational and managerial conditions and personal prerequisites for work-life balance. We discuss the problem areas of theoretical concepts and empirical research in this area, identifies promising areas for ...
Added: February 20, 2013
Горлин Ю. М., Гришина Е. Е., Федоров В. В., Научно-исследовательский финансовый институт. Финансовый журнал 2017 № 6(40) С. 85-97
В статье проведен анализ зарубежного опыта повышения пенсионного возраста. Были исследованы границы и темпы повышения пенсионного возраста в разных странах, а также учитываемые при повышении пенсионного возраста другие параметры, в частности ожидаемая продолжительность жизни, в том числе после достижения пенсионного возраста, требования к страховому стажу, наличие возможности выхода на пенсию ранее его достижения. В статье ...
Added: January 16, 2018
Denisenko M., Varshavskaya E., Economics and Sociology 2018 Vol. 11 No. 2 P. 275-288
This article examines the level and the dynamics of working (economically active) life expectancy in Russia, calculated using the Sullivan method. Our results show that the working life expectancy in Russia is shorter than in European and North American countries. This disadvantage is especially evident for the male population. However, Russian males and females also ...
Added: June 30, 2018
Горлин Ю. М., Lyashok V., Maleva T. M., Экономическая политика 2018 № 1 С. 148-179
In this paper, we explain why it is necessary to reform the pension system in Russia and, in particular, to increase the pension age. Moreover, we emphasize the positive consequences of such a reform, focus on potential risks and analyze measures for their prevention, as well as state counter-arguments to the most common objections. It ...
Added: March 16, 2018
Melnik D. V., Miriakov M., Общественные науки и современность 2019 № 2 С. 79-90
During 1998–2008 radical pension reforms were implemented in 14 post-communist countries. The purpose of the reforms was to shift the responsibility for pension savings from government to individuals. Essentially the same model was implemented in the countries with different social and economic conditions wither a short period of time. The implementation of the model in the region is ...
Added: March 27, 2019
Miriakov M., Россия и современный мир 2020 № 4 С. 242-261
In the second half of the 20th century modern demographic trends, leading to the population ageing, shaped the pension policy agenda. The population ageing argument played crucial role in the pension reform and, more general, welfare state discourse, explaining the inevitability of the fall of “old-fashioned” state-led pension systems in the long run. The paper provides a ...
Added: July 28, 2020
Vishnevsky A. G., Vasin S. A., Ramonov A., Вопросы экономики 2012 № 9 С. 88-109
Retirement age reform in the Russian Federation is widely discussed in recent Russian economic literature. This literature mainly focuses on economic justification of increasing retirement age, less often considers demographic issues. The latter that according to economists point of view provide additional arguments for this reform are critically considered in the article. As indicated in ...
Added: November 14, 2012
Sinyavskaya O., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2017 Т. 21 № 4 С. 562-591
This work, based on the results of long-term (up to 2050) pension forecasting, is devoted to the study of the impact of demographic parameters on the future of the Russian pay-as-you-go pension system. It assesses the sensitivity of the parameters of the pension system to changing scenarios of the population forecast. It is shown that ...
Added: November 30, 2017
Kotyrlo E., Kalachyhin H., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP2 "Количественный анализ в экономике". 2020. № 2.
Do bilateral investment treaties (BIT) stimulate foreign direct investment (FDI) to a developing country? There is no clear answer to this question. We consider the consequences of BITs mass unilateral termination by India using the difference-in-difference (DD) method and the synthetic control method (SCM). The obtained estimates indicate that India’s BITs termination led to a ...
Added: January 21, 2021
Melnik D. V., Miriakov M., Вопросы экономики 2019 № 9 С. 40-54
In 1981 in Chile the Pinochet regime reformed the state-led PAYG pension system into the private pension system. Chilean experiment attracted the attention of both politicians and experts around the world and laid the foundations for the new pension orthodoxy. As a result, more than 30 countries (mostly in Latin America and in the former ...
Added: September 5, 2019
Kozlov V. A., Cherviakova A. A., Journal of Population Ageing 2018
This study focuses on the understanding the problem if there are differences across Europe in subjective well-being of generations born before, during and shortly after the Second World War. It is based on 6 rounds (from 2002 to 2012) of European Social Survey (ESS) for 16 countries (excluding participating less than 4 times). We used ...
Added: October 3, 2017
Zazdravnykh E., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 5. Экономика 2020 Т. 36 № 4 С. 579-600
This study investigates the effect of a twofold rise in fixed payments on sole-proprietors and entrepreneurial activity in 2013 and a twofold decline in these payments in 2014. The paper considers consequences of this decision for various facets of entrepreneurship: the presence of small and medium enterprises in an economy, the new business entries, and ...
Added: March 4, 2021
O. А. Демидова, Прикладная эконометрика 2021 № 4(64) С. 107-134
The article provides an overview of the main spatial-econometric models and notes the shortcomings that limit their application to the description of the processes taking place in large heterogeneous countries, such as Russia. The main approaches and modifications of the models are given, which make it possible to take into account Russian conditions, and a ...
Added: April 7, 2022
Denisenko M. B., Varshavskaya E., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2017 Т. 21 № 4 С. 592-622
В статье исследуется уровень и динамика продолжительности трудовой жизни в России. Для ее оценки использовался метод Салливана. Выполненные расчеты показали, что по продолжительности экономически активной жизни Россия отстает от многих стран Европы и Северной Америки. Особенно велико это отставание у мужского населения. В то же время российские мужчины и женщины имеют самые непродолжительные периоды экономической ...
Added: January 2, 2018
Lipkind T. M., Ostapkovich G. V., НИУ ВШЭ, 2019
Эксперты Центра отметили отсутствие существенных изменений в динамике основных показателей деятельности организаций сферы услуг как по итогам IV квартала, так и в течение 2019 г. Балансы оценок динамики спроса, объема оказанных услуг, занятости, финансовых результатов, цен на услуги, экономической ситуации демонстрировали колебания в пределах узкого диапазона отрицательных значений.
Основной композитный индикатор обследования – сезонно сглаженный индекс ...
Added: January 30, 2020
Bakeev M., Lola I. S., Вопросы экономики 2023 № 9 С. 103-120
The paper analyzes the history of the use of self-reports in economics in order to study the logic of overcoming methodological barriers in recent decades that previously limited the use of such data in economics. The two most widely used types of self-reported data in economics were considered: first, data on subjective expectations, intentions, and ...
Added: July 4, 2023
Sinyavskaya O., Gontmakher E. S., Помазкин Д. В. et al., М. : Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2020
Сборник включает статьи, написанные российскими и зарубежными экспертами на основе выступлений на регулярном научном семинаре «Политика активного долголетия и пенсионные реформы: российский и международный опыт», организованном Институтом социальной политики НИУ ВШЭ в 2019 г. Тематика статей охватывает вопросы развития социального страхования в XXI в., становления системы долговременного ухода, зарубежный и российский опыт пенсионных реформ.
Материалы сборника будут полезны ученым и ...
Added: April 7, 2020
Smetanin S., Mikhail Komarov, PeerJ Computer Science 2022 Vol. 8 Article e1181
As one of the major platforms of communication, social networks have become a valuable source of opinions and emotions. Considering that sharing of emotions offline and online is quite similar, historical posts from social networks seem to be a valuable source of data for measuring observable subjective well-being (OSWB). In this study, we calculated OSWB ...
Added: December 29, 2022