Model of Electronic Components Failures for Use in Simulation
The problems of creating a model of electronic component failures for simulation of electronic equipment failures are considered. The model is designed to calculate the realizations of developments of electronic components in simulation. Unlike standardized models of failures of electronic components, the proposed model allows simultaneously to take into account their characteristics of non-failure, durability and storageability.
The monograph presents results by professor Dr. A. Shalumov’s Research School of Modeling, Information Technology and Automated Systems (Russia). The program, ASONIKA, developed by the school is reviewed here regarding reliability and quality of devices for simulation of electronics and chips during harmonic and random vibration, single and multiple impacts, linear acceleration and acoustic noise, and steady-state and transient thermal effects. Calculations are done for thermal stress during changes in temperature and power in time. Calculations are done for number of cycles to fatigue failure under mechanical loads as well as under cyclic thermal effects. Simulation results for reliability analysis are taken into account. Models, software interface, and simulation examples are presented.
For engineers and scientists involved in design automation of electronics.
The considered model of the failure rate of CMOS VHSIC design proposed in the article Piskun G.A., Alekseev V.F., "Improvement of mathematical models calculating of CMOS VLSIC taking into account features of impact of electrostatic discharge", published in the first issue of the journal "Technologies of electromagnetic compatibility" for the year 2016. It is shown that the authors claim that this model "...will more accurately assess the reliability of CMOS VHSIC design" is fundamentally flawed and its application will inevitably lead to inadequate results. Alternatively, the proposed model of the failure rate of CMOS VHSIC design, which also allows to take into account the views of ESD, but based on the use of resistance characteristics of CMOS VHSIC to the effects of ESD.
Nested Petri nets (NP-nets) are Petri nets with net tokens - an extension of high-level Petri nets for modeling active objects, mobility and dynamics in distributed systems. In this paper we present an algorithm for translating two-level NP-nets into behaviorally equivalent Colored Petri nets with the view of applying CPN methods and tools for nested Petri nets analysis. We prove, that the proposed translation preserves dynamic semantics in terms of bisimulation equivalence.
The article considers the questions assessing the reliability of mechanical components used in the electronic equipment in the early stages of design. The calculations of failure rates springs shock absorbers according to various methods. It is shown that the use of models failure rates of mechanical elements, taking into account the peculiarities of their structural and technological performance, not only allows us to solve the problem of calculating, but also to ensure the required level of reliability and mechanical components, and containing electronic equipment.
Financial markets have always been attractive as a means of increasing one's wealth, and those who make accurate predictions take the prize. Forecasting models such as linear ones are simple to compute, however, they give rough approximations of the underlying relationships in the data, thus, producing poor forecasts. The solution to this issue could be the nonlinear models which try to fit the data and display the relationships with higher accuracy. Previous research seems to prove this statement from the statistician's point of view which might be of little use for an investor. Therefore, the focus of this paper is on the comparison of three types of models (nonlinear: ANN, STAR, and linear: AR) in terms of financial performance. Our research is based on the initial code for GAUSS and papers by Dick van Dijk. The data used is the monthly S&P 500 Index values from 1970 to 2012 provided by the Robert Shiller's website. Forecasting index changes begins at 1995 and ends in 2012 providing up-to-date results for 14 model specifications. The best model proves to be the flexible ANN, beating the linear AR in the majority of cases, leaving the underperforming heavy-parameterized STAR model behind. Thus, it is evident that the more flexible nonlinear models outperform the heavily parameterized ones as well as linear models for the S&P 500 Index. The introduced type of performance evaluation has a more comprehensible application to the financial market analysis.
In the paper integrated information systems for corporate planning and budgeting are considered. Four groups of practical tasks exceeding the bounds of typical functionality of special-purpose planning and budgeting information systems are allocated. Several classes of information systems (simulation, statistical analysis, financial analysis and modeling, group decision making, business intelligence), which may provide the completeness of corporate planning and budgeting are denoted as solutions complementary to special-purpose planning and budgeting systems.