Балансовые и факторные модели как инструмент анализа и прогнозирования структуры экономики

С. 50–75.

Suvorov N. V., Трещина С. В., Белецкий Ю. В., Balashova E.

The subject of this work is the presentation of methods and results of the development of special tools for forecasting and analytical studies designed to ensure the formation of quantitative indicators that characterize the material proportions of the economy. Methodical and instrumental problems associated with the formalization of quantitative interrelationships between macroeconomic information presented by data on individual functional elements of final demand (used GDP), on the one hand, and indicators of output volumes of individual industries (types of economic activity), on the other hand, are considered. The questions connected with construction of retrospective and forecast indicators of interbranch relations are analyzed.

Keywords: метод "затраты-выпуск", balance and factor models, analysis and forecast of the structure of the economy, Input-output method, interbranch relations, балансовые и факторные модели, анализ и прогноз структуры экономики, межотраслевые связи

In book

Научные труды: Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования РАН

М.: МАКС Пресс, 2017.