Моделирование прогнозирования платежеспособности предприятий

С. 227–230.

Bogdanova T., Мамедова С. В.

One of the most important criteria for selection of partners for the enterprise is the solvency of the entity. Insolvent Corporation does not attract any contractors or investors, as the interaction with them risk to lose their own money and resources. Although the insolvency does not always lead to bankruptcy or liquidation of the enterprise, but always serves as a signal about the adverse financial position for the company's partners. The insolvency of the enterprise can develop according to different scenarios that can be traced to the nature of the changes of financial indicators in dynamics. However, most existing prediction models solvency ignore this feature and do not take into account the retrospective dynamics data, which significantly reduces their accuracy. Therefore, the problem of forecasting of solvency taking into account dynamics of change of financial indicators is relevant.

Keywords: неплатежеспособность, forecasting, прогнозирование, вероятность, probability, финансовое состояние, financial position, dynamics of changes, динамика изменения, insolvency

In book

Системное моделирование социально-экономических процессов: труды 37-ой Международной научной школы-семинара, г. Сочи, 30 сентября - 5 октября 2014 г.

Воронеж: Воронежский государственный педагогический университет, 2014.