?
The Leadership in the Future Global World or Chinese Joker in the World Pack
P. 350-365.
In the present article forecasts of China's upcoming development are given. It is shown why China, even with all its possible future success, will be unable to take the USA's place in the World System. The merits and shortcomings of the characteristics of the modern Chinese economic development model are revealed.
The conclusion is made that the Chinese economy, with all its achievements, remains generally extensive and, based on the consumption of excessive numbers of various resources and funds and with respect to the attendant investment gain, will become more and more ineffective. The author believes that it will be impossible to reconstruct the Chinese development model and GDP growth rates will slow down soon.
Grinin L. E., Journal of Globalization Studies 2011 Vol. 2 No. 2 P. 7-24
In the present article forecasts of China's upcoming development are given. It is shown why China, even with all its possible future success, will be unable to take the USA's place in the World System. The merits and shortcomings of the characteristics of the modern Chinese economic development model are revealed. The conclusion is made ...
Added: October 14, 2014
Grinin L. E., В кн. : Комплексный системный анализ, математическое моделирование и прогнозирование стран БРИКС: Предварительные результаты. : М. : Красанд, 2014. С. 246-276.
В настоящей статье проведен анализ моделей развития Китая и Индии, каждой из стран в отдельности и в сравнении. Несмотря на все особенности этих держав, такой анализ позволяет также выявить и некоторые общие черты, характерные для всех быстро развивающихся стран, совокупная роль которых к 2030 г. также будет очень большой. ...
Added: October 8, 2014
Zhemkov M., Вопросы экономики 2019 № 9 С. 70-89
Inflation targeting in Russia implies maintaining stable low inflation at a level of 4% throughout the country. The presence of structural factors in some regions can determine deviations from the all-Russian inflation, which can lead to different effects of monetary policy in Russian regions. In this paper, we analyze regional heterogeneity of inflation and factors ...
Added: March 10, 2020
Pashkov S. G., Социология: методология, методы, математическое моделирование 2022 № 53 С. 39-82
The Consumer Sentiments Index (CSI) reflects views of the population of Russia on the economic and financial policy of the country and contributes to the understanding of recessive changes in the economy. Current methodological approach singles out inflation, exchange rate, unemployment, intensity of economic events coverage in mass media as the primary factors that guide consumers in their assessments when ...
Added: December 5, 2022
Dabrowski M., , in : The Handbook of Political, Social, and Economic Transformation. : Oxford : Oxford University Press, 2019. Ch. 59. P. 552-557.
The aim of macroeconomic stabilization is restoring price stability and reducing monetary, fiscal, and balance-of-payment imbalances. Macroeconomic stabilization is particularly needed when a country suffers from high inflation or hyperinflation. To stop such an inflation one can choose between three types of anti-inflationary programmes: orthodox money-based, orthodox exchange rate-based, and heterodox. Other cases of macrostabilization ...
Added: October 4, 2019
Postylyakov S., Исполнительное право 2014 № 1 С. 15-19
In article the problems of development of institute of indexation of the sums of money awarded in civil process on the basis of the analysis of jurisprudence low-investigated in domestic jurisprudence are considered. Problems of legal equipment of the operating GPK Russian Federation, indexations concerning institute are studied also, ways of its improvement are offered. ...
Added: May 18, 2014
Pak Y., Pekarski S. E., Вопросы экономики 2024 № 1 С. 33-51
The global economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has once again shown the key role of fiscal stimulus. At the same time, in many developed countries, stimulating monetary policy was limited by the already achieved zero interest rates. But the fight against the consequences of the coronavirus with fiscal policy instruments had a negative ...
Added: March 12, 2024
Архиповская А. В., Актуальные проблемы экономики и права 2011 № 1 С. 164-170
The article presents a review of events in the financial market in 2007-2008. The author studies the interconnection between macroeconomic policy conducted by the USA monetary authorities since beginning of 1980-s till now, and the risks which have concentrated in the financial system and resulted in the crisis. The author specifies the mechanisms of the ...
Added: October 9, 2012
Ponomarenko A. A., Васильева Е. А., Schobert F., Journal of Banking and Financial Economics 2014 Vol. 2 No. 2 P. 116-150
Added: March 28, 2023
Dabrowski M., Accounting, Economics, and Law: A Convivium (De Gruyter) 2021 Vol. 11 P. 1-47
Two major economic crises in the early twenty-first century have had a serious impact on monetary policy and CB independence. Disruption in financial intermediation and associated deflationary pressures caused by the global
financial crisis of 2007–2009 and European financial crisis of 2010–2015 pushed central banks (CBs) in major currency areas towards adoption of unconventional monetary policy ...
Added: May 20, 2021
Avdeeva D., Akindinova N., Balashova E. et al., М. : Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2015
Мы попытались оценить возможные последствия кризиса для российской экономики в том случае, если надежды на возврат цен на нефть до 100 долл./барр. не оправдаются, а действие взаимных санкций между Россией и западными странами останется. При сохранении цен на нефть на уровне около 50 долл./барр. и тенденции к международной изоляции России объем ВВП в реальном выражении ...
Added: April 15, 2015
Mozias P., Финансовый бизнес 2011 Т. 1 № 150 С. 44-53
China's domestic macroeconomic disequilibria contributed heavily to the global disbalances which resulted in the global financial crisis. Extremely high rates of saving and investment, along with the huge trade surplus of China, are a mirrow reflection of the US economic problems, such as the negative gross saving rate, overdependence on consumer demand for economic growth, ...
Added: November 30, 2012
Karev M. G., Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2011 № 9 С. 72-97
В работе предлагается формальный метод выявления предпочтений российского регулятора как на качественном, так и на количественном уровне. Основная идея заключается в том, чтобы по наблюдаемому поведению инструмента денежной политики (номинального обменного курса) сделать заключение о лежащих в основе этого поведения предпочтениях ЦБ. Для количественного анализа используется имитационная модель российской экономики. Метод основывается на включении в ...
Added: December 26, 2012
Pekarski S. E., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP 55/LNG/2017. 2007. No. 12.
This paper contributes to the literature on budget deficits and inflation in high inflation economies. The main finding is that recurrent outbursts of extreme inflation in these economies can be explained by a certain hysteresis effect associated with public finance. This interpretation meets the evidence that dramatic shifts between regimes of moderately high and extremely ...
Added: March 13, 2013
Gloveli G., В кн. : Великая депрессия и великая реформа (Успехи и провалы экономической политики Ф.Д. Рузвельта). : М. : НОРМА, ИНФРА-М, 2016. Гл. 15, 16. С. 178-192.
Chapters analyses the making of national models of Welfare State as a responce to challenges of the Great Depression and the Second World War. A special attention is dedicated to the British "new liberalism" inspired by J.M.Keynes and W.H.Beveridge as well as the Swedish social-democratic Folkhemmet. The macroeconomic bases of USA development after F.D. Roosevelt's reform ...
Added: March 14, 2016
Бочкарев С. А., Право и государство: теория и практика 2010 № 10 С. 110-117
Research is carried out article criminally-legal mechanism property protection, its communication with the inflationary and deflationary processes which have become aggravated in the conditions of financial crisis. By the analysis of communication of the criminal law with economic processes it is established that it aggravates property stratification of a modern society. ...
Added: October 19, 2012
Бочкарев С. А., Zhalinsky A. E., Имущественные отношения в Российской Федерации 2010 № 9 С. 10-19
In this paper a study of criminal law mechanism for the protection of property with aim of establishing its relationship with inflation and deflation processes, aggravated in the Russian economy in the current financial crisis. As a result, the author found that the application of the criminal law does not solve the problem of stratification ...
Added: October 25, 2012
Sokolova A., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP12 "Научные доклады лаборатории макроэкономического анализа". 2013. No. 3.
The aim of this research is to identify the process that guides the evolution of infl ation expectations in Russia. The signifi cance of this theoretical issue is stipulated by the fact that the characteristics of this process are the key determinants of both infl ation dynamics and the effectiveness of disinfl ation measures introduced ...
Added: January 23, 2014
Sokolov V., Review of International Economics 2012 Vol. 20 No. 4 P. 707-722
This paper examines how the 2005 shift in Russian exchange rate policy from US dollar (USD) single-currency to USD-EUR (euro) bi-currency targeting has impacted domestic interest rates. The finding show that this policy shift has disconnected Russian interest rates from US dollar-denominated interest rates, while instead linking them to a synthetic interest rate composed of ...
Added: November 16, 2012
Mishchenko A. V., Логистика и управление цепями поставок 2010 № 6(41) С. 39-51
Models enabling to assess stability of solutions connected with the choice of the optimal production plan are presented in the article. The optimal production plan ensures the maximum profit for the company under input restraints. At the same time in the standard model supplementary variable is added which reflects inflation rate in the economy. Within ...
Added: October 26, 2012
Каширин В. В., Тихонов Г. В., Grachev N. N., Экономика и управление в машиностроении 2015 № 1 С. 48-52
Авторами предлагаются основы методологии принципов организации оценки и критериев отбора лучших инновационных проектов на рынке инновационных продуктов.
С возникновением нового объекта экспертизы: инновационных проектов, программ, образовательных практик – появляется насущная необходимость рассмотреть исходные положения теории экспертирования.
В целях освоения и понимания задач инновационного менеджмента и способов их решения предлагаем рассмотреть общий подход к разработке той ...
Added: April 12, 2015
Dabrowski M., / CASE - Center for Social Economic Research. Series CASE Reports "CASE Reports". 2020. No. 501.
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, ...
Added: October 26, 2020
Grinin L. E., Journal of Globalization Studies 2013 Vol. 4 No. 1 P. 5-31
In the coming decades in the process of globalization the position of the USA and Europe will weaken, while the role of developing countries will increase. The role of the two largest emerging economies – China and India – will be of special significance. What future will these fast-growing giants face?
The demographers agree that pretty ...
Added: October 9, 2014
Motohashi H., Starobinsky Alexei A., The European Physical Journal C - Particles and Fields 2017 Vol. 77 No. 8 P. 1-8
The previously introduced class of two-parametric phenomenological inflationary models in general relativity in which the slow-roll assumption is replaced by the more general, constant-roll condition is generalized to the case of f(R) gravity. A simple constant-roll condition is defined in the original Jordan frame, and exact expressions for a scalaron potential in the Einstein frame, for ...
Added: February 15, 2018