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The Leadership in the Future Global World or Chinese Joker in the World Pack
P. 350–365.
In the present article forecasts of China's upcoming development are given. It is shown why China, even with all its possible future success, will be unable to take the USA's place in the World System. The merits and shortcomings of the characteristics of the modern Chinese economic development model are revealed.
The conclusion is made that the Chinese economy, with all its achievements, remains generally extensive and, based on the consumption of excessive numbers of various resources and funds and with respect to the attendant investment gain, will become more and more ineffective. The author believes that it will be impossible to reconstruct the Chinese development model and GDP growth rates will slow down soon.
Demidova O., Kazakova S., Applied Economics 2026 P. 1–14
This paper examines the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth across Russian regions, contributing to the literature on the inflation-growth nexus by using subnational evidence from a large and economically heterogeneous country. Using panel data for 83 regions over the period 2015–2023, we estimate fixed-effects models with a quadratic specification of inflation. The growth-maximizing ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Soldatova A., Сберегательное дело за рубежом 2026 № 1 С. 40–49
Within the classical macroeconomic paradigm, the key interest rate is considered the primary instrument of monetary policy. Through the transmission mechanism, it influences the cost of borrowing and saving, thereby regulating aggregate demand in the economy. Global interest rates today are highly uneven. This article examines the experiences of leading central banks under conditions of ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Староверова О. В., Kosov M., Финансовая жизнь 2024 № 4 С. 37–42
The article is devoted to the study of the possibilities of forming a sustainable strategy for the development of financial markets, which will allow developing a ready-made methodology for decision-making in financial market management and increasing the volume of the real sector and improving macroeconomic indicators. The problem of maintaining a positive growth trend is ...
Added: October 22, 2025
Petrovskaya N., Современная мировая экономика 2023 Т. 1 № 3(3) С. 46–74
This paper analyzes the labor market in the United States in 2020-2023, with a focus on its unconventional development due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic resulted in lockdowns and restrictions in various states, which disrupted the traditional business cycle and caused a significant decline in employment, particularly in service industries such as tourism, hospitality, ...
Added: June 23, 2025
Podrugina A., В кн.: Макроэкономика. Практикум странового анализа.: М.: НИЦ Инфра-М, 2025. Гл. 6 С. 87–103.
Added: December 6, 2024
Zhdanov A., Korotayev A., Социология власти 2024 Т. 36 № 2 С. 113–141
There are some theoretical grounds to expect that general inflation can have an ambiguous effect on the likelihood ofthe outbreak ofrevolutionary actions: while high inflation has a positive effect on revolutionary activity, moderate inflation reduces the likelihood of revolution, whereas negative inflation values again increase revolutionary activity. At the same time, many researcherssuggest to treatseparately ...
Added: August 29, 2024
Grinin L. E., Гринин А. Л., Korotayev A., Политическая наука 2024 № 2 С. 124–150
The article examines the processes of transformation of the world system, which find expression in large, actually stadium changes. The world-System is in a phase preceding the transition to a new qualitative state, with a change in the balance of power in a variety of aspects and parameters. As part of the analysis conducted in ...
Added: June 3, 2024
Pak Y., Pekarski S. E., Вопросы экономики 2024 № 1 С. 33–51
The global economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has once again shown the key role of fiscal stimulus. At the same time, in many developed countries, stimulating monetary policy was limited by the already achieved zero interest rates. But the fight against the consequences of the coronavirus with fiscal policy instruments had a negative ...
Added: March 12, 2024
Goryunov E., Вопросы экономики 2023 № 12 С. 120–140
The theory of switching modes of reproduction (SMR) is a relatively new branch of heterodox macroeconomic theory. The SMR-models have two distinctive properties: they allow endogenous economic cycles and posess non-neutrality of money in the long term. The latter property means that in the SMR-models monetary expansion can effectively stimulate economic growth. The original form ...
Added: December 22, 2023
Shcherbakov, V., Karpov I., Economy of Regions 2024 Vol. 20 No. 3 P. 930–946
Inflation is one of the most important macroeconomic indicators that have a great impact on the population of any country and region. Inflation is influenced by range of factors, one of which is inflation expectations. Many central banks all over the World take this factor into consideration while implementing monetary policy within the inflation targeting ...
Added: December 7, 2023
Podrugina A., Лысенко К. В., Вестник международных организаций: образование, наука, новая экономика 2023 Т. 18 № 3 С. 7–31
Global inflation is one of the most significant challenges for the post-pandemic world economy. After several decades of low inflation and even elements of deflationary processes in developed countries, the danger of falling into a new period of great inflation had seemed insignificant. Dovish monetary policy during the 2009–19 period did not provoke a spike ...
Added: October 9, 2023
Goryunov E., Вопросы экономики 2023 № 3 С. 126–158
The indicator of monetization of the economy; equal to the ratio of nominal money supply to nominal GDP; is very popular among Russian economists and is used to assess the effectiveness of the monetary policy pursued and is often employed in cross-country comparisons. Many economists believe that the monetization of the Russian economy is excessively ...
Added: August 23, 2023
Goryunov E., Drobyshevsky S., Kudrin A. L. et al., Вопросы экономики 2023 № 7 С. 5–34
The world economy has recently experienced a strong inflationary shock, which the leading research institutions and central banks were unable to predict. In advanced economies inflation rates spiked up to levels had not been seen for decades. Inflation also hit emerging economies albeit the shocks of such magnitude are more common for the countries of ...
Added: August 23, 2023
Avakyan A., Kuznetsova O., Вопросы экономики 2023 № 4 С. 29–44
Many central banks consider the change of the approach to the monetary policy. One of the options is average inflation targeting. Under rational expectations this policy leads to a tangible increase in social welfare. In this paper, we demonstrate that in the case of adaptive expectations, on the contrary, it is more likely to lead ...
Added: April 5, 2023
Ponomarenko A. A., Васильева Е. А., Schobert F., Journal of Banking and Financial Economics 2014 Vol. 2 No. 2 P. 116–150
Added: March 28, 2023
Pashkov S., Социология: методология, методы, математическое моделирование 2021 № 53 С. 39–82
The Consumer Sentiments Index (CSI) reflects views of the population of Russia on the economic and financial policy of the country and contributes to the understanding of recessive changes in the economy. Current methodological approach singles out inflation, exchange rate, unemployment, intensity of economic events coverage in mass media as the primary factors that guide consumers in their assessments when ...
Added: December 5, 2022
Руднева А. О., Красикова Л. В., Экономика и предпринимательство 2022 № 3 С. 668–671
In the article, the authors analyze the phenomenon of inflation in the eurozone countries in the period from January 2021 to April 2022. The hypothesis is put forward, which is confirmed by the constructed two–factor model, that the key factors stimulating inflation are prices for energy raw materials. For this reason, it is proposed to ...
Added: October 10, 2022
Dergunov I., Meinerding C., Schlag C., Management Science 2023 Vol. 69 No. 5 P. 2547–3155
In a parsimonious regime switching model, we find strong evidence that expected consumption growth varies over time. Adding inflation as a second variable, we uncover two states in which expected consumption growth is low, one with high and one with negative expected inflation. Embedded in a general equilibrium asset pricing model with learning, these dynamics ...
Added: September 13, 2022
Dabrowski M., Russian Journal of Economics 2022 Vol. 8 No. 2 P. 95–121
The paper contains a retrospective analysis of macroeconomic policy and reforms in the countries of the former Soviet Union (FSU) from 1992 to 2021, after obtaining political and economic independence in 1991. Special attention is given to problems of macroeconomic stabilization and economic growth. As a result of structural distortions
inherited from the Soviet economy and ...
Added: September 3, 2022
Akindinova N., Bessonov V. A., Pukhov S. et al., Вопросы экономики 2022 № 5 С. 5–25
Динамика инфляции выступает ключевым фактором макроэкономической и социальной устойчивости, непосредственно влияя на все структурные пропорции в экономике и на благосостояние населения. Это особенно заметно в периоды острых шоков и кризисов. В статье предпринята попытка осмыслить инфляционные последствия кризиса неэкономической природы, связанного с пандемией коронавируса. Глобальный характер этого кризиса, а также его влияние на все секторы ...
Added: May 26, 2022
Kosov M., Аудиторские ведомости 2021 № 1 С. 8–11
At the present stage, the national economy exists in conditions of macroeconomic uncertainty and significant risks. In this regard, the process of complication by the public debt is intensifying. The main problems highlighted in the article are: volatility in the commodity markets, the need to maintain the inflation rate at the level of the goals ...
Added: September 4, 2021
Dabrowski M., / Series Valdai Club Expert Opinions "Valdai Club Expert Opinions". 2021.
The most recent inflation data from the US and several other countries signal that consumer prices started to rise. The question remains open whether this is a temporary post-pandemic rebound or the beginning of a more persistent inflationary trend ...
Added: June 11, 2021
Dabrowski M., / Series ISBN: 978-83-7178-718-8 "CASE Reports". 2021. No. 504.
The economic characteristics of the COVID-19 crisis differ from those of previous crises. It is a combination of demand- and supply-side constraints which led to the formation of a monetary overhang that will be unfrozen once the pandemic ends. Monetary policy must take this effect into consideration, along with other pro-inflationary factors, in the post-pandemic ...
Added: May 20, 2021