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October 8, 2026
HSE Experts Take Part in 23rd Annual Meeting of Valdai Discussion Club
The 23rd Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club was held from September 28 to October 1, 2026 under the theme ‘Responsibility for the Future: Limits of the Possible, or Limitless Possibilities?’ The forum brought together 120 experts from 40 countries, including representatives of China, the United States, India, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Germany, Egypt, Iran, and Japan.
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The HSE International Centre of Decision Choice and Analysis studies a wide range of methods for analysing decision-making and possible scenarios for the development of natural, socio-economic, and political phenomena using various mathematical models. The application of advanced mathematical methods to forecasting helps to prevent negative outcomes and avoid erroneous decisions. The HSE News Service spoke to the centre’s director, Prof. Fuad Aleskerov, about its work.
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The International N5 Symposium ‘Neural Networks and Nonlinearity in Nizhny Novgorod’ was held at the Nizhny Novgorod House of Scientists from September 23 to 26. The event was organised by HSE University–Nizhny Novgorod and the Nizhny Novgorod House of Scientists, with the participation of Sberbank and the Institute of Physics Belgrade. The symposium was held for the second time: the first conference took place in 2025 and attracted considerable interest from the academic community.

 

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Context-Dependent Criteria for Dirichlet Process in Sequential Decision-Making Problems

Mathematics. 2024. Vol. 12. No. 21. Article 3321.
Kasianova K., Kelbert M.

 In models with insufficient initial information, there is a possibility of error in their
estimation which can lead to a suboptimal choice being made; however, a delay in implementation
can also lead to losses. This paper examines an extension of information-theoretic approaches
designed to address this classical dilemma, focusing on balancing the expected profits and the
information needed to be obtained about all of the possible outcomes. Initially utilized in binary
outcome scenarios, these methods leverage information measures to harmonize competing objectives
efficiently. Building upon the foundations laid by existing research, this methodology is expanded
to encompass experiments with multiple outcome categories using Dirichlet processes. The core
of our approach is centered around weighted entropy measures, particularly in scenarios dictated
by Dirichlet distributions, which have not been extensively explored previously. We innovatively
adapt the technique initially applied to binary cases to Dirichlet distributions/processes. The primary
contribution of our work is the formulation of a sequential minimization strategy for the main
term of an asymptotic expansion of differential entropy, which scales with sample size, for nonbinary
outcomes. This paper provides a theoretical grounding, extended empirical applications,
and comprehensive proofs, setting a robust framework for further interdisciplinary applications of
information-theoretic paradigms in sequential decision-making.

Research target: Mathematics Computer Science
Language: English
Full text
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: Weighted InformationInformation GainBayesian experimental designDirichet process
Publication based on the results of:
Probabilistic-statistical analysis and modeling of processes with memory, Gaussian chaos, information measures (2024)
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