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Прогнозирование распространения COVID-19 в ЕС с использованием рандомизированного машинного обучения динамических моделей
Информационные технологии и вычислительные системы. 2022. № 3. С. 67–78.
The work is devoted to application of the theory of Randomized Machine Learning to forecasting of the COVID-19 pandemic based on SIR epidemiological model. We propose two modelling variants, the first is based on estimation of SIR model using real case data, the second is based on the idea of modelling transmission coefficient and its prediction. Comparative study of proposed approach is based on a comparison with the standard least squares approach and is carried out on a dataset of several countries of the European Union. It is shown the performance of the proposed approach and its effectiveness and adequacy under conditions of small amount of data with a high level of uncertainty.
Брычков М. Е., Незнанов А.А., Программирование 2026 № 4 С. 50–66
The matrix profile (MP) quickly became one of the most important time series preprocessing methods when it was introduced in 2016, facilitating the solution of a wide range of time series analysis problems, in particular anomaly and pattern detection problems. The high significance has led to the emergence of various tools for MP calculating, but ...
Added: October 9, 2026
ООО "Издательство Юрайт ", 2026.
The Collection of Olympiad Problems (COP) in Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics (PTMS) is offered as a teaching aid primarily for university students and faculty as a developmental supplementary resource, expanding the range of problems to be solved in lectures, seminars, and out-of-class independent work with students in various formats, including (as the title suggests) ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Aleskerov F. T., Вайншток А. П., Делахова А. М. et al., Информационные процессы 2026 Т. 26 № 3 С. 895–913
The development and effective management of territorial entities are priority issues for all states, particularly in the context of the digital transformation of public administration. Over the past decade, the integration of information technologies into municipal and regional planning has significantly altered approaches to strategic development, service delivery, and public engagement. This paper describes the ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Bessonova E., Popova S., Fedulova M., Emerging Markets Review 2026 Vol. 75 Article 101564
To mitigate the shocks caused by the pandemic-related restrictions, many governments implemented extensive support measures for companies facing sharp declines in revenues. In Russia, loan guarantee programmes allowed many firms to apply for loans during the pandemic. As a result, the number of small loans soared. Participation in the loan guarantee programmes helped firms in ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Kupavskii A., Noskov F., Forum of Mathematics, Sigma 2026 Vol. 14 Article 124
We call a family of $s$ sets $\{F_1, \ldots, F_s\}$ a sunflower with $s$ petals if, for any distinct $i, j \in [s]$, one has $F_i \cap F_j = \cap_{u = 1}^s F_u$. The set $C = \cap_{u = 1}^s F_u$ is called the {\it core} of the sunflower. It is a classical result of ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Flamarion M. V., Pelinovsky E., Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 2026 Vol. 213 No. 2 Article 119245
This article concerns the study of modulational instability in the rotated-modified Gardner–Whitham (rmGW) equation. This model incorporates both quadratic and cubic nonlinearities, similarly to the Gardner equation, while also retaining the fully dispersive character of the Whitham equation together with a large-scale dispersive term analogous to that in the Ostrovsky equation. Using a classical multiple-scale asymptotic expansion, we ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Люксембург А. А., УРСС, 2005.
Изучается возможность автоматизированного построения математических теорий. Рассматривается дедуктивная система, основанная на языке логики предикатов первого порядка, объектами системы являются математические выражения или формулы, которые описывают математические объекты или их свойства. В дедуктивной системе выводятся математические определения и теоремы. Для доказательства теорем используются методы автоматического доказательства. Разработан алгоритм, выводящий часть формул системы. Для решения задачи используется аппарат математической ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Aleskerov F. T., Chaika E., Дерендяев А. Б. et al., Procedia Computer Science 2026 No. 287 P. 590–595
Under conditions of dynamic socio-economic changes, effective planning and decision-making are key factors in ensuring a high quality of life for the population in territories. This paper presents a decision support system for territorial administrations for the development and implementation of sustainable development strategies, using one of the regions of the Russian Federation – the ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Bernardin C., Gonçalves P., Olla S., Mathematical Physics Analysis and Geometry 2024 Vol. 27 No. 7
We consider the macroscopic limit for the space-time density fluctuations in the open symmetric simple exclusion in the quasi-static scaling limit. We prove that the distribution of these fluctuations converge to a gaussian space-time field that is delta correlated in time but with long-range correlations in space. ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Bernardin C., Chhaibi R., Najnudel J. et al., Probability Theory and Related Fields 2026 Vol. 195 P. 1823–1875
We study the celebrated Shiryaev-Wonham filter (Wonham, W.M., in J. Soc. Ind. Appl. Math. 347–369, 1964) in its historical setup, where the hidden Markov jump process has two states. We are interested in the weak noise regime for the observation equation. Interestingly, this becomes a strong noise regime for the filtering equations. Earlier results of ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Ismailov A., Spiridonov V., Успехи математических наук 2026 Т. 81 № 5 С. 183–184
Получена новая формула для цепной дроби Аски–Вильсона в форме отношения двух q-гипер-геометрических рядов. ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Abdulkhaev K., Shirokov D., Advances in Applied Clifford Algebras 2026 Vol. 36 P. 1–21
In this paper, we present explicit formulas for the inverse and determinant in geometric (Clifford) algebras over vector spaces of dimension n = 7. The derivation of these formulas is made possible by generalizing the concept of conjugation to basis conjugation operations. We further develop a general method for constructing such formulas over odd-dimensional spaces ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Kuninets A., IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 2026 P. 1–1
In this work we study the applicability of Quasi-Cyclic Subfield Subcodes of Dual Elliptic (QC-SSDE) codes for integration into code-based cryptographic schemes. Detailed algorithms are provided for constructing parity-check matrices as well as block-circulant parity-check matrices for this family of codes, accompanied by empirical results that enable the construction of QC-SSDE codes with predetermined dimensions. ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Medvedev G., Alexandrov Artem, Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics 2026 Vol. 114 Article 044102
Graphons are measurable functions used to describe the asymptotic behavior of convergent graph families. Originally motivated by problems in combinatorics and graph theory, graphons have found numerous applications in the modeling and analysis of dynamical processes on networks. In this work, we use graphons to formulate the Ising model on convergent graph sequences, which include ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Pochinka O., Baranov D., Nozdrinova E., Теоретическая и математическая физика 2026 Т. 229 № 1 С. 3–14
The Birman–Williams problem on describing the planetary link of a fibered knot K in S^3 has been partially solved. Using Nielsen's theory for the classification of periodic surface homeomorphisms and its close relationship with the theory of gradient-like diffeomorphisms, it is proved that the planetary link of the trefoil (the unique periodic fibered knot of genus ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Lubashevsky I., Lubashevskiy V., Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena 2026 Vol. 498 Article 135441
We develop a novel cloud-function formalism describing the dynamical relationship between sensory-information processing in large-scale brain networks (supraliminal processing) and the content of the mental representation of an observed object. The formalism combines elements of neural field theory for large-scale neural activity with the spatial characteristics of perceived objects and their embedding in the environment ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Zlotnik A., Математические заметки 2026 Т. 120 № 6 С. 1005–1009
Численным методам решения систем газодинамических уравнений посвящена обширная литература. Ранее было разработано и успешно апробировано специальное семейство симметричных по пространству консервативных разностных методов, основанных на предварительной кинетической, точнее, квазигазодинамической (КГД), регуляризации этих уравнений. Актуальной задачей является построение численных методов, которые обладают не только свойством консервативности по массе, импульсу и полной энергии, но и удовлетворяют условиям энтропийной ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Vyugin I. V., Sashadhar D., Algebra and Number Theory 2026 P. 1–10
We study the K-Fibonacci sequence Fp modulo prime p. Cardinalities of sets |Fp+Fp| and |Fp⋅Fp| are estimated. We present the method of estimating doubling constant of some m-dimensional recurrent sets in Fp. ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Артёменко В. Г., Проблемы прогнозирования 2026 № 1 С. 144–156
The article analyzes the adaptation of the ICT specialist labor market in Russia in the context of technological development and external shocks in the first half of the 2020s. Against the backdrop of a general increase in the number of ICT specialists in Russia, external shocks changed the balance of supply and demand in the labor market. In ...
Added: September 29, 2026
ARUTYUNOV G. P., TARLOVSKAYA E. I., POLYAKOV D. S. et al., Heliyon 2024 Vol. 10 No. 7 Article e28892
The aim of this study is to investigate the course of the acute period of COVID-19 and devise a prognostic scale for patients hospitalized.
Materials and methods
The ACTIV registry encompassed both male and female patients aged 18 years and above, who were diagnosed with COVID-19 and subsequently hospitalized. Between June 2020 and March 2021, a total ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Новосибирск: ИПЦ НГУ, 2025.
This edition represents the publications of the 63rd International Scientific Student Conference 2025 (ISSC-2025) theses in in oriental studies and ethnography.
These Conference materials can be of interest for students, Ph.D. candidates, professors, scientists, and members of educational institutions. ...
Added: September 26, 2026
Burkova V., Butovskaya M., , in: Principles and Forms of Sociocultural Organization: Historical Contexts of Interaction.: L., NY: Anthem Press, 2026. Ch. 12 P. 237–250.
Cross-cultural psychology and anthropology have many ways of studying human cultures in all their diversity. There are multiple theories of cultural dimensions which provide a foundation for understanding how a culture of a given society influences individual values within it and how these values shape individual behavior. The chapter presents several examples of such classifications ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Contreras Rodríguez L., Madarro-Capó E. J., Legón-Pérez C. M. et al., Entropy 2021 Vol. 23 No. 5 Article 561
Added: September 18, 2026
Васильчук М. С., Шаньков Ф. М., Chumakova M. et al., Psychology. Journal of the Higher School of Economics 2021 Vol. 18 No. 2 P. 247–258
The 2019 Coronavirus disease outbreak leads to negative psychological outcomes not only for healthcare workers and patients, but also for the general public. S. Hobfoll’s Conservation of Resources theory is one of the most applicable models for conceptualizing and evaluating natural and social catastrophes and their impact. A web-based screening has been conducted at the ...
Added: June 30, 2026