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  • Прогноз — не роскошь, а инструмент управления
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News
September 25, 2026
AI Users Earn Up to 41.8% More Than Non-Users
Research conducted by economists at HSE University has revealed a significant correlation between the regular use of GenAI in the workplace and higher pay among Russian employees. The study found that individuals who frequently use GenAI in their professional activities earn notably more than those who reject these new tools or resort to them occasionally. The salary premium for highly qualified specialists reaches 41.8%. The article was published in the Voprosy Ekonomiki journal.
September 24, 2026
‘Feedback and Constructive Criticism Are Essential in Our Profession
Vincent Fardeau, Associate Professor at HSE ICEF, has reached a major career milestone: he recently published his paper ‘Asymmetric Thin Markets’ in the Journal of Financial Economics, successfully passed his major academic review, and received tenure. In this interview, Vincent discusses the story behind the paper, explains the concept of asymmetric thin markets, and shares his advice for young scholars aiming to publish in top-tier journals.
September 22, 2026
Personal Interest in Doctoral Thesis Topic Most Important for Confidence in Successful Defence
A researcher at HSE University analysed data on 1,539 doctoral students from 161 Russian universities to identify which features of a thesis topic are associated with academic success and engagement. The most important factor was found to be personal interest in the research topic, which was associated with almost all key aspects of doctoral programme experience—from engaging with the academic supervisor to research activity and confidence about successfully defending the thesis. The findings have been published in Higher Education.

 

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Прогноз — не роскошь, а инструмент управления

Директор информационной службы. 2012. № 2. С. 40–44.
Polyakov K.
Research target: Economics and Management Computer Science
Priority areas: economics business informatics
Language: Russian
Keywords: прогнозированиепланированиеуправление запасами
Similar publications
Управление проектами
М.: ИНФРА-М, 2026.
This textbook synthesizes modern concepts and approaches in the field of project management and is designed for use in project management courses. The material is based on the recommendations of the International Project Management Association (IPMA) and the international standards ISO 21500 and ISO 21502. It complies with the requirements of the latest generation of Federal ...
Added: September 25, 2026
Synthesis of Acyclic Models for Processes Without Repeating Events
Joulitov A.K., Lomazova I.A., Proceedings of the Institute for System Programming of the RAS 2026 Vol. 38 No. 4(2) P. 215–224
In process mining, DFG (Directly-Follows Graph) models are popular due to their simplicity and clarity. However, if a process is acyclic but contains concurrent events, standard algorithms for discovering DFG models can generate "fake" cycles that do not actually exist in the event log. These cycles hinder the analysis of information processes, significantly reducing the ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Mapping Impacts, Barriers, and Challenges in Scientific Collaboration
Vicentin D. C., Salati Marcondes de Moraes G. H., Brandao Fischer B. et al., IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management 2026 Vol. 73 P. 4455–4470
International science collaboration countries have expanded considerably in recent years; nevertheless, institutional and organizational barriers and challenges continue to undermine the effectiveness of joint research initiatives. This study examines how such barriers are associated with perceived academic and technological outcomes, drawing on a primary dataset of 396 survey responses from researchers in BRICS-countries-based collaborations. The ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Анализ протокола выработки общего ключа для управления микросхемой интеллектуальной карты
Добрина Д. Н., Nesterenko A., Прикладная дискретная математика. Приложение 2026 № 19 С. 151–159
Работа содержит результаты формального анализа криптографических механизмов, входящих в состав проекта методических рекомендаций «Защищенный универсальный протокол передачи данных и управления микросхемой интеллектуальной карты» (протокол SECUNDA). Получена формальная модель и перечень трудноразрешимых математических задач, трудоёмкостью решения которых можно оценить стойкость используемых криптографических механизмов. ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Discovering object-centric Petri nets with parametric arcs
I.I. Sergeev, I.A. Lomazova, Modeling and Analysis of Information Systems 2026 Vol. 33 No. 3 P. 394–419
Object-centric process mining has emerged as a powerful paradigm for analyzing event data involving multiple interacting business objects. Existing discovery techniques often rely on object-centric Petri nets with fixed arc multiplicities, limiting their ability to represent parametric resource consumption and production patterns and to capture quantitative dependencies between interacting object types. In this paper, we ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Новые ОФЗ в юанях: построение кривой доходностей
Makushkin M., Деньги и кредит 2026 Т. 85 № 2 С. 82–100
The paper considers the problem of estimating the coupon-free yield curve of Russian bonds in yuan. The relevance of the topic is explained by the increased popularity of yuan-denominated bonds in the Russian market since 2022, as well as the recent appearance of the first federal loan bonds (OFZ) in yuan. Given that the number ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Российский рынок корпоративных облигаций после 2022 года: структурные изменения и финансовые инновации
Makushkin M., Финансовый журнал 2026 Т. 18 № 4 С. 27–44
This article examines financial innovations in the Russian corporate bond market as a response to structural changes in the economy following 2022. The tightening of monetary policy has led to prohibitively high interest rates for domestic companies, while the sanctions have closed access to external capital markets. Despite these constraints, Russian firms have successfully adapted ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Digital transformation in wine business – from Marketing 5.0 to Industry 5.0 in the world of wine adopting artificial intelligence
Festa G., D'Amato A., Palladino R. et al., European Journal of Innovation Management 2026 Vol. 29 No. 3 P. 728–744
Purpose Artificial intelligence (AI) is vastly impacting the digital transformation of societies, economies, businesses, markets and enterprises, at a very fast pace, mostly after the global success of the generative algorithms. In this respect, this study, with an exploratory intention, aims to provide evidence about the fundamental issues of AI, particularly if generative, when adapted to ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Conceptualizing data-driven entrepreneurship: from knowledge creation to entrepreneurial opportunities and innovation
Grimaldi M., Troisi O., Papa A. et al., The Journal of Technology Transfer 2026 Vol. 51 P. 1341–1392
Digital transformation and the possibility to collect large amount of data, the so-called big data, from different sources can lead to the redefinition of business processes, models and infrastructures. In this respect, data-driven decision making (DDDM) emphasizes the need to rethink management practices to view data as a driving force that can improve the effectiveness ...
Added: September 24, 2026
How urban vehicle composition influences population concentrations in Indian cities?: a panel data analysis
Tripathi S., Kabra S., Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences 2026 Vol. 19 P. 1–24
Cities become more productive and enjoyable places to live with improved transportation management. However, most cities in developing countries still lack it. In this context, the present study examines the relationship between the different types of vehicles (measured by passenger and freight vehicles) and urbanization (measured by city population size and density) in India. We ...
Added: September 24, 2026
When does high-tech research investment enable green energy transition?
Bergougui B., Ghosh S., Doğan B. et al., Energy Conversion and Management: X 2026 Vol. 30 P. 1–18
The allocation of public budgets to research and development plays a vital role in advancing climate welfare and facilitating the energy transition. Energy transition focuses on sustainable development goal −7 (SDG-7). By discussing the importance of energy transition and research and development, the current study elaborates on the pathway to resilient energy. This study investigates ...
Added: September 24, 2026
The impact of ESG uncertainty on sustainable productivity capacity: Evidence from OECD countries
Tiwari S., Doğan B., Kazemzadeh E. et al., Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning and Policy 2026 Vol. 21 No. 1 P. 1–21
This study explores the role of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) in shaping productive capacity amid economic complexity, economic policy uncertainty, and geopolitical risks for a panel of OECD countries. The period of observations runs from 2003 to 2023. The results based on quantile-on-quantile regression demonstrate that ESG uncertainty has a gradual, progressive positive impact ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Деловой климат в строительстве: актуальные тенденции III квартала 2026 г. и перспективы развития
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D. et al., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Деловой климат в строительстве: актуальные тенденции III квартала 2026 г. и перспективы развития». В обзоре использованы ключевые данные Росстата, характеризующие основные количественные операционные данные строительной отрасли, а также результаты ежеквартальных конъюнктурных опросов.  В обследовании приняли участие 6,2 тыс. строительных организаций, различных по численности ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Методика дискретного вейвлет-преобразования в анализе деловых циклов конъюнктуры и идентификации поворотных точек
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Настоящая работа представляет методику идентификации поворотных точек делового цикла российской экономики на основе дискретного вейвлет-преобразования (ДВП), позволяющая преодолеть недостатки традиционных фильтров (алгоритм Брая – Бошана, фильтр Ходрика – Прескотта, метод Бернса – Митчелла и др.). В условиях структурной трансформации, экзогенных шоков и высокой волатильности деловой конъюнктуры потребность в точной датировке деловых циклов возрастает. На основе ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Hybrid Graph Retrieval-Augmented Language Agents for Collaborative Recommendation
Ivan Bulychev, Savchenko A., AI 2026 Vol. 7 No. 9 Article 380
Recent advances in large language model (LLM) agents have shown promise for autonomous decision-making in recommender systems. However, existing approaches suffer from two fundamental limitations: flat agent memories that conflate different information modalities and prohibitive computational costs that prevent scaling beyond a few hundred users. We propose Hybrid-GraphRAG, a recommender system that integrates hierarchical agent ...
Added: September 24, 2026
The Effect of AMMs on Price Bubble Formation in Cryptocurrency Markets under Proof-of-Work and Proof-of-Stake
Usvitskiy A., Mizyakov V., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Added: September 24, 2026
The effects of ECB's monetary policy on growth: a sovereign bonds pricing approach
Rincon C. J., Alekseeva O., Journal of Economic Studies 2026 P. 1–18
Purpose This study assesses the impact of the European Central Bank's (ECB) Unconventional Monetary Policy (UMP) on economic growth via its effects on sovereign bond yields in the Eurozone. Unlike previous studies that focus on high-frequency data and short-term effects, this study provides evidence on the long-term effects of the ECB's asset purchases on key macroeconomic ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Barriers to Breakthroughs: Navigating Renewable Energy Innovation, Uncertainty, and Economic Growth for Sustainable Development
Li C., Tiwari S., Kazemzadeh E. et al., Sustainable Development 2026 Vol. 34 No. 5 P. 7109–7139
The transition to renewable energy is a cornerstone of sustainable development, yet it faces significant challenges. Key barriers include grid integration issues, technological immaturity, high initial costs, and policy and regulatory uncertainty. However, overcoming these hurdles offers substantial rewards, including new economic opportunities, lower energy costs, accelerated technological innovation, and more inclusive growth—ultimately paving the ...
Added: September 23, 2026
A socio-economic framework for net-zero emission: Insights from circular economy, energy transition and socio-political risk
Nketiah E., Doğan B., Tiwari S. et al., Sustainable Production and Consumption 2026 Vol. 67 P. 64–78
As the European Union pursues its goal of carbon neutrality by 2050, integrating different strategies has become crucial. Therefore, this study uses Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) pooled estimation techniques to examine the long-term impacts of the circular economy, energy transition, and ethnic tension on carbon emissions in ...
Added: September 23, 2026
Методические подходы к выбору оптимальных моделей прогнозирования динамики деловой активности на данных конъюнктурных опросов
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., Ursulenko V., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Настоящая работа посвящена сравнению эффективности классических эконометрических моделей и современных алгоритмов машинного и глубокого обучения для кратко- и среднесрочного прогнозирования качественных данных бизнес-опросов деловой активности обрабатывающих производств России. На основе данных за период с января 2010 г. по март 2026 г. было комплексно протестировано 10 различных подходов, включая классические модели ARIMA, VAR, ETS, алгоритм XGBoost ...
Added: September 21, 2026
ГИБРИДНЫЙ МЕТОД ПЛАНИРОВАНИЯ КОНФИГУРАЦИИ МАРШРУТА НА КАРТЕ МЕСТНОСТИ В УСЛОВИЯХ ЧАСТИЧНОЙ НЕОПРЕДЕЛЕННОСТИ
Lebedev O. B., Лебедев Б. К., Бесхмельнов М. И., Известия ЮФУ. Технические науки 2025 Т. 2(244) С. 68–82
This paper describes a hybrid situational trajectory planning algorithm for 2D space operating under conditions of partial uncertainty. Based on the integration of wave-propagation and ant colony optimization algorithms, it enables the real-time generation of minimum-length trajectories while simultaneously optimizing other path quality criteria. The processes of generating a trajectory segment and moving the object ...
Added: September 12, 2026
Анализ качества методов корректировки и комбинирования прогнозов внешнеторговых показателей
Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Вестник Евразийской науки 2025 Т. 17 № 6
В работе исследуются возможности использования простых процедур корректировки и объединения прогнозов. Мы оцениваем влияние применения этих процедур (методов простой корректировки, простых и регрессионных методов комбинирования) на качество прогнозов показателей российского экспорта во все страны и импорта из всех стран. В общей сложности мы использовали четыре метода корректировки, 9 методов простого комбинирования и семь регрессионных методов. ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Institutions, Normative Expectations, and Harassment Bribery: Evidence from a Three-country Experiment
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Цифровизация и IT-приложения инновационной логистики
Сергеев И. В., Domnina S., Elyashevich I. et al., В кн.: Логистика быстрого реагирования в цепях поставок.: М., СПб., Краснодар: Лань, 2026. Гл. 3.3 С. 155–296.
В учебнике системно изложены теоретические, методические и практические аспекты логистики быстрого реагирования (ЛБР) в современной экономике. Показано, что принятие быстрых и гибких решений в логистике и управлении цепями поставок (УЦП) дает возможность бизнесу оперативно реагировать на все возрастающие риски в турбулентной экономической среде. Рассмотрены тенденции развития логистики и УЦП в цифровой экономике в разрезе использования ...
Added: July 18, 2026
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