Другой взгляд на кризис в зоне евро
Международная жизнь. 2012. № 12. С. 101-113.
Авилова А. В. В кн.: Португалия: путь от революции.... М.: Весь мир, 2014. С. 109-125.
Added: Aug 25, 2017
Kurbangaleev M. Z., Lapshin V. A., Smirnov S. N. Financial Economics. FE. Высшая школа экономики, 2015. No. 43.
In this paper, we study the consistency of bonds and CDS quotes data within a widely accepted credit risk pricing framework, allowing for non-trivial term structures of risk-free interest rates and default intensities. We propose an approach to test this consistency and a procedure to deal with inconsistencies. Our approach is model-independent and does not rely on any term structure fitting method. It also allows us to assess the precision of constructing risk-free yield term structure can be estimated for a given bond and CDS quotes set. We apply the proposed approach to euro zone sovereign bond and CDS data, and demonstrate that, in general, bond/CDS quotes are typically inconsistent across issuers and require filtration. However, our findings suggest grouping the euro zone sovereign issuers according to the group-level internal consistency.
Added: Apr 2, 2015
Дагаев А. А. В кн.: Модернизация и инновационное развитие экономических систем. М.: Российский университет дружбы народов, 2014. Гл. 3.3. С. 193-210.
The paper studies the impact of the global financial crisis on the development of integration processes in the euro area. International Monetary Fund data for 12 countries in the euro zone for the periods before (2002-2007) and during the crisis (2008-2013.) are analyzed in order to assess the degree of synchronicity of changes in macroeconomic indicators such as GDP growth, the level of public debt, inflation, unemployment and the current account balance. To quantify the observed changes the Kendall's concordance coefficients before and after the crisis were calculated. Coherence in the changes of economic growth rates before and after the crisis beginning has been compared with the similar coherence in three other groups of countries with different levels of financial integrity.The hypothesis concerning systemic turbulence which led to some euro zone fragmentation under the crisis is discussed.
Added: Dec 28, 2014
Архипов В., Дагаев А. А., Измайлов Р. и др. Ч. 2: Отношения России и Греции в рамках ОЧЭС. М.: РНКЧЭС, 2010.
Added: Mar 5, 2013
Экономика и управление: проблемы и перспективы развития. Сборник научных статей по итогам международной научно-практической конференции г.Волгоград 15-16 ноября 2010 г.
Ч. 1. Волгоград: Волгоградское научное издательство, 2010.
Added: Jan 18, 2013
Penikas H. I. Financial Economics. FE. Высшая школа экономики, 2012. No. 03.
The Basel Committee of Banking Supervision initiated a discussion on the most efficient practices to prevent bank managers from excessive risk-taking. This paper proposes a game-theoretical approach, describing the decision-making process by a bank manager who chooses his own level of risk and effort. If the level of risk implies the variability of the future outcome, the amount of effort applied affects the probability of a positive outcome. Although effort is unobserved for the bank’s stakeholders, the risk level is under control, and is associated with certain indicators such as capital adequacy ratio or leverage level. The risk-neutral utility function of a bank manager and a binary game outcome of gaining profit or loss for a bank are assumed. Starting from the general incentive contract scheme having the fixed and variable parts of remuneration, it is proposed that differentiating the variable part of remuneration is sufficient to motivate bank managers to make fewer risky decisions. More precisely, the variable part of remuneration (e.g. the share of the bank’s profit) needs to be higher in proportion to the higher variance of outcome for the high -risk outcome case to stimulate a bank manager to opt for lower-risk decisions in place of higher-risk situations.
Added: May 3, 2012
Anisimova A. I., Muradyan P. A., Vernikov A. V. SSRN Working Paper Series. Social Science Research Network, 2011. No. 1919817.
This empirical paper adds to competition and industrial organization literature by exploring the interplay between industry structure and competitiveness on local, rather than nation-wide, markets. We use micro-level statistical data for banks in two Russian regions (Bashkortostan and Tatarstan) to estimate Herfindahl-Hirschman index, Lerner index, and Panzar-Rosse model. We estimate Panzar-Rosse model in two ways: via the widely used price-equation that accounts for scale effects and then via a revenue-equation that disregards scale effects as suggested by Bikker et al. (2009). We find both regional markets to be ruled by monopolistic competition, although estimation by revenue-equation does not reject monopoly hypothesis for Tatarstan. Existence of sizeable locally-owned and operated institutions does not necessarily lead to higher competitiveness of the given regional market, and the results from non-structural methods of estimation suggest that bank competition in Bashkortostan is stronger than in Tatarstan. Going further away from aggregated analysis we compute Lerner indices in two product segments of Tatarstan – retail and corporate loans – and find that retail segment is significantly more competitive. Local banks exert more market power in corporate loans, while federal branches – in retail loans.
Added: May 14, 2012
Added: Feb 22, 2013
Уринсон Я. М. Вестник Европы. 2014. № 38-39.
Added: Feb 5, 2018
Penikas H. I., Titova Y. Financial Economics. FE. Высшая школа экономики, 2012. No. 02.
In this paper we elaborate a simple model that allows for the predicting of possible reactions from financial institutions to more stringent regulatory measures introduced by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) in regard to global systemically important banks (G-SIBs). The context is framed by a 2011 BCBS document that proposes higher capital requirements for global systemically important banks. We attempt to analyze bank interactions in an oligopolistic market that is subject to demand constraints on loan amounts and additional loss absorbency requirements introduced by the regulator. We distinguish between the bank’s announced funding cost that determines both the loan amount issued and the market interest rate, and the bank’s true funding cost that has a direct impact on retained earnings. We conclude that in a two-stage game both banks will announce the highest funding cost, thus reducing the amount of loans granted (in line with the regulator’s objective), but at the expense of a higher cost of borrowing established in the market. If the game is repeated, then both banks also choose lower loan amounts in the periods prior to the last one in which the declared funding cost is the lowest possible. It should be noted that the designated outcome also coincides with the findings of the Monetary Economic Department of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.
Added: May 3, 2012
Added: Jun 24, 2011
Трунин П. В., Дробышевский С. М., Евдокимова Т. В. М.: Издательский дом «Дело» РАНХиГС, 2012.
Added: Mar 26, 2013
Яковлев А. А. Общественные науки и современность. 2008. № 4. С. 21-37.
Added: Sep 22, 2012