• A
  • A
  • A
  • ABC
  • ABC
  • ABC
  • А
  • А
  • А
  • А
  • А
Regular version of the site
Menu

Article

Прогнозирование банкротства предприятий с применением статистических методов

In the paper an approach to forecasting of probability of companies bankruptcy is proposed. The approach is based on retrospective dynamics of changes in financial position of a company. A model for estimation of bankruptcy probability is developed. Typical scenarios of changes in financial position during few years before bankruptcy are described. Time horizons of bankruptcy probability forecasting, depending on the scenario of changes in financial position, are defined.