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Элементы рандомизированного прогнозирования и его применение для предсказания суточной электрической нагрузки энергетической системы
Автоматика и телемеханика. 2020. № 7. С. 148–172.
A randomized forecasting method based on the generation of ensembles of entropy-optimal forecasting trajectories is developed. The latter are generated by randomized dynamic regression models containing random parameters, measurement noises, and a random input. The probability density functions of random parameters and measurement noises are estimated using real data within the randomized machine learning procedure. The ensembles of forecasting trajectories are generated by the sampling of the entropy-optimal probability distributions. This procedure is used for the randomized prediction of the daily electrical load of a regional power system. A stochastic oscillatory dynamic regression model is designed. One-, two-, and three-day forecasts of the electrical load are constructed, and their errors are analyzed.
Language:
Russian
Kuznetsov A. P., Sedova Y. V., Sataev I. R. et al., Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 2027 Vol. 2 P. 574–592
Universal bifurcation structures on the parameter plane of nonlinear systems, known as shrimps, are discussed. An overview of numerous examples from various fields of science is given. Shrimps are typical for both maps of different dimensions and flows. The varieties of shrimp are discussed and relevant examples are given. The similarity property on the parameter ...
Added: October 14, 2026
Springer, 2026.
This book highlights cutting-edge research in the field of network science, offering scientists, researchers, students and practitioners a unique update on the latest advances in theory and a multitude of applications. It presents the peer-reviewed proceedings of the XIV International Conference on Complex Networks and their Applications (COMPLEX NETWORKS 2025). The carefully selected papers cover ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Springer, 2026.
This book offers a comprehensive overview of the latest research, innovations, and practical applications in the field of sustainability, with a focus on construction materials and their use in building and civil engineering structures. As an outcome of the 3rd International Conference on Sustainability: Developments and Innovations (ICSDI 2026), this book presents a selection of ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Dmitriev A., Kornilov V., Batienkov R., Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering 2026 Vol. 886 P. 249–255
Numerous studies have provided compelling evidence that the probability distribution of avalanche sizes follows a power law, and that 1/f noise is present in the stochastic dynamics of landslides. We present a theoretical explanation of these phenomena within the framework of self-organized criticality theory, proposing a discrete-time model in the form of a sandpile cellular ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Dmitriev A., Shulman I., Lebedev A., Studies in Computational Intelligence 2026 Vol. 1265 P. 266–273
A discrete-time model is presented for the self-organization of the X/Twitter social network to the edge of a phase transition, characterized by avalanche-like propagation of information in the network. The model is based on the analogy between the critical dynamics of the X social network and sandpile cellular automata with Manna rule on the Chung-Lu ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Makarov D. M., Kalikin N., Fashchevsky K. A. et al., Electrochimica Acta 2026 Vol. 579 Article 150159
Machine learning (ML) has become a powerful tool for accelerating the development of carbon-based supercapacitors;
however, most published models assume that a single predictive framework can describe both conventional
porous carbons and hybrid carbon electrodes. Here, we test this assumption using a comprehensive
benchmark dataset and an extended literature-curated dataset enriched with synthesis- and electrolyte-related
descriptors. Three ML algorithms ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Zhang Z., Ilvovsky D., Information Processing and Management 2026 Vol. 63 No. 7
Transformer-based Large Language Models (LLMs) rely on Key-Value (KV) cache to accelerate autoregressive decoding, but memory and compute requirements still grow with context length, limiting deployment on resource-constrained devices. Existing training-free KV cache compression methods mainly rely on attention-driven retention heuristics, which may under preserve structurally informative tokens under tight cache budgets, especially when such ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Gusein-Zade S., Campillo A., Delgado F., Mathematische Zeitschrift 2026 Vol. 314 No. 1 P. 1–22
For a subfield $\K$ of the field $\C$ of complex numbers, we consider curve and divisorial valuations on the algebra $\K[[x,y]]$ of formal power series in two variables with the coefficients in $\K$. We compute the semigroup Poincar\'e series and the classical Poincar\'e series of a (discrete, rank one) valuation on it. ...
Added: October 13, 2026
No Species Is an Island, Entire of Itself: Genetic Speciation Algorithm with Interplay among Species
International Journal of Engineering, Transactions B: Applications 2027 Vol. 40 No. 5 P. 1437–1460
This paper, with a particular emphasis on Genetic Algorithm (GA), proposes a novel approach that integrates clustering mechanisms, predator-prey dynamics, and a distinctive selection strategy for generating subsequent populations. The proposed evolutionary algorithm, referred to as Genetic Speciation Algorithm with Interplay Among Species (GSAIS), is comprehensively evaluated against several variants of GAs as well as ...
Added: October 12, 2026
Mishuris G., Meylan M. H., Pelinovsky E., Journal of Fluid Mechanics 2026 Vol. 1045 Article A4
In this paper, we revisit the classic problem of a wave field on a sloping beach of an arbitrary angle and propose a general approach that allows the computation of regular solutions of the problem regardless of the angle. We use the Mellin-transform technique, reducing the problem to singular integral equations with fixed-point singularities of ...
Added: October 12, 2026
Alexandrov D., Vasilevsky V., Rezunik L. et al., Труды Института системного программирования РАН 2026 Т. 38 № 5 С. 73–90
Large language models demonstrate limitations in tasks that require precise information retrieval from very long input sequences. This limitation affects code generation in large object-oriented systems, where correctness depends on complex inter-class dependencies and the analysis of long execution traces that exceed standard context window sizes. This paper presents JavaCapsule, a technology for automated generation ...
Added: October 12, 2026
Singapore: Springer, 2026.
This volume presents the Proceedings of the 34th IUPAP Conference on Computational Physics (CCP2023), held in Kobe, Japan on August 4–8, 2023. It offers a collection of peer-reviewed articles that highlight recent developments in computational and simulation research across various areas of physics. Key topics include the use of data science, quantum computing, and machine ...
Added: October 12, 2026
Gusein-Zade S., М.: МЦНМО, 2026.
Книга содержит курс лекций по дифференциальной геометрии и топологии, читавшихся автором на механико-математическом факультете МГУ в разные годы. В дополнениях приводятся некоторые сюжеты (связности в расслоениях, теорема Фробениуса, производные Ли и др.), которые были включены в курс в отдельные годы либо содержались в аналогичных курсах лекций в Независимом московском университете.
Для студентов математических и физических специальностей. ...
Added: October 12, 2026
Zykov S. V., Ермаков С. Р., Современные наукоемкие технологии 2026 № 9 С. 43–53
При федеративном обучении с неоднородными клиентскими данными и переменными задержками запоздавшие обновления могут ухудшать качество модели, а обмен параметрами с глобальным сервером увеличивает сетевую нагрузку. Целью исследования является разработка и теоретико-экспериментальное обоснование метода и алгоритмов адаптивного федеративного обучения с учетом распределенного запаздывания клиентских обновлений. Для обоснования разрабатываемых решений использованы событийная и непрерывная модели градиентных обновлений, ...
Added: October 11, 2026
Брычков М. Е., Незнанов А.А., Программирование 2026 № 4 С. 50–66
The matrix profile (MP) quickly became one of the most important time series preprocessing methods when it was introduced in 2016, facilitating the solution of a wide range of time series analysis problems, in particular anomaly and pattern detection problems. The high significance has led to the emergence of various tools for MP calculating, but ...
Added: October 9, 2026
М.: Юрайт, 2026.
The Collection of Olympiad Problems (COP) in Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics (PTMS) is offered as a teaching aid primarily for university students and faculty as a developmental supplementary resource, expanding the range of problems to be solved in lectures, seminars, and out-of-class independent work with students in various formats, including (as the title suggests) ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Aleskerov F. T., Вайншток А. П., Делахова А. М. et al., Информационные процессы 2026 Т. 26 № 3 С. 895–913
The development and effective management of territorial entities are priority issues for all states, particularly in the context of the digital transformation of public administration. Over the past decade, the integration of information technologies into municipal and regional planning has significantly altered approaches to strategic development, service delivery, and public engagement. This paper describes the ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Teregulov T., Loubenets E. R., / Series Quantum Physics "arXiv". 2026. No. 2609.31472.
We develop a new three-party quantum secret-sharing (QSS) protocol based on a three-qubit W state. This protocol encodes the secret-sequence bits using X gates and employs randomly selected Hadamard operations and measurement bases to generate information and security-test rounds. We evaluate the efficiency of the proposed protocol and analyze its security against an internal adversary ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Levashev V., / Series arXiv "math". 2026. No. 2609.06010.
We prove that continuous A-bilinear pairings on the ring of Laurent series that are invariant under continuous automorphisms coincide, up to a constant, with the pairing given by the residue of a differential form over any commutative associative ring with identity. ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Pyatov P. N., Pivovarov P. A., / Series math "arxiv.org". 2026. No. 2609.06274.
We investigate a special ansats that allows for an iterative solution of the constant Yang-Baxter equation. Testing this ansatz, we construct four sequences of the constant R-matrices. In each sequence the R-matrices act on the tensor squares of vector spaces of linearly growing dimensions. Each R-matrix also depends on a single complex parameter.
By analyzing the ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Medvedev V., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
We study complete static manifolds with boundary admitting a nowhere-vanishing static potential. Our main result shows that, under a natural lower bound relating the scalar curvature and the boundary mean curvature, a simple static manifold with boundary must in fact have positive scalar curvature, negative boundary mean curvature, and be compact; we also obtain explicit ...
Added: September 19, 2026
Poddiakov A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026. No. 7437658.
Clarity of knowledge and reasoning is necessary in many cases. Yet vagueness in scientific thinking related to surprise, curiosity, "ability to engage with not-knowing" (de Freitas) and abductive reasoning is also a crucially important source of scientific creativity which supplements combinatorial logic when dealing with the already known. Starting from studies by C. S. Peirce ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Glutsyuk A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
B.Josephson (Nobel Prize, 1973) predicted a tunnelling effect for a system of two superconductors separated by a narrow dielectric (such a system is called Josephson junction): existence of a supercurrent through it and equations governing it. The overdamped Josephson junction is modeled by the family of differential equations on the 2-torus, dθdτ=1ω(cosθ+B+Acosτ), which is known as ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Sobolev V., [б.и.], 2004.
The work examines the evolution and correlation of the concept of entropy across thermodynamics, statistical physics, and information theory. The author traces the development from Clausius's classical definition of entropy as a state function of a thermodynamic system to its probabilistic interpretation in statistical mechanics (Boltzmann–Gibbs entropy) and Shannon's mathematical definition through uncertainty in communication ...
Added: September 1, 2026