Качество риск-менеджмента в банке: предпосылки возникновения финансовых проблем
The significant decrease in the number of banks in the Russian Federation observed recently and arising high social costs of liquidation and sanitation procedures underpin the need for continuous improvement of early-warning systems of bankruptcy. The aim of the article is to identify the key leading indicators of financial insolvency of banks. The study was conducted on a sample of 49 banks from the cluster of medium and small banks in the Moscow region with a license revoked for economic reasons in the period from 2015 to the first half of 2016. The results were tested on a sample of 32 banks, both active and with withdrawn license. We identified the dependence of chosen leading indicators from a number of financial indicators displaying the quality of capital, assets, yield, profitability and liquidity. The results could shed additional light at the causes of financial problems of banks and improve the quality of risk management.
Ключевые слова: портфельный подход, концепция VaR, хеджирование рисков, хедж-премия, стоимость компании
The Working Paper examines the peculiarities of the Russian model of corporate governance and control in the banking sector. The study relies upon theoretical as well as applied research of corporate governance in Russian commercial banks featuring different forms of ownership. We focus on real interests of all stakeholders, namely bank and stock market regulators, bank owners, investors, top managers and other insiders. The Anglo-American concept of corporate governance, based on agency theory and implying outside investors’ control over banks through stock market, is found to bear limited relevance. We suggest some ways of overcoming the gap between formal institutions of governance and the real life.
A scalable method for mining graph patterns stable under subsampling is proposed. The existing subsample stability and robustness measures are not antimonotonic according to definitions known so far. We study a broader notion of antimonotonicity for graph patterns, so that measures of subsample stability become antimonotonic. Then we propose gSOFIA for mining the most subsample-stable graph patterns. The experiments on numerous graph datasets show that gSOFIA is very efficient for discovering subsample-stable graph patterns.
An initial–boundary value problem for the generalized Schrödinger equation in a semi-infinite strip is solved.
A new family of two level finite-difference schemes with averaging over spatial variables on a finite mesh is constructed, which covers a set of finite-difference schemes built using various methods. For the family, an abstract approximate transparent boundary condition (TBC) is formulated and the solutions are proved to be absolutely stable in two norms with respect to both initial data and free terms. A discrete TBC is derived, and the stability of the family of schemes with this TBC is proved. The implementation of schemes with the discrete TBC is discussed.
Using data on foreign borrowing, I identify Russian banks that were affected by the sudden stop of external financing caused by the Lehman Brothers’ collapse. Applying the difference-in-difference method, I compare these «affected» banks to «unaffected» ones and find that the Russian Central Bank’s (CBR) anti-crisis financial assistance primarily went to the former group. Tracing the impact of the CBR’s liquidity infusions on banks’ portfolio allocation decisions, I find that banks used CBR funds not only to pay out foreign debt, but also to accumulate cash deposits in non-resident banks. I also find that affected banks increased their holdings of market securities significantly more than unaffected ones, which suggests that the CBR’s bailout policies impacted their risk-taking strategies. While there was no significant difference in corporate lending growth between the two groups after the sudden stop, lending to borrowers with weaker banking relationships (individuals and entrepreneurs) decreased more among affected banks.
Smoking is a problem, bringing signifi cant social and economic costs to Russiansociety. However, ratifi cation of the World health organization Framework conventionon tobacco control makes it possible to improve Russian legislation accordingto the international standards. So, I describe some measures that should be taken bythe Russian authorities in the nearest future, and I examine their effi ciency. By studyingthe international evidence I analyze the impact of the smoke-free areas, advertisementand sponsorship bans, tax increases, etc. on the prevalence of smoking, cigaretteconsumption and some other indicators. I also investigate the obstacles confrontingthe Russian authorities when they introduce new policy measures and the public attitudetowards these measures. I conclude that there is a number of easy-to-implementanti-smoking activities that need no fi nancial resources but only a political will.
One of the most important indicators of company's success is the increase of its value. The article investigates traditional methods of company's value assessment and the evidence that the application of these methods is incorrect in the new stage of economy. So it is necessary to create a new method of valuation based on the new main sources of company's success that is its intellectual capital.