?
Ограниченность влияния денежно-кредитной политики Банка России на экономический рост
Научные труды Вольного экономического общества России. 2015. Т. 191. № 2. С. 53–76.
Свирина Е. М., Гиблова Н. М.
Demidova O., Kazakova S., Applied Economics 2026 P. 1–14
This paper examines the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth across Russian regions, contributing to the literature on the inflation-growth nexus by using subnational evidence from a large and economically heterogeneous country. Using panel data for 83 regions over the period 2015–2023, we estimate fixed-effects models with a quadratic specification of inflation. The growth-maximizing ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Nikulina Y., Jamali Jaghdani T., Götz L. et al., / Series "Working Papers". 2026.
The impact of state subsidies on Russia's post-Soviet dairy output remains controversial; this study provides an empirical analysis of that relationship. Using an unbalanced panel dataset of 123 dairy enterprises in the Leningrad Region spanning the period from 2010 to 2023, we employ stochastic frontier analysis to assess these relationships. The results indicate that subsidies ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2026. № WP3/2026/02.
The paper is the first attempt in the Russian literature to assess returns to platform employment in the Russian labor market. The theory offers no clear predictions regarding its impact on workers’ earnings: there might be both a premium and a penalty. We distinguish three groups of workers: employees; self-employed using internet-platforms; self-employed not using ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Kilinc-Ata N., Proskuryakova L. N., Natural Resources Forum 2026 P. 1–18
The convergence of energy transition and digitalization represents two pivotal trends in the global economy that complement each other. The decrease in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions is facilitated by larger Internet access and more substantial investments in research and development. This study sheds light on the dual impact of digitalization and innovation on CO2 emissions ...
Added: September 25, 2026
Usvitskiy A., Mizyakov V., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Added: September 24, 2026
Soldatova A., Сберегательное дело за рубежом 2026 № 1 С. 40–49
Within the classical macroeconomic paradigm, the key interest rate is considered the primary instrument of monetary policy. Through the transmission mechanism, it influences the cost of borrowing and saving, thereby regulating aggregate demand in the economy. Global interest rates today are highly uneven. This article examines the experiences of leading central banks under conditions of ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Bogatyrev R., Sandomirskaia M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2026. No. 19(1).
This work develops a tractable model of price competition in fragmented markets where consumers consider both local and distant varieties, with cross-regional purchases subject to stochastic costs. Global competition and full localization emerge as polar cases; hybrid competition is not merely intermediate and exhibits distinctive features such as an endogenous price ceiling and non-monotonic entry ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Синяков А. А., Зверева В., Шелованова Т. И., / Центральный банк Российской Федерации. Серия 132 / 2024 "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 132.
At the end of 2023, Russia updated its Strategy for Improving Financial Literacy and Developing Financial Culture Until 2030. Unlike the previous strategy, the current strategic goals include not only financial literacy but also financial culture. ‘Culture’ is normative and socially preferred behaviour. The updated strategy brings into focus the relationship between financial literacy and responsible financial behaviour. To explore this relationship, the authors rely on data from the All-Russian Survey of Consumer Finance (2020 and 2022). Socially ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026
Pishnyak A., Khalina N., Nazarbaeva E., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 5 С. 34–50
Drawing on the analysis of the consumer and financial practices of the Russian middle class, this article examines whether these practices represent its inherent characteristics or serve as factors of internal differentiation. Using a multidimensional definition of the middle class based on respondents’ income level, education, and occupational status, and relying on data from a ...
Added: May 28, 2026
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2026 Т. 30 № 2 С. 344–376
The article analyzes the transformation of China's economic growth mechanisms in the period after Xi Jinping came to power, with a focus on interprovincial heterogeneity. Based on panel data for 29 provinces of China for 2001-2024, the Bayesian hierarchical regression model is estimated, which makes it possible to identify both average (fixed) and provincial-specific (random ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Penikas H. I., Potashev N., В кн.: Сборник лучших докладов конференции "Ломоносовские чтения" (2025).: М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2026. С. 219–236.
В работе исследуется вопрос, приводят ли инфляционные ожидания (ИО), полученные из вопросов разной глубины и агрегированные с учетом уровня уверенности респондентов, к статистически отличающимся распределениям по сравнению с традиционной методологией инФОМ. На основе данных внутреннего опроса Банка России показано, что схемы агрегирования, учитывающие разделение респондентов на группы в зависимости от уровня их осознанности, формируют распределения ...
Added: May 12, 2026
Майхрович М. Я., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2025 Т. 60 № 5 С. 178–208
Macroeconomic instability in the period of 2020–2024 has revived discussions about its impact on economic convergence processes and methods for assessing the convergence of developing and developed countries. This paper presents a systematic analysis of modern econometric approaches and existing limitations in testing the convergence hypothesis. The methodological framework is based on classical Solow economic ...
Added: April 29, 2026
Майхрович М. Я., Современная мировая экономика 2023 Т. 1 № 4 С. 48–71
The catch-up effect has always been a pressing issue in economics: are developing countries truly catching up with technologically advanced countries, and is the economic gap between rich and poor countries narrowing over the long term? This article aims to test the hypothesis of economic convergence across countries, a key research issue in the field ...
Added: April 29, 2026
Zvereva V., Крупкина А. С., Андреев А. В. et al., Деньги и кредит 2026 Т. 85 № 2 С. 3–36
This study develops a methodology for identifying threshold values of Bank of Russia business activity indicators to determine business cycle phases using machine learning classification models. The study relies on monthly monitoring of businesses data from the Bank of Russia for the period from January 2009 to September 2025. The greatest contribution to the model ...
Added: April 14, 2026
Zvereva V., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 4 С. 100–129
This paper examines the hypothesis of asymmetric responses of bank interest rates to restrictive and accommodative monetary policy conducted by the Bank of Russia across different market segments, industries, and macroregions over the period 2017—2025. Using a Markov-switching error-correction model, the paper estimates the effects of monetary policy shocks, households’ inflation expectations, firms’ price expectations, ...
Added: April 8, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Али Имран, Олалекан О. О., Джонас А., International Organisations Research Journal 2025 Vol. 20 No. 3 P. 147–170
This paper examines the long-term and short-term relationships between economic growth, trade, industrialization, renewable energy consumption, and environmental degradation (CO2 emissions) in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan from 1990 to 2022 using a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. The study employs correlation analysis, panel cointegration tests, and pooled ARDL to capture the dynamic interactions among ...
Added: March 26, 2026