Are box office revenues equally unpredictable for all movies? Evidence from a Random forest-based model
In this study we develop a model for early box office receipts forecasting that, in addition to traditionally used regressors, uses several inputs that have never been used before, but appeared to be very useful predictors according to our variable importance analysis. New predictors account for the power of actors and directors, as well as for the intensity of competition at the time of movie release. Instead of Motion Picture of Association of America (MPAA) ratings commonly used in movie success prediction, textual information about the reasons for giving a movie its MPAA rating was formalized using word frequency and principal components analyses. The expert system is based on the Random forest algorithm, which outperformed a stepwise regression and a multilayer perceptron neural network. A regression tree-based diagnostic approach allowed us to detect the heterogeneity of model accuracy across segments of data and assess the applicability of the model to different movie types.
A novel approach to triclustering of a three-way binary data is proposed. Tricluster is defined in terms of Triadic Formal Concept Analysis as a dense triset of a binary relation Y , describing relationship between objects, attributes and conditions. This definition is a relaxation of a triconcept notion and makes it possible to find all triclusters and triconcepts contained in triclusters of large datasets. This approach generalizes the similar study of concept-based biclustering.
This book constitutes the second part of the refereed proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Formal Concept Analysis, ICFCA 2012, held in Leuven, Belgium in May 2012. The topics covered in this volume range from recent advances in machine learning and data mining; mining terrorist networks and revealing criminals; concept-based process mining; to scalability issues in FCA and rough sets.
Concept discovery is a Knowledge Discovery in Databases (KDD) research field that uses human-centered techniques such as Formal Concept Analysis (FCA), Biclustering, Triclustering, Conceptual Graphs etc. for gaining insight into the underlying conceptual structure of the data. Traditional machine learning techniques are mainly focusing on structured data whereas most data available resides in unstructured, often textual, form. Compared to traditional data mining techniques, human-centered instruments actively engage the domain expert in the discovery process. This volume contains the contributions to CDUD 2011, the International Workshop on Concept Discovery in Unstructured Data (CDUD) held in Moscow. The main goal of this workshop was to provide a forum for researchers and developers of data mining instruments working on issues with analyzing unstructured data. We are proud that we could welcome 13 valuable contributions to this volume. The majority of the accepted papers described innovative research on data discovery in unstructured texts. Authors worked on issues such as transforming unstructured into structured information by amongst others extracting keywords and opinion words from texts with Natural Language Processing methods. Multiple authors who participated in the workshop used methods from the conceptual structures field including Formal Concept Analysis and Conceptual Graphs. Applications include but are not limited to text mining police reports, sociological definitions, movie reviews, etc.
The paper explores theoretical approaches to the company IPO underpricing and analyzes capital structure impact on the underpricing of the Russian issuers.
We examine the questions of applying large pyramidal neural (intellectual neuron) networks to solve equipment object control problems. We consider the description of a system for dynamic planning of mobile robot behavior, constructed based on a network of similar elements.
The way of the automated knowledge control system realization is offered on the basis of such intellectual means as the ontologic approach, fuzzy logic and data mining.
In this paper some of the task assignment methods and approaches are examined. The analysis of the algorithms considered is showing their strengths and weaknesses. Also, the ways of further research are presented, which aims to develop a methodology for task assignment in project management area.
The paper examines the structure, governance, and balance sheets of state-controlled banks in Russia, which accounted for over 55 percent of the total assets in the country's banking system in early 2012. The author offers a credible estimate of the size of the country's state banking sector by including banks that are indirectly owned by public organizations. Contrary to some predictions based on the theoretical literature on economic transition, he explains the relatively high profitability and efficiency of Russian state-controlled banks by pointing to their competitive position in such functions as acquisition and disposal of assets on behalf of the government. Also suggested in the paper is a different way of looking at market concentration in Russia (by consolidating the market shares of core state-controlled banks), which produces a picture of a more concentrated market than officially reported. Lastly, one of the author's interesting conclusions is that China provides a better benchmark than the formerly centrally planned economies of Central and Eastern Europe by which to assess the viability of state ownership of banks in Russia and to evaluate the country's banking sector.
The paper examines the principles for the supervision of financial conglomerates proposed by BCBS in the consultative document published in December 2011. Moreover, the article proposes a number of suggestions worked out by the authors within the HSE research team.
портовый менеджмент, показатели деятельности, анализ эффективности, система учета, распределение издержек, методы анализа деятельности портовой системы
At present many industries reveal tendency for setting up of vertically integrated companies (VIC) the structure of which unites all technological processes. This tendency proved its efficiency in oil industry where coordination of all successive stages of technological process, namely, oil prospecting and production -oil transportation - oil processing - oil chemistry - oil products and oil chemicals marketing, is necessary. The article considers specific features of introduction of "personnel management" module at enterprises of oil and gas industry.
vertically integrated companies; personnel management