Supply chains efficiency increasing based on the modelling of logistics operations
For evaluating the integrated supply chains' (SCs) effective functioning, some new criteria are frequently used apart from the total logistics costs (TLC). These criteria characterise the quality and reliability of accomplishing logistics operations and functions. It is obvious that these metrics are connected and their separate representation is a consequence of not enough developed supply chains' theoretic model and, accordingly, analytical tools allowing carrying out a comprehensive assessment of these metrics. The paper presents the critical analysis of the existing approaches to the TLC evaluation and SC reliability, the methodical approach which allows evaluating the total costs indexes and supplying chains reliability. This approach includes, firstly, the equation of the total logistics costs; secondly, the reliability evaluation model of a simple supply chain which is a reserved system with a renewal; thirdly, a complex of models for the evaluation of the reliability of basic logistics operations (purchase, order processing, choice of intermediaries, transportation, warehouse placement and storage). As most indicators which describe the chain functioning are random values, to obtain the required evaluations there is a developed algorithm based on simulation.
The monograph presents results by professor Dr. A. Shalumov’s Research School of Modeling, Information Technology and Automated Systems (Russia). The program, ASONIKA, developed by the school is reviewed here regarding reliability and quality of devices for simulation of electronics and chips during harmonic and random vibration, single and multiple impacts, linear acceleration and acoustic noise, and steady-state and transient thermal effects. Calculations are done for thermal stress during changes in temperature and power in time. Calculations are done for number of cycles to fatigue failure under mechanical loads as well as under cyclic thermal effects. Simulation results for reliability analysis are taken into account. Models, software interface, and simulation examples are presented.
For engineers and scientists involved in design automation of electronics.
The considered model of the failure rate of CMOS VHSIC design proposed in the article Piskun G.A., Alekseev V.F., "Improvement of mathematical models calculating of CMOS VLSIC taking into account features of impact of electrostatic discharge", published in the first issue of the journal "Technologies of electromagnetic compatibility" for the year 2016. It is shown that the authors claim that this model "...will more accurately assess the reliability of CMOS VHSIC design" is fundamentally flawed and its application will inevitably lead to inadequate results. Alternatively, the proposed model of the failure rate of CMOS VHSIC design, which also allows to take into account the views of ESD, but based on the use of resistance characteristics of CMOS VHSIC to the effects of ESD.
The article considers the questions assessing the reliability of mechanical components used in the electronic equipment in the early stages of design. The calculations of failure rates springs shock absorbers according to various methods. It is shown that the use of models failure rates of mechanical elements, taking into account the peculiarities of their structural and technological performance, not only allows us to solve the problem of calculating, but also to ensure the required level of reliability and mechanical components, and containing electronic equipment.
Nested Petri nets (NP-nets) are Petri nets with net tokens - an extension of high-level Petri nets for modeling active objects, mobility and dynamics in distributed systems. In this paper we present an algorithm for translating two-level NP-nets into behaviorally equivalent Colored Petri nets with the view of applying CPN methods and tools for nested Petri nets analysis. We prove, that the proposed translation preserves dynamic semantics in terms of bisimulation equivalence.
Financial markets have always been attractive as a means of increasing one's wealth, and those who make accurate predictions take the prize. Forecasting models such as linear ones are simple to compute, however, they give rough approximations of the underlying relationships in the data, thus, producing poor forecasts. The solution to this issue could be the nonlinear models which try to fit the data and display the relationships with higher accuracy. Previous research seems to prove this statement from the statistician's point of view which might be of little use for an investor. Therefore, the focus of this paper is on the comparison of three types of models (nonlinear: ANN, STAR, and linear: AR) in terms of financial performance. Our research is based on the initial code for GAUSS and papers by Dick van Dijk. The data used is the monthly S&P 500 Index values from 1970 to 2012 provided by the Robert Shiller's website. Forecasting index changes begins at 1995 and ends in 2012 providing up-to-date results for 14 model specifications. The best model proves to be the flexible ANN, beating the linear AR in the majority of cases, leaving the underperforming heavy-parameterized STAR model behind. Thus, it is evident that the more flexible nonlinear models outperform the heavily parameterized ones as well as linear models for the S&P 500 Index. The introduced type of performance evaluation has a more comprehensible application to the financial market analysis.
In the paper integrated information systems for corporate planning and budgeting are considered. Four groups of practical tasks exceeding the bounds of typical functionality of special-purpose planning and budgeting information systems are allocated. Several classes of information systems (simulation, statistical analysis, financial analysis and modeling, group decision making, business intelligence), which may provide the completeness of corporate planning and budgeting are denoted as solutions complementary to special-purpose planning and budgeting systems.
Smoking is a problem, bringing signifi cant social and economic costs to Russiansociety. However, ratifi cation of the World health organization Framework conventionon tobacco control makes it possible to improve Russian legislation accordingto the international standards. So, I describe some measures that should be taken bythe Russian authorities in the nearest future, and I examine their effi ciency. By studyingthe international evidence I analyze the impact of the smoke-free areas, advertisementand sponsorship bans, tax increases, etc. on the prevalence of smoking, cigaretteconsumption and some other indicators. I also investigate the obstacles confrontingthe Russian authorities when they introduce new policy measures and the public attitudetowards these measures. I conclude that there is a number of easy-to-implementanti-smoking activities that need no fi nancial resources but only a political will.
One of the most important indicators of company's success is the increase of its value. The article investigates traditional methods of company's value assessment and the evidence that the application of these methods is incorrect in the new stage of economy. So it is necessary to create a new method of valuation based on the new main sources of company's success that is its intellectual capital.
портовый менеджмент, показатели деятельности, анализ эффективности, система учета, распределение издержек, методы анализа деятельности портовой системы
At present many industries reveal tendency for setting up of vertically integrated companies (VIC) the structure of which unites all technological processes. This tendency proved its efficiency in oil industry where coordination of all successive stages of technological process, namely, oil prospecting and production -oil transportation - oil processing - oil chemistry - oil products and oil chemicals marketing, is necessary. The article considers specific features of introduction of "personnel management" module at enterprises of oil and gas industry.
vertically integrated companies; personnel management