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New Method of Randomized Forecasting Using Entropy-Robust Estimation: Application to the World Population Prediction
Mathematics. 2016. Vol. 4. No. 1. P. 1–16.
Popkov Y., Dubnov Y. A., Popkov A. Y.
We propose a new method of randomized forecasting (RF-method), which operates with models described by systems of linear ordinary differential equations with random parameters. The RF-method is based on entropy-robust estimation of the probability density functions (PDFs) of model parameters and measurement noises. The entropy-optimal estimator uses a limited amount of data. The method of randomized forecasting is applied to World population prediction. Ensembles of entropy-optimal prognostic trajectories of World population and their probability characteristics are generated. We show potential preferences of the proposed method in comparison with existing methods.
Priority areas:
IT and mathematics
Language:
English
Yu Z., Wang J., Wang Z. et al., Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 2026 Vol. 384 P. 1–16
The integration of data-driven and knowledge-driven approaches in generative geospatial modelling (GGM) is often hindered by their mathematical incompatibilities. Here, we propose a geometric algebra (GA)-based framework that employs a unified multi-vector representation to fuse heterogeneous data and diverse knowledge. The framework facilitates structured reasoning and hypothesis generation through a task-adaptable, five-stage cycle: representation, reasoning, ...
Added: August 13, 2026
Cham: Springer, 2026.
This book constitutes the proceedings of the 10th International Workshop Empowering Novel Geometric Algebra for Graphics and Engineering, ENGAGE 2025, held in conjunction with Computer Graphics International conference, CGI 2025, in Hong Kong, China, on July 14, 2025.
The 14 full papers included in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 16 submissions. The papers ...
Added: August 13, 2026
Ratnikov F., European Physical Journal: Special Topics 2026 P. 1–10
EEG recordings are often affected by the loss or corruption of individual channels due to electrode detachment, poor scalp contact, or external interference. Such channels must be accurately reconstructed before further analysis. In this study, we investigate Next-Generation Reservoir Computing (NG-RC) as a data-driven approach for reconstructing corrupted EEG channels and compare its performance with ...
Added: August 12, 2026
Speranski S. O., Математические заметки 2026 Т. 120 № 3 С. 470–483
We show that, in terms of closure ordinals, many infinitary calculi for ‘first-order’ logics of probability (i.e., for languages similar to those in [Abadi & Halpern 1994]) are as hard as possible: the corresponding closure ordinals coincide with the least non-constructive ordinal, denoted by $\omega_1^{\mathrm{CK}}$. ...
Added: August 12, 2026
Minets M., Krasnozhenov G., Trofimova E. et al., PeerJ Computer Science 2026 Vol. 12 Article e4063
This article presents CAD2TechSpec, a novel framework for automating design processes within computer-aided design (CAD) systems by leveraging multimodal large language models (LLMs). The framework enables the analysis and generation of detailed design specifications, including the automated creation of machining process plans. Our system architecture combines 3D model rendering, dimensionality reduction techniques, and the capabilities ...
Added: August 12, 2026
Мизинов П. В., Journal of Computer Virology and Hacking Techniques 2023 No. 20 P. 383–396
Biometric vein recognition systems are vulnerable to presentation attacks. Traditionally, researchers have used a near-infrared (NIR) drawing of the user’s vascular bed to create a presentation attack instrument (PAI). This paper investigates the feasibility of using free software to capture a venous pattern of the hand without NIR under normal lighting conditions and to create ...
Added: August 11, 2026
Ali S., Bocharnikov V., Ratnikov F. et al., Sensors 2026 Vol. 26 No. 16 Article 5024
Large distributed sensor arrays require repeated recalibration as radiation damage, material aging, gain variation, and readout drift alter channel responses. We studied a high-granularity calorimeter as a large sensor array and addressed unsupervised recalibration from two unpaired datasets: a nominal reference response and an aged response with attenuated cell-wise signals. Aging was modeled by a ...
Added: August 11, 2026
Leonid Grinin, Alexander M., Korotayev A., , in: Complexity in Universal Evolution. A Big History Perspective.: Springer, 2026. Ch. 12 P. 283–355.
In the first half of this chapter, Grinin et al. survey general similarities and differences between biological and social macroevolution. They undertake a systematic comparison between biological and social evolution at different levels of analysis and in various aspects, formulating a considerable number of general principles and rules of evolution, and working to develop a ...
Added: August 10, 2026
Trubochkina N. K., М.: Издательство «Юрайт», 2026.
This textbook is designed to develop students' holistic understanding of modern production processes and methods for their analysis and management using machine learning technologies. In the context of the fourth industrial revolution, where traditional engineering disciplines are inextricably intertwined with intelligent data processing methods, there is a growing need for specialists capable of integrating knowledge ...
Added: August 8, 2026
Kulev Y., Maksaev A., Promyslov V., Linear Algebra and its Applications 2026 Vol. 730 P. 51–72
The notion of λ-th upper scrambling index was introduced by Huang and Liu in 2010, as a generalization of a notion considered by Akelbek and Kirkland in 2009. For a primitive digraph D, it is defined as the smallest positive integer k such that for every λ vertices of D there exist directed paths of lengths k from these vertices to a common vertex. This ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Kanunnikov A., Promyslov V., Vassilieva E., Electronic Journal of Combinatorics 2024 Vol. 31 No. 3 Article P3.6
Introduced by Goulden and Jackson in their 1996 paper, the matchings-Jack conjecture and the hypermap-Jack conjecture (also known as the b-conjecture) are two major open questions relating Jack symmetric functions, the representation theory of the symmetric groups and combinatorial maps. They show that the coefficients in the power sum expansion of some Cauchy sum for ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Фирсанова В. И., ACM, 2026.
The inclusion of autistic people can be augmented by a mobile app that provides information without a human mediator making information perception more liberating for people in the spectrum. This paper is an overview of a doctoral work dedicated to the development of a web-based mobile tool for supporting the inclusion of people on the ...
Added: August 4, 2026
Фирсанова В. И., Хлусова Я. К., CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2025.
Knowledge graphs are widely used in Retrieval Augmented Generation (RAG) and Explainable AI (XAI), since they can illustrate semantic relationships generated by Large Language Models (LLMs). Recent studies focus on generating knowledge graphs from unstructured data to improve RAG performance; however, they do not explain the underlying graph structure. The analysis of synthetic graphs behind ...
Added: August 4, 2026
Spiridonov V. P., Belousov N. M., Sarkissian G. A., Analysis and Mathematical Physics 2026 Vol. 16 Article 96
Hyperbolic hypergeometric integrals are defined as Barnes-type integrals of products of hyperbolic gamma functions. Their reduction to ordinary hypergeometric functions is well known. We study in detail their degeneration to complex hypergeometric functions. Namely, using uniform bounds on the integrands, we prove that the univariate hyperbolic beta integral and the conical function degenerate to two-dimensional ...
Added: August 4, 2026
Gayfullin S., Kikteva V., Results in Mathematics 2026 Vol. 81 No. 5 Article 146
In this paper we obtain a criterion of flexibility for an affine complexity-zero horospherical variety. This result generalizes previously known results on flexibility of normal horospherical varieties, horospherical varieties with an action of a semisimple group, and non-normal toric varieties. ...
Added: August 3, 2026
Lunts V., Функциональный анализ и его приложения 2026 Т. 60 № 3 С. 127–129
Доказано, что канонические полуортогональные разложения производной категории диаграммной схемы индуцируют аналогичные разложения подкатегории совершенных комплексов. ...
Added: August 3, 2026
Belomestny D., Gasnikov A., Gladin E. et al., Russian Mathematical Surveys 2026 Vol. 81 No. 4(490) P. 3–90
Reinforcement learning (RL) is increasingly grounded in tools from probability, optimization, and operator theory. This survey organizes the mathematical structures that underpin the design and analysis of modern algorithms in RL. We begin from Markov decision processes (MDPs) and the Bellman operators, emphasizing contraction mappings, monotonicity, and fixed-point theory that yield convergence guarantees and rates ...
Added: August 3, 2026
Chepovskiy A., М.: Мастерская Печати Идей, 2026.
The textbook presents methods and algoгithms for automatic analysis
of соrроrа of texts in natural languages. It is intended fоr sfudenБ of
methods of processing texts in паtчrаl languages and creating training
arays of texts.
Fоr students, graduate students and researchers studying methods
of computational linguistics and word processing. ...
Added: August 1, 2026
A. Radomskii, Mathematical notes 2026 Vol. 119 No. 6 P. 1136–1147
We obtain an upper bound for the sum $\sum_{n\leq N} (a_{n}/\varphi (a_{n}))^{s}$, where $\varphi$ is Euler's totient function, $s\in\mathbb{N}$, and $a_{1},\ldots, a_{N}$ are positive integers (not necessarily distinct) with some restrictions. As applications, for any $t>0$, we obtain an upper bound for the number of $n\in [1,N]$ such that $a_{n}/ \varphi (a_{n})> t$. ...
Added: July 31, 2026
Абызов А. Н., Буутай П. Н., Математика и теоретические компьютерные науки 2026 Т. 4 № 2 С. 4–75
This paper is expository and methodological in nature and is devoted to the development of E.I. Zolotarev’s ideas embedded in his approach to the proof of the quadratic reciprocity law (1872). We consider extensions of Zolotarev’s approach to abstract number rings presented in the work of A. Brunyate and P.L. Clark (2015), and to finite ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Ponomarenko A., / Series Computer Science "arxiv.org". 2025.
This paper addresses the challenge of merging hierarchical navigable small world (HNSW) graphs, a critical operation for distributed systems, incremental indexing, and database compaction. We propose three algorithms for this task: Naive Graph Merge (NGM), Intra Graph Traversal Merge (IGTM), and Cross Graph Traversal Merge (CGTM). These algorithms differ in their approach to vertex selection ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Piontkovski D., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
A noncommutative projective variety is defined, following Artin and Zhang, by a graded coherent algebra 𝐴. The category of coherent sheaves is then the quotient qgr(𝐴) of the category of finitely presented graded modules by the subcategory of torsion modules. We consider the categorical and polynomial entropies of the Serre twist, that is, of the ...
Added: June 23, 2026
Piontkovski D., / Series arXiv "math". 2025.
If a symmetric multilinear algebra is weakly nil, then it is Engel. This result may be regarded as an infinite-dimensional analogue of the well-known Jacobian theorem, which states that if a polynomial mapping has a polynomial inverse, then its Jacobian matrix is invertible. This refines a theorem of Gerstenhaber and partially answers a question posed ...
Added: June 23, 2026
Kazantseva A. V., A.V. Toropova, Khusnutdinova E. K. et al., ВАВИЛОВСКИЙ ЖУРНАЛ ГЕНЕТИКИ И СЕЛЕКЦИИ, Федеральный исследовательский центр Институт цитологии и генетики Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук» (ИЦиГ СО РАН) (Новосибирск) 2025 Vol. 30 No. 3 P. 470–481
The development of musical abilities, including absolute pitch, musical memory, rhythm sense, and musicality, at a high degree is determined by a hereditary component (up to 68 %). The studies implementing a genome-wide linkage and association approach to musical aptitude have revealed more than 100 genetic loci. This spectrum is comprised of the genes encoding ...
Added: May 29, 2026