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Демографический дайджест 2015-4
Демографическое обозрение. 2015. Т. 2. № 4. С. 150-172.
Kashnitsky I. S.
- Sanderson W.C., S. Scherbov. Faster increases in human life expectancy could lead to slower population aging
- Dukhovnov D., E. Zagheni. Who takes care of whom in the United States? Time transfers by age and sex
- Wahrendorf M. Previous employment histories and quality of life in older ages: sequence analyses using SHARELIFE
- Norberg K., J. Pantano. Cesarean sections and subsequent fertility
- Fox J., M. Myrskylä. Urban fertility responses to local government programs: Evidence from the 1923-1932 U.S.
- Herr J.L. Measuring the effect of the timing of first birth on wages
- Myrskylä M., R. Margolis. Happiness: before and after the kids
- Switek M. Internal migration and life satisfaction: Well-being paths of young adult migrants
- Van Mol C., H.A.G. de Valk. Relationship satisfaction of European binational couples in the Netherlands
- Klüsener S., J.R. Goldstein. A long-standing demographic East–West divide in Germany
- Barclay K., M. Kolk. Birth order and mortality: A population-based cohort study
Research target:
Sociology (including Demography and Anthropology
Language:
Russian
Korotayev A., Zinkina J. V., Восточная аналитика 2014 № 4 С. 42-46
При условии приложения достаточно эффективных целенаправленных усилий по сокращению рождаемости (за счет как радикального увеличения охвата населения образованием – и при этом не только начальным, но и средним, так и за счет целенаправленного и максимально широкого внедрения современных технологий планирования семьи) Индия имеет неплохие шансы избежать крупномасштабных гуманитарных катастроф. ...
Added: October 19, 2014
Сейитов Ч., Демоскоп Weekly 2010 № № 415 - 416
In this article the author is analyzing demographic indices (fertility, life interval, death-rate, migration) of the Kyrgyz Republic. Also probable trends of population change up to 2025, risks and losses associated with life time shortening, lack of social infrastructure, labour resources and etc were presented. ...
Added: December 5, 2013
Kashnitsky I. S., Publons 2016
In the freshly published research letter, Dong, Milholland, and Vijg (DMV) reported that they found strong evidence for a limit to human lifespan. Analyzing data from International Database on Longevity2, they found that the yearly maximum reported age at death (MRAD, i.e. age at death of the world’s oldest person died in a specific year) ...
Added: November 11, 2016
Кузина Е. Ю., Вестник Чувашского университета 2010 № 4 С. 380-384
The aging of Russian population leads to inefficiency of Pay-As-You-Go system, where the benefits come solely from government taxation of current workers' wages, and seems to be one of the problems of Russian Pension System. This is the overview of Russian demographic settings compared to other countries from US CIA ranking. Long-run instruments of influencing ...
Added: October 14, 2012
Kashnitsky I. S., Демографическое обозрение 2015 Т. 2 № 3 С. 202-224
Coleman D., S. Basten, F. C. Billari. Population — The long view
Billari F. C. Integrating macro- and micro-level approaches in the explanation of population change
Livi-Bacci M. What we can and cannot learn from the history of World population
Kreager P. Population theory — A long view
Sear R. Evolutionary contributions to the study of human fertility
Reher D. ...
Added: April 26, 2016
Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Journal of Futures Studies 2014 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 21-40
The recent decade has witnessed remarkable success in various aspects of socioeconomic development in Tropical Africa. However, contrary to the “development is the best contraceptive” expectations, fertility in many countries remains stalled, frequently at very high levels of 5 and more children per woman. This actualizes the risks of population explosions, which are particularly sharp, ...
Added: October 19, 2014
Korotayev A., Sadovnichii V. A., Askar Akaev, European Physical Journal: Special Topics 2012 Vol. 205 No. 1 P. 355-373
The article considers dynamic processes involving non-linear power-law behavior in such apparently diverse spheres, as demographic dynamics and dynamics of prices of highly liquid commodities such as oil and gold. All the respective variables exhibit features of explosive growth containing precursors indicating approaching phase transitions/catastrophes/crises. The *rst part of the article analyzes mathematical models of demographic ...
Added: March 7, 2013
Бурдяк А. Я., Grishina E. E., Елисеева М. А. et al., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2014.
This work contains preliminary data analysis of quantitative survey "Man, family, society" made by Institute of Social Prognosis in 2013 on nationwide sample in 9557 people. The survey provides valuable information about the partnership and reproductive biographies, territorial mobility, education and employment strategy, financial situation and retirement behavior of the population.The focus of our analysis ...
Added: January 7, 2018
Воронеж : Цифровая полиграфия, 2020
Вызовы XX-XXI вв. привели к серьезным социально-демографическим изменениям и актуализировали выработку новых механизмов сохранения и развития демографического потенциала стран и регионов, обеспечения их демографической безопасности. В этих условиях конструктивное взаимодействие и углубление сотрудничества учёных, представителей органов власти, общественности, всего экспертного сообщества является неотъемлемой частью комплексного решения социально-демографических проблем. В материалах сборника представлены материалы заседаний Международного ...
Added: November 27, 2020
Korotayev A., Khaltourina D., Alcohol and Alcoholism 2015 Vol. 50 No. 5 P. 588-601
Aims To elucidate the possible effects of alcohol control policy measures on alcohol-related mortality in Russia between 1998 and 2013. Methods Trends in mortality, alcohol production and sales were analyzed in conjunction with alcohol control legislative measures. Correlation analysis of health and alcohol market indicators was performed. Results Ethyl alcohol production was the strongest correlate of alcohol-related mortality, which is ...
Added: May 12, 2015
Tyndik A., Maleva T. M., Бурдяк А. Я. et al., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2015.
The paper considers demographic, social and economic behavior of the Russian population. The first chapter is based on the first wave of the survey "Person, family, society" (2013). We develop a three- criteria methodology of stratification and analyze social dynamics of middle, post-middle and proto middle groups. The second chapter contains the results of the ...
Added: January 7, 2018
М. : Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2018
Книга посвящена демографическому развитию государств, образовавшихся на постсоветском пространстве после распада СССР в конце 1991 года. Анализируются произошедшие за 25 лет самостоятельного развития изменения в численности населения и демографических структурах, особенности расселения и урбанизации, рождаемость и репродуктивное здоровье, браки и разводы, миграционные процессы, демографическая политика.Представлен авторский многовариантный демографический прогноз до 2030 г. для отдельных стран, их групп и ...
Added: November 14, 2019
Abylkalikov S., Социум и власть 2014 № 4 С. 136-139
Book Review: Migration in Russia 2000-2012. Chrestomathy in 3 volumes. Russian International Affairs Council, Ch. Ed. IS Ivanov, Br. Ed. Zh.A. Zayonchkovskaya, comp.: N.V. Mkrtchyan, E.V. Tyuryukanova. M. Spetskniga [Special book], 2013. ...
Added: October 23, 2013
Korotayev A., Марков А. В., Журнал общей биологии 2008 № 3 С. 175-194
Эволюционная динамика биоразнообразия традиционно описывается при помощи простых экспоненциальных и логистических моделей, заимствованных из теории динамики популяций. Недавно нами было показано, что рост родового разнообразия фанерозойской морской биоты лучше описывается гиперболической моделью, широко применяемой в макросоциологии и демографии. В настоящей работе показана приложимость модели гиперболического роста также и к континентальной биоте фанерозоя на уровне семейств ...
Added: March 9, 2013
Vishnevsky A. G., Общественные науки и современность 2011 № 2 С. 57-76
The author shows that demographic transition is an organic part of civilization developments. Such phenomen as death rate and birth rate, changes in character of migration are connected with stages of development of a civilization. ...
Added: September 23, 2012
Scherbak A. N., / Высшая школа экономики. Series SOC "Sociology". 2015.
Considering diet as often a product of adaptation to geographic environment, this paper suggests that not only amount of food (food abundance) is important, but what kind of foods people eat may also affect social change. One of the reasons for variation in diet is food intolerances as a result of adaptation to the environment. ...
Added: September 17, 2015
Scherbak A. N., Общественные науки и современность 2017 Т. 5 С. 147-162
The paper aims to criticize one of the key argument of neoinstitutional theory – the “accidental” nature of institutional choice. The most consistently this idea is represented in Acemoglu and Robinson’s seminal book “Why nations fail”. According to their approach, the initial institutional choice is influenced by accidental, random historical circumstances. I disagree with this ...
Added: October 10, 2017
Mitrofanova E., Народонаселение 2015 № 2 С. 87-100
The article presents comparisons of the ages and facts of the occurrence of starting demographic events, based on the results from three big surveys carried out in Russia: ‘European Social Survey’ — 2006, ‘Generations and Gender Survey’ — 2004, 2007, 2011, and ‘Human, Family, Society’ — 2013. The research was devoted to inter-generation and gender ...
Added: March 23, 2015
Yumaguzin V., Vinnik M. V., Социологические исследования 2019 № 1 С. 116-126
The mortality rates from homicides and suicides, which serve as an indicator of the psychological well-being and the value of life in society, show a steady decline after the 2000s in Russia. However, another block of causes of death, event of undetermined intent shows the same rapid growth and since 2014 already exceeds the cumulative ...
Added: January 30, 2019
Vlassov V., Vishnevsky A. G., The Lancet Public Health 2017 Vol. 2 No. 5 P. e207-e208
In studies of massive changes in social life, researchers often have to rely on low-quality retrospective data such as memoirs and manipulated government reports as opposed to reliable data such as vital registration. The dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 was an unpredictable event with large-scale consequences for the lives of millions of Russians. ...
Added: April 13, 2017
М. : Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2017
This is the 23rd issue of Annual Series of Analytical reports regularly published by the HSE Institute of Demography since 1993. The recent report conducts the detailed analysis of the current situation in Russia’s demography in the context of its long-term evolution and demographic tendencies as seen through the prism of main demographic processes, such as ...
Added: November 3, 2017
Abylkalikov S., Baltic Rim Economies 2020 No. 3 P. 55-56
The analysis of migration based on the Russian censuses and micro-censuses for the period from late 1980s to the mid-2010s shows that the Kaliningrad region may become more divorced from the main territory of Russia. Besides the geographic isolation of the region, there emerge also demographic and ethnic differences. The population of the Baltic region ...
Added: December 9, 2011
Emmanuel I. C., Mitrofanova E., / Cornell Tech. Series 4064475 "ArXiv Preprint". 2022.
The paper is devoted to the study of the model fairness and process fairness of the Russian demographic dataset by making predictions of divorce of the 1st marriage, religiosity, 1st employment and completion of education. Our goal was to make classifiers more equitable by reducing their reliance on sensitive features while increasing or at least ...
Added: May 31, 2022
Denisenko M. B., Kozlov V. A., Ректор ВУЗа 2015 № 7 С. 38-45
Одной из основных проблем социально-экономического прогнозирования в РФ является слабая изученность влияния демографических изменений на экономическое и социальное развитие страны, и спрос на услуги образования в данном случае не является исключением. Недоучёт демографического фактора при разработке и реализации стратегий и политики развития на федеральном, региональном, отраслевом уровнях в конечном итоге приводит к снижению эффективности управленческих ...
Added: October 11, 2015