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  • Методология типизации траекторий посткризисной динамики российских предприятий обрабатывающей промышленности

Article

Методология типизации траекторий посткризисной динамики российских предприятий обрабатывающей промышленности

Вопросы статистики. 2015. № 9. С. 30-38.
Ермилова Г. А., Голикова В. В., Коротков М. Ю.

By applying the hierarchical cluster analysis the most typical post-crisi trajectories of turnover dynamics for Russian manufacturing firms are revealed.It is shown that about 90% of cases belong to two types of dynamics (which we conventionally mark as "sustainable growth" and "stagnation"). The article suggests the possible directions of studying such stable cluster groups and the algorithm of selection of the most typical representatives of different clusters. The clustering approach to the aggregation of the micro-economic statistical data may be used for improving the state economic policy aimed at overcoming of the consequences of economic crises. At the enterprise level of analysis this methodological approach provides an opportunity to develop strategies that facilitate the resistance to negative external shocks.