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Игра в бисер? Конвенциональные количественные методы в свете тезиса Дюэма-Куайна
Политическая наука. 2015. № 2. С. 80–103.
Lokshin I.
The paper applies the Duhem-Quine thesis to conventional quantitative methods in political science. As a result, the discussion of methodological problems associated with these methods is implanted into the epistemological issues highlighted by the Duhem-Quine thesis. Special attention is devoted to the widespread research practices, such as 1) null hypothesis significance testing, 2) large-N analysis and 3) dealing with phenomena with a very broad and general character. The paper argues that, partly due to these practices, some epistomological problems are aggravated: a) structural underdetermination of theories is exacerbated; b) the value of new theories tested via old data becomes unclear and doubtful; c) the convention about the boundary between theories and facts is harder to achieve. Some questions about the conditions of the progress in political science are posed.
Priority areas:
humanitarian
Language:
Russian
Gordin V. A., Efremenko D., Boundary-Layer Meteorology 2026 Vol. 192 No. 51
An inverse problem of reconstructing the turbulent exchange tensor from large archives of observed wind profiles within the Åkerblom–Ekman (A-E) model framework is investigated using high-vertical-resolution radiosonde observations. The reconstructed tensor provides improved agreement between modeled and observed wind profiles compared to classical formulations based on real turbulent exchange coefficient. Instead of the classical A-E ...
Added: October 16, 2026
Baklanov A., Imamkulieva E., Kuliyeva N. et al., Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Работа содержит раздел об истории развития концепции нового международного экономического порядка (НМЭП) и конкретных усилий, которые предпринимались развивающимися и другими странами, в том числе по линии ООН, с целью изменения неоколониалистского характера торгово-экономических связей стран Севера и Юга. Анализируются ответные меры, которые привели на рубеже 90-х гг, к выхолащиванию антиколониалистского содержания концепции НМЭП. Содержатся конкретные ...
Added: October 16, 2026
Baklanov A., Международная жизнь 2026 № 8 С. 28–35
This article analyzes the effectiveness of diplomats and assesses their performance. In this context, it presents data on proven methods for training international affairs specialists for work in Eastern countries. It also provides a specific account of the diplomatic career of one of the most successful Soviet and Russian diplomats, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary P.S. ...
Added: October 16, 2026
Kuznetsov A. P., Sedova Y. V., Stankevich N., Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 2026 Vol. 213 No. 12 Article 119309
We analyze the interaction of a quasi-periodic subsystem, in which two-, three-, and four- frequency quasi-periodic oscillations are possible, with a chaotic subsystem. A discrete version is obtained via the Euler scheme from the corresponding flow model. The dynamics of individual subsystems are discussed, including quasi-periodic bifurcations of invariant tori and the occur rence of ...
Added: October 16, 2026
Давранова С. Б., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2026 Т. 20 № 3 С. 118–127
This article examines the legal grounds for anti-Russian trade sanctions. The main focus is on comparing the territorial trade sanctions against Crimea with the main anti-Russian trade sanctions. The results of the analysis show that, firstly, the EU’s sanctions policy, contrary to its statements to the contrary, affects humanitarian trade in both the narrow and ...
Added: October 16, 2026
Костромин В. В., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2026 Т. 20 № 3 С. 37–47
The "sweep effect", the most well-known consequence of the multiple non-transferable vote system, is inconsistent. This may be related to the broad voting opportunities provided by the electoral system, which facilitate the formation of diverse voting strategies. In this study, these strategies are classified based on the prevailing models of candidate selection by voters and ...
Added: October 14, 2026
Aleksei Samarin, Nazarenko A., Nazarenko D. et al., Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction 2026 Vol. 8 No. 10 Article 330
Automated microscopic image analysis is essential for quantitative microbiology, yet manual acquisition and generic recognition models struggle with morphological variability and scene artifacts. We address both ends of this pipeline. First, we present a low-cost, open-source acquisition system, based on an Arduino UNO R3 microcontroller and NEMA 17 stepper motors, that automates focusing, magnification, and ...
Added: October 14, 2026
Sarkisyan N., Russian Politics 2022 Vol. 7 No. 4 P. 581–608
This article explores the role of the term “tolerance” in Russian presidential discourse, 2000-2020. The word became de-politicized (used equally in liberal and in conservative contexts), functioning as a buzzword and as a symbol. As a buzzword, it stood “for all good things” and denoted the positive dynamics in Russia’s nationalities and foreign policies; as ...
Added: October 14, 2026
Саркисян Н. М., Nationalities Papers: The Journal of Nationalism and Ethnicity 2023 Vol. 51 No. 2 P. 425–445
In 2006, a “tolerance policy” was launched in St. Petersburg to address the growing xenophobia and the need to integrate labor migrants. Applying a bottom–up perspective, this study finds that this policy was symbolic – aimed at changing public attitudes, not at providing material outcomes. The direct implementers (the street-level bureaucracy), operating under governmental constraints, ...
Added: October 14, 2026
Parkhomenko V., Kulikova S., Buzmakov A. V., Lobachevskii Journal of Mathematics 2026 Vol. 47 No. 6 P. 2979–2992
The stability of formal concepts and its generalization as robustness are considered in the paper. We use an approximation of stability in the form of Δ-measure for fast calculations. A computationally efficient method for calculating robustness based on subcontexts is presented. We also present a new method to analytically evaluate the number of preimages for ...
Added: October 14, 2026
Ataeva A., Sanina A., Styrin E. M. et al., Вестник международных организаций: образование, наука, новая экономика 2026 Т. 21 № 3 Статья 7
The article is devoted to the analysis of international indicator models used as proxy
measures of a state’s institutional characteristics and the quality of its governance
environment, as well as to the development of a methodology for their comparative
evaluation in terms of methodological robustness and analytical applicability. Based on a
systemic analysis of 23 international and regional indices ...
Added: October 14, 2026
Kuznetsov A. P., Sedova Y. V., Sataev I. R. et al., Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 2027 Vol. 2 P. 574–592
Universal bifurcation structures on the parameter plane of nonlinear systems, known as shrimps, are discussed. An overview of numerous examples from various fields of science is given. Shrimps are typical for both maps of different dimensions and flows. The varieties of shrimp are discussed and relevant examples are given. The similarity property on the parameter ...
Added: October 14, 2026
А.И. Жданов, А.В. Коротаев, Социологические исследования 2026 № 9 С. 3–15
The study examines the impact of digital technologies – primarily the Internet and social media – on the likelihood of revolutionary processes emerging in the 21st century. Based on an analysis of panel data for countries around the world in the 21st century and the use of logistic regression for rare events, it is shown ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Gusein-Zade S., Campillo A., Delgado F., Mathematische Zeitschrift 2026 Vol. 314 No. 1 P. 1–22
For a subfield $\K$ of the field $\C$ of complex numbers, we consider curve and divisorial valuations on the algebra $\K[[x,y]]$ of formal power series in two variables with the coefficients in $\K$. We compute the semigroup Poincar\'e series and the classical Poincar\'e series of a (discrete, rank one) valuation on it. ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Savinykh M., Вестник Томского государственного университета. История 2026 Т. 102 № 17 С. 147–156
This study investigates the evolution of interaction between expert communities and state authorities in Rus-sian foreign policy from the late Soviet period through the post-Soviet era. The aim is to reconstruct the historical trajec-tory of expert-authority relations, identify the critical junctures that shaped contemporary practices, and explain the mechanisms of path-dependency that have produced the ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Mishuris G., Meylan M. H., Pelinovsky E., Journal of Fluid Mechanics 2026 Vol. 1045 Article A4
In this paper, we revisit the classic problem of a wave field on a sloping beach of an arbitrary angle and propose a general approach that allows the computation of regular solutions of the problem regardless of the angle. We use the Mellin-transform technique, reducing the problem to singular integral equations with fixed-point singularities of ...
Added: October 12, 2026
Gusein-Zade S., М.: МЦНМО, 2026.
Книга содержит курс лекций по дифференциальной геометрии и топологии, читавшихся автором на механико-математическом факультете МГУ в разные годы. В дополнениях приводятся некоторые сюжеты (связности в расслоениях, теорема Фробениуса, производные Ли и др.), которые были включены в курс в отдельные годы либо содержались в аналогичных курсах лекций в Независимом московском университете.
Для студентов математических и физических специальностей. ...
Added: October 12, 2026
Брычков М. Е., Незнанов А.А., Программирование 2026 № 4 С. 50–66
The matrix profile (MP) quickly became one of the most important time series preprocessing methods when it was introduced in 2016, facilitating the solution of a wide range of time series analysis problems, in particular anomaly and pattern detection problems. The high significance has led to the emergence of various tools for MP calculating, but ...
Added: October 9, 2026
М.: Юрайт, 2026.
The Collection of Olympiad Problems (COP) in Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics (PTMS) is offered as a teaching aid primarily for university students and faculty as a developmental supplementary resource, expanding the range of problems to be solved in lectures, seminars, and out-of-class independent work with students in various formats, including (as the title suggests) ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Aleskerov F. T., Вайншток А. П., Делахова А. М. et al., Информационные процессы 2026 Т. 26 № 3 С. 895–913
The development and effective management of territorial entities are priority issues for all states, particularly in the context of the digital transformation of public administration. Over the past decade, the integration of information technologies into municipal and regional planning has significantly altered approaches to strategic development, service delivery, and public engagement. This paper describes the ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Poddiakov A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026. No. 7437658.
Clarity of knowledge and reasoning is necessary in many cases. Yet vagueness in scientific thinking related to surprise, curiosity, "ability to engage with not-knowing" (de Freitas) and abductive reasoning is also a crucially important source of scientific creativity which supplements combinatorial logic when dealing with the already known. Starting from studies by C. S. Peirce ...
Added: September 15, 2026
/ Series SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Assessment item development requires careful control of construct alignment, response structure, difficulty, language, and review evidence. Large language models can accelerate item drafting, but ad hoc prompting is difficult to audit or reproduce. AIGRA is an R package for structured, agentic item generation, review, and analysis. It supports tabular item-bank templates, Python-backed generation workflows, direct ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Kudriavtseva E., / РЦИС. Серия № 0148-756-286. 2026.
The content of the work is the system is a system for identifying four types of written speech structures. A set of 11 calculated parameters, statistical standards, and semantic characteristics allows for the identification of a text's structure as the result of a specific cognitive schema (scene, event, story, evaluation). The method has been verified ...
Added: June 2, 2026
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026