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Математическое моделирование и сценарное прогнозирование демографического будущего КНР
Восточная аналитика. 2014. № 4. С. 36–41.
Research target:
Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration
Sociology (including Demography and Anthropology
Philosophy, Ethics, and Religious Studies
Language:
Russian
Keywords: демографияChinaКНРdemographic policydemographic dynamicsдемографический прогнозриски дестабилизацииdemographic forecastсоциально-политическая дестабилизацияrisks of destabilization
Publication based on the results of:
Коротаев А.В., Бурова А. Н., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 Vol. 122 No. 3 P. 160–178
The article analyzes the course and consequences of the events of the “Arab Spring” in Morocco and provides answers to two main questions: can these events be classified as a revolutionary episode, and, if so, was it successful, and to what extent? After examining the relevant historiography and comparing the approaches, concepts, and definitions of ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Rezvykh P. V., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Философия 2019 Т. 23 № 1 С. 7–18
The article gives the detailed analysis of the ratio of freedom and imagination in an unpublished manuscript written by F.W.J. Schelling, which contains the materials for the lecture course read at Erlangen University in 1820-1821. The author focuses on the question of imagination as a condition for the possibility to unfold the modal differences that provide the ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Rezvykh P. V., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Философия 2026 Т. 30 № 1 С. 127–143
The issue delivers an analysis of schellingian motives in the later works by A.F. Losev. The author brings information about Losev’s retrospective evaluation of Schelling’s influence on the formation of his own philosophical approach, it’s specific character and it’s grade. The author shows that all the main investigation projects of the later Losev which have ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Stremoukhov D., Черников П. Е., Стародубцев А. В., Политическая наука 2026 № 3 С. 206–233
Over the past two decades, Russian urban renewal policy has evolved from fragmented and weakly demanded initiatives – such as Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Osvoenie Territorii, KOT) and Development of Built-Up Areas (Razvitie Zastroennykh Territorii, RZT) – toward the formation of a large-scale nationwide mechanism of Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Razvitie Territorii, KRT). This article ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Rozhdestvenskaya E., Abramov R., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 3 С. 244–274
The article presents an experimental study at the intersection of social anthropology and qualitative sociology. The empirical basis is a corpus of 18 short biographical sketches of collective farm peasant women from the village of Vysheley, Penza Region, created at the end of the Soviet period by school local historians and discovered by one of the authors during a ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Gajiyev A., Deviatko I. F., Conflict Resolution Quarterly 2026
This paper explores the factors influencing ordinary judgments of justice in warfare, drawing primarily on normative theories of just war. By examining the alignment between the philosophical principles of just war and ordinary normative judgments, we explore the extent to which lay moral evaluations of war are shaped by the principles articulated in normative just ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Nefedova A., Shmatko N., Antonova E., Социологические исследования 2026 № 9 С. 52–69
This article analyzes the transformation of professional competencies of researchers in the context of growing interdisciplinarity and the digitalization of science. The aim of the study is to identify the structural gap between the normative expectations of the scientific community and the actual outcomes of the research personnel training system in Russia. The theoretical framework ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Koshel A. et al., М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В научном докладе цифровые платформы впервые рассмотрены не как частный сегмент цифрового рынка, а как новый институциональный механизм организации экономики. В одной исследовательской рамке соединены экономика, право, социология, компьютерные науки, информационная безопасность, данные бизнеса и регуляторная практика — все то, что позволяет взглянуть на платформы как на институт со своими правилами игры. Особую ценность работе ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Diskin E., Прожерин Д. В., Теоретическая и прикладная юриспруденция 2026 Т. 29 № 3 С. 221–234
Introduction: Drawing on the legal orders of the United States, the European Union, and the Russian
Federation, the article provides a comparative legal analysis of three regulatory models governing the
use of unmanned aircraft (UA; drones, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)) by public authorities for government oversight: the U.S. model, based on a combination of aviation rules and ...
Added: October 6, 2026
De Gruyter, 2026.
Post-Soviet Eurasia is one of the world's most geopolitically consequential and rapidly transforming regions. Developments across it increasingly reshape political, economic and social relations far beyond its borders. Understanding these dynamics is therefore both intellectually urgent and analytically demanding, requiring an interdisciplinary approach capable of moving beyond established categories and fragmented national perspectives.
This handbook provides ...
Added: October 5, 2026
М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2026.
В шестнадцатом выпуске электронного издания «Вестник Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ (RLMSHSE)» представлены работы, подготовленные на основании данных лонгитюдного обследования домохозяйств «Российский мониторинг экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ» (РМЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ) за 1992–2024 гг. В выпуске рассматриваются динамика доходов и расходов российских домохозяйств, тенденции развития рынка труда, социальное самочувствие ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Новиков Д. А., ЖУРНАЛ МИНИСТЕРСТВА НАРОДНОГО ПРОСВЕЩЕНИЯ (Словакия) 2023 № 10 С. 32–40
The article provides a critical analysis of the theory of the precariat as a "new dangerous class" from the standpoint of law science, namely the sectoral areas of labor and criminal law. The author argues that the precariat does not constitute a new socio-economic class. The author is convinced that the theory of the precariat, ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Diskin E., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 3 С. 23–45
Public governance of digital platforms is characterized by a growing tension between security imperatives, such as blocking, throttling, and restricting the activities of foreign platforms, and development imperatives, including the digital economy, innovation, and users’ rights. The article conceptualizes this contradiction as a security—development dilemma: a structural problem of governance that cannot be reduced to ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Автухова Е. Э., Larionov A., Плачинда К. Д., М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2026.
Данное методическое пособие разработано в соответствии с рабочей программой курса «Банковское дело», реализуемого на Экономическом факультете МГУ имени М. В. Ломоносова по специальности «Экономика» (бакалавриат), и может быть рекомендовано для подготовки к семинарским занятиям и самостоятельной работе студентов. ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Вебер М., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 3 С. 318–353
In the concluding part of the Second Anti-Critique (1910), Max Weber summarizes the substantive
findings of his own contributions to the debate with the historian Felix Rachfahl. In doing so, he uses the response to his relentless critic as an opportunity to articulate once again, in an explicit manner and for both his own benefit and that of the ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Aliev R. T., Якушенкова О. С., Человек 2026 Т. 37 № 5 С. 176–191
This article addresses the epistemological transformations of knowledge about the Other under platform culture. It examines the shift from the communicative experience of presence to a data regime in which otherness is constituted through predictive classification and interface routing. The platform is conceptualized as a system that presents the subject with an already-categorized Other, thereby ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Kaspe S. I., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 4 P. 138–167
This article examines the stereotypes about China that prevail in the West and Russia and make them perceive it not only as a strategic challenge, but an existential threat. The article demonstrates that the most common fears are overstated and counterfactual, and that they are grounded in the West itself. Modern China cannot be identified ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Лессинг Т., Silene Noctiflora, 2026.
Теодор Лессинг (1872–1933) — один из самых пессимистичных философов первой половины XX века. Последователь Фридриха Ницше и Артура Шопенгауэра, он пророчил неизбежную гибель западной цивилизации от себя самой. В своём сочинении «Про́клятая культура», написанном на основе речи, читанной в Обществе друзей индийской мудрости в 1921 году, он с особой экспрессией изложил основные положения своего мировоззрения, ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Dezi A., Sesto San Giovanni: Mimesis, 2026.
This book is a metaphysical inquiry into the nature and origin of the manifold. Taking Schelling’s Erlangen lectures of 1820–1821 as its point of departure and hermeneutic horizon, it develops an interpretation of Nomos that transcends its political, juridical, and social determinations. Nomos thereby emerges as the ontological principle of an infinite, variegated multiplicity of ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Polarization of opinions in the group: a modeling algorithm considering the dynamics of social bonds
Chebotarev V., Andreyuk D., Elizarova Anastasiya et al., Procedia Computer Science 2022 Vol. 213 No. C P. 596–601
The dynamics of opinion in a group are of interest for a number of practical purposes. In particular, consensus helps and polarization of opinions hinders cohesive teamwork. Existing approaches for modeling opinion dynamics mostly do not take into account the dynamism of social relations in a group. This paper proposes an algorithm and a program ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Мусиева Д. М., Akaev A., Век глобализации 2025 Т. 56 № 4 С. 3–15
В работе дана кратчайшая история взаимоотношений Китая и США, которые за 40 лет прошли путь от экономического сотрудничества до глобального противостояния. Проведен анализ современного экономико-техно-логического и социально-политического состояния данных стран, показавший, что Китай как восходящая держава и США, находящиеся на нисходящей траектории, сегодня являются примерно равновеликими по совокупной мощи. Делается вывод о том, что нынешнее ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Мичурина А. А., Гуманитарные науки и образование 2026 Т. 17 № 3 С. 82–87
China pays special attention to the application of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies in various spheres of life, including education. The integration of AI into the field of education carries many opportunities. At the same time, this process is associated with a large number of risks, which raises the issue of the need for legal regulation ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klochko O., Кузнецова М. П., Пространственная экономика 2026 Т. 22 № 3 С. 73–103
The article assesses China’s technological sovereignty in high-tech industries that form the ecosystem of physical artificial intelligence and its readiness to develop intelligent robotics. The aim of the study is to identify changes in China’s position in the global value chains of these industries through a comprehensive analysis of foreign value added used in production, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Nikulina Y., Jamali Jaghdani T., Götz L. et al., / Series "Working Papers". 2026.
The impact of state subsidies on Russia's post-Soviet dairy output remains controversial; this study provides an empirical analysis of that relationship. Using an unbalanced panel dataset of 123 dairy enterprises in the Leningrad Region spanning the period from 2010 to 2023, we employ stochastic frontier analysis to assess these relationships. The results indicate that subsidies ...
Added: September 30, 2026