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On compensation incentives, managerial overconfidence, and payout policy
Finance Research Letters. 2025. Vol. 85, Part B. Article 107961.
This paper investigates how CEO overconfidence interacts with compensation structure to influence corporate payout policy. Using a panel of 713 S&P 1500 firms from 2010 to 2019, we find that overconfident CEOs with higher equity-based (i.e., convex) compensation are associated with significantly lower levels of both cash dividends and share repurchases. In contrast, inside debt compensation (non-convex) mitigates this effect, encouraging higher dividend payouts. The results uggest that these effects operate through financial slack and risk-taking channels. The uncovered relationships are present only in firms operating in non-innovative industries and with strong corporate governance. We interpret this as evidence that boards in innovative firms preserve managerial discretion, while weak governance limits the board’s ability to discipline overconfident CEOs. Our findings are robust to alternative measures of overconfidence and endogeneity controls. These results highlight the importance of tailoring CEO incentives to behavioral traits such as overconfidence, particularly in relation to payout decisions.
Давидович А. С., Shestakova A., Arzumanyan N. et al., Frontiers in Psychology 2026 Vol. 17 - 2026 P. 1–18
Background:
Delay discounting refers to the tendency to choose sooner, smaller rewards over larger, later rewards. Many previous studies link this tendency positively to reward sensitivity, yet the specific mechanisms behind this association remain poorly understood. Reward sensitivity may relate to delay discounting through at least three possible pathways: increased sensitivity to reward size, increased sensitivity ...
Added: May 27, 2026
Tatarinov A., Вопросы статистики 2026 Т. 33 № 2 С. 5–22
The relevance of the article stems from the ongoing transition of national statistical offices to the implementation of the new international macroeconomic accounting standard, SNA 2025. This standard defines modern approaches to measuring economic activity in the context of globalization and digitalization and incorporates assessments of well‑being and sustainability. The subject of the paper is the ...
Added: May 27, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Проблемы прогнозирования 2026 № 1 С. 45–55
Rosstat's publication of basic input–output tables for 2021, given the five-year periodicity of such materials, represents a significant event for Russian economic science. The article provides an overview of some of the features and properties of the published tables and the results of their use for the analysis of technological changes and import dependence. It ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Tkachuk A., Романова В. В., Экономические науки 2026 № 2 С. 561–565
Актуальность статьи обусловлена трансформацией мирохозяйственных связей под влиянием
Китая. Степень разработанности отражена в полярных оценках экспансии КНР. Объект — экономическая экспансия Китая, предмет — модели взаимодействия со странами Глобального Юга.
Методология базируется на геоэкономическом подходе и концепции асимметричной взаимозависимости. Практическая значимость заключается в выявлении рисков долговой и технологической
зависимости и рекомендациях для стран-партнеров по выстраиванию сбалансированного сотрудничества. ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 8 С. 26–43
The study of the consequences of the application of individual sanctions instruments at the level of industries or segments of the economy allows us to assess the components and factors of overall sustainability, the effectiveness of the state policy. The paper provides an econometric assessment of the impact of US SDN list sanctions on Russian ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Проблемы прогнозирования 2024 № 1 С. 35–53
The dynamics of the Russian economy in 2022 did not develop along the trajectories expected in most forecasts. Investments in fixed assets, contrary to expectations, decreased slightly; some industries have seen growth. The article offers an analysis of the 2022 results from the point of view of justification of views on the factors determining investment ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Проблемы прогнозирования 2024 № 2 С. 21–33
The article discusses issues related to the assessment of import dependence and the results of the import substitution policy in the period 2016–2020. An overview of options for assessing import dependence indicators is provided, and the possibility of using resource and use tables published by Rosstat is substantiated. The main analysis tool is calculated tables ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Вопросы экономики 2023 № 7 С. 100–114
The paper assesses some of the consequences of Russia’s accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO). Whereas much discussion about its costs and benefits happened during the WTO negotiations and in the first years after the accession, there was little said on the real consequences afterwards. The aim of the research is to assess the ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Общество и экономика 2023 № 4 С. 53–63
The withdrawal of foreign companies from the Russian market due to a change in the political situation has been a new trend for the Russian economy. The study shows that the actual scale of closure of foreign legal entities is insignificant, and even smaller than in previous years: the maximum number of legal entities was ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Вопросы государственного и муниципального управления 2023 № 3 С. 7–25
Customer-centricity (client-centricity) is a new concept for Russian public governance. However, since 2022, the implementation of the relevant principles has been brought to the level of a national strategic initiative. The article proposes an analysis of the issues to be considered when implementing customer-centricity in the practice of government agencies and institutions. The article examines ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Styrin E. M., Ataeva A., Жатикова Д. В. et al., Регион: Экономика и Социология 2026 № 2 С. 31–55
There remains a pronounced interregional differentiation in the level of digital development across the Russian Federation, which necessitates a comprehensive analysis of the factors influencing the digital maturity of public administration bodies in the country’s regions. This article offers a quantitative assessment of the impact of external socioeconomic, institutional, and technological factors on the level ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Switzerland: Springer Publishing Company, 2026.
In this volume of “Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems” we are pleased to present the proceedings of the 25th International Multidisciplinary Conference on Reliability and Statistics in Transportation and Communication” (RelStat-2025), which took place in hybrid form in Riga, Latvia on October 16–18, 2025. This event belongs to a con ference series started in ...
Added: May 25, 2026
Шелованова Т. И., Синяков А. А., Russian Journal of Economics 2025 No. 11 P. 47–75
The booming retail trade and the above-target consumer prices inflation in 2023–2024 in Russia, amid tightening monetary policy stance, raise an issue of the strength of the monetary policy interest rate channel. The focus of our paper is the interest rate elasticity (given inflation expectations) of a household’s loan request probability. We argue that a ...
Added: May 25, 2026
Kaisarova V. P., Коклев К. С., СПб.: Издательство СПбГЭУ, 2025.
The article examines the trends in the development of territorial accessibility of public transport for the population of the largest city based on the geoinformation analysis of the spatial features of its infrastructure. The article provides a transport dynamic for the period 2015-2024 based on cluster analysis of data on individual types of transport and ...
Added: May 25, 2026
Paklina S., Parshakov P., Teplykh G., The Journal of the New Economic Association 2026 Vol. 70 No. 1 P. 279–301
This paper investigates the relationship between online recruitment and unemployment in Russia within the Beveridge curve (the unemployment–vacancy curve) framework. Using panel data for 81 Russian regions over the period 2006–2022, we examine how the expansion of online job boards affects regional unemployment dynamics. The empirical
analysis is based on fi xed- effects and instrumental- variable ...
Added: May 22, 2026
Rincon C. J., Alekseeva O., Vukovic D. et al., Risk Management 2026 No. 28 Article 38
This study examines the long-term effects of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) unconventional monetary policy (UMP) interventions on the yields of sovereign bonds in the Eurozone. Using a sample of 14 European countries from January 2009 to December 2023, our findings indicate that increases of 1 billion euros in the ECB’s balance sheet are associated ...
Added: May 22, 2026
Монгуш В. Р., Novikova A., Креативные индустрии 2026 Т. 2 № 1 С. 23–41
This article analyzes the historical and cultural background, as well as the current situation and development prospects of the creative industries ecosystem in the Republic of Tuva. A comparative analysis of this remote, subsidized region and its neighbors, the Sakha Republic (Yakutia) and Krasnoyarsk Krai, revealed its strengths, vulnerabilities, and strategies of young creative professionals ...
Added: May 21, 2026
Zizin A., Деева А. В., Деева В. В. et al., Инновации и инвестиции 2025 № 6 С. 36–39
The article is devoted to the study of the innovative infrastructure of Russian universities. The importance of developing innovative infrastructure, the practice of their formation (using the example of the country's leading universities) is studied. A classification of infrastructure objects is given and the effectiveness of their use in the practice of Russian universities is ...
Added: May 21, 2026
Anilov A., Ivashkovskaya I., Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance 2026 No. 49 Article 101157
This paper examines the moderating role of corporate governance in the relationship between Chief Executive Officer (CEO) overconfidence and corporate payout decisions. Using a panel dataset of 713 S&P 1500 firms from 2010 to 2019, we contribute to the behavioral corporate finance literature in several important ways. First, building on agency theory and upper echelons ...
Added: March 3, 2026
Anilov A., Ivashkovskaya I., Journal of Economics and Business 2025 Vol. 136 Article 106259
This paper examines the role of inside debt in shaping payout decisions in corporations. We show that higher CEO ownership of debt-like components of managerial compensation known as inside debt is associated with an increased likelihood and level of share repurchases, as well it motivates CEOs to choose share repurchases as a primary channel for payout policies. ...
Added: January 4, 2026
Fernandez M. A., Mayskaya T., Nikandrova A., Games and Economic Behavior 2024 Vol. 144 P. 29–48
A rational principal delegates learning to an overconfident agent who overestimates the precision of the information he collects. The principal chooses between two contracts: commitment, in which the agent commits to the duration of learning in advance, and flexible, in which the agent decides when to stop learning in real time. When the agent is ...
Added: January 23, 2024
Ivashkovskaya I., Nazarkina V., Gostkov D. et al., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2022 Vol. 16 No. 4 P. 6–33
We investigate how different personal traits of a chief executive officer (CEO) influence value creation in one of the largest emerging capital markets in Russia. Our research model considers several components of human capital of a CEO.
Moreover, we include CEO’s behavioral biases looking at overconfidence measured by industry adjusted ratio of capital expenditures and narcissism ...
Added: November 10, 2023
Shvedov A. S., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2023 Т. 27 № 3 С. 435–448
Cournot duopoly with yield uncertainty is of interest both from a theoretical standpoint and a practical standpoint. In many sectors of economy, the actual products produced and the targeted quantities do not coincide. Commonly, random variables are used to model yield uncertainty. However, the models with random yields have a known drawback. When the number ...
Added: October 25, 2023
Blanco-Alcántara D., Gallud-Cano J., Lopez Iturriaga F. J. et al., International Journal of Finance and Economics 2021
We analyse the trend among 79 banks from 20 European countries towards scrip dividends. Whereas banks do not seem to smooth cash dividends, they do smooth total dividends, which include both cash and scrip dividends. We also find that the new legal requirements (resulting from the Basel III Accord and other country-level laws) have different ...
Added: October 11, 2021