Assessing the Potential for Russian Grain Exports: A Special Focus on the Prospective Cultivation of Abandoned Land
The post-Soviet period has been characterised by the abandonment of land across the Russian Federation. Today, Russia has regained a prominent role in wheat markets. With improved market conditions (such as higher grain prices), the recultivation of these abandoned areas may increase grain exports in the medium term and thus further enhance Russia’s contribution to global food security. This chapter develops a simple methodological approach that aims to assess the potential for Russia to expand its grain area and its impact on grain exports under different export price development scenarios.