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External Adjustment in Commodity Exporting Economies During Energy Price Downturns
International Trade Journal. 2024. Vol. 38. No. 6. P. 547–562.
Shirobokov A., Annals of Finance 2025 Vol. 21 P. 211–242
Economic sanctions have recently become a prominent tool in international policymaking. However, the mechanisms through which sanctions are transmitted and their impact on the domestic financial sector remain unclear. This paper employs a calibrated New Keynesian small open economy model to analyze the transmission channels of sanctions-induced terms of trade shocks and their impact on ...
Added: July 30, 2025
Свиридов О. И., Skorobogatov A., Прикладная эконометрика 2025 Т. 77 С. 5–24
Paper analyzes a causal link between oil price and the Russian stock market. One of the findings is that only price shocks related to economic activity or future oil supply expectations have persistent impacts on the stock market, while the effects of supply-related oil shocks are insignificant. In addition, jumps in oil price volatility have ...
Added: November 21, 2024
Пузина Н. В., Вестник Сибирского института бизнеса и информационных технологий 2021 Т. 10 № 2 С. 53–59
The article outlines theoretical foundations of the twin deficits hypothesis within the Keynesian school and Ricardian frameworks. A hypothesis is put forward about the presence of twin deficits in the Greek economy. The results of the analysis showed a strong relationship between the budget deficit and the current account deficit of the Greek balance of payments ...
Added: December 13, 2023
Grigoryev L. M., Kheifets E., Russian Journal of Economics 2022
In 2020 the energy transition path was distorted by the COVID-19 pandemic which caused a sharp economic decline and a fast global recovery in 2021. Unlike that period, the years between 2001 and 2019 illustrated a different type of energy evolution for developed and developing countries regarding primary energy consumption. During this period the composition ...
Added: November 24, 2022
Kilinc-Ata N., , in: Finance for Sustainability in a Turbulent Economy.: IGI Global Publishing, 2022. Ch. 4 P. 74–96.
This chapter examines the effect of oil prices on selected macroeconomic variables such as economic growth, inflation, interest rate, unemployment, and import in Turkey. Johansen cointegration and vector error correction model (VECM) were used for yearly data from 1990 to 2020. According to the findings, the rise in oil prices in the short term has ...
Added: October 26, 2022
Grigoryev L. M., Kheifets E., Вопросы экономики 2022 № 9 С. 5–33
The article considers the place of oil in the energy balance of developed and developing countries during the shocks associated with the technological progress, business cycles, climate policy trends, the pandemic of 2020, and the sanctions of 2022. The results reveal the stability of the demand for motor fuel in the post-pandemic recovery as well ...
Added: September 2, 2022
Kosov M., Соловьева М. Г., Вестник Университета (Государственный университет управления) 2020 № 9 С. 128–137
The state budget acts as a mechanism for accumulating financial resources of the state, including in the context of implementing relations between social groups and strata in society. The widespread quarantine measures to prevent the COVID-19 pandemic and the consequences of their introduction on determining the recessive scenario of economic development in the near future ...
Added: September 2, 2021
Lipatnikov V. S., Кирсанова К. А., Управленческие науки 2018 Т. 8 № 2 С. 30–43
The importance of the topic of the present research is based on the fact that the corporate value is the main index of the company effectiveness within the value-based management paradigm. Now, when the Russian oil and gas industry is under international sectoral sanctions it is extremely important to identify the influence of these sanctions ...
Added: October 1, 2018
Korotayev A., Bilyuga S., Zinkina J. V., Политическая наука 2016 № 4 С. 159–185
The article discusses the possibility of quantitative analysis in the study of political destabilization of states in the modern world, in general, and the impact of oil price changes on the sociopolitical destabilization of the oil exporting states, in particular. The analysis shows that a prolonged drop in oil prices leads to increased social and ...
Added: October 29, 2017
Korotayev A., Bilyuga S., Белалов И. Ш. et al., Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2018 Vol. 128 P. 304–310
Our review of some modern trends in the development of energy technologies suggests that the scenario of a significant reduction of the global oil demand can be regarded as quite probable. Such a scenario implies a rather significant decline of oil prices. The aim of this article is to estimate the sociopolitical destabilization risks that ...
Added: October 12, 2017
Kossov V. V., Проблемы прогнозирования 2016 № 6 С. 65–75
The article describes the construction of the forecast the bid price for oil for coming years. A strategic investor needs this kind of price to understand how much the consumer is willing to pay per ton of oil in the future. It is necessary for a correct evaluation of the investment.The article describes the construction ...
Added: January 7, 2017
Arbatli C. E., Eurasian Economic Review 2015 P. 1–22
Added: April 11, 2016
Avdeeva D., Akindinova N., Balashova E. et al., М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2015.
Мы попытались оценить возможные последствия кризиса для российской экономики в том случае, если надежды на возврат цен на нефть до 100 долл./барр. не оправдаются, а действие взаимных санкций между Россией и западными странами останется. При сохранении цен на нефть на уровне около 50 долл./барр. и тенденции к международной изоляции России объем ВВП в реальном выражении ...
Added: April 15, 2015
Molodyko K., Law of Ukraine 2012 No. 3-4 P. 273–282
In the article the current regulation of banking activity in Ukraine is analyzed, proposed conceptual suggestions related realization of public justice principles in banking reform in particular in the spheres of banking guarantee schemes, banking insolvency, credits, mortgage regulation, banking accounts and fees ...
Added: October 22, 2014
Novak A., Alexander Larin, Khvostova I., The Macrotheme Review 2013 Vol. 2 No. 7 P. 82–102
The paper analyses the key factors of balance of payments dynamics for countries with different exchange rate regimes. We consider the differences in approaches to the analysis of balance of payments effects, and provide an overview of recent studies on current account and capital account dynamics. We present an estimates based on quarterly data on ...
Added: September 23, 2013
Гринберг Р. С., Alexashenko S., Drobyshevsky S. et al., Прямые инвестиции: журнал Сбербанка России 2009 № 7 С. 8–13
Вслед за ценами на нефть, устремился вверх и курс рубля, поднявшись с 36 за доллар в феврале до 30 в июне. 9 июня премьер-министр России Владимир Путин заявил, что «рубль укрепился серьезно, даже больше, чем мы рассчитывали».
С одной стороны, укрепление рубля снижает конкурентоспособность отечественных несырьевых товаров и усиливает позиции импорта на внутреннем рынке. С другой ...
Added: January 20, 2013
Архипова П. С., Vekshina A., Zaytsev Y. K. et al., Вестник международных организаций: образование, наука, новая экономика 2010 № 2 С. 103–110
The article represents the results of the monitoring Russia's compliance with commitments, made at the G8 Aquila summit in 2009. The monitoring was made by International organizations Research Institute of the State University - Higher School of Economics (HSE IORI) with G8 Research Group of the University of Toronto. The full version of the G8 ...
Added: October 27, 2012