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News
July 9, 2026
HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
July 8, 2026
HSE Researchers Discover Who Eats Out in Russia-And Why
Around one-third of Russians (31.3%) rarely eat out or buy ready-made meals. The core group of active consumers—those who eat out or purchase prepared food almost every day or several times a week—accounts for only about 9% of the population. These are the findings of a study conducted by the HSE Institute for Social Policy. According to the researchers eating out is no longer a marker of high social status in Russia.
July 8, 2026
HSE University and RREDA Join Forces to Support 2026 Renewable Energy of the Planet Competition
HSE University and the Russia Renewable Energy Development Association (RREDA) have signed a partnership and information cooperation agreement to support Renewable Energy of the Planet—2026, a national competition with international participation for students and early-career researchers. Applications are open on the competition's website until September 20, 2026.

 

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Nonasymptotic Analysis of Stochastic Gradient Descent with the Richardson-Romberg Extrapolation

2024.
Sheshukova M., Belomestny D., Durmus A., Moulines E., Naumov A., Samsonov S.
We address the problem of solving strongly convex and smooth minimization problems using stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm with a constant step size. Previous works suggested to combine the Polyak-Ruppert averaging procedure with the Richardson-Romberg extrapolation technique to reduce the asymptotic bias of SGD at the expense of a mild increase of the variance. We significantly extend previous results by providing an expansion of the mean-squared error of the resulting estimator with respect to the number of iterations n. More precisely, we show that the mean-squared error can be decomposed into the sum of two terms: a leading one of order $n^{-1/2}$ with explicit dependence on a minimax-optimal asymptotic covariance matrix, and a second-order term of order $n^{-3/4}$ where the power 3/4 can not be improved in general. We also extend this result to the p-th moment bound keeping optimal scaling of the remainders with respect to n. Our analysis relies on the properties of the SGD iterates viewed as a time-homogeneous Markov chain. In particular, we establish that this chain is geometrically ergodic with respect to a suitably defined weighted Wasserstein semimetric.
Priority areas: IT and mathematics mathematics
Language: English
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: цепи МарковаMarkov chainsRichardson-Romberg extrapolationstochastic gradient descentстохастический градиентный спускPolyak-RuppertРичардсон-Ромберг
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